No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (67 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 137 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 6.3%Claiming riders: 7.5%
The read
The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (10%, n=30) and in Flat races (8.5%, n=82). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 39 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.3%+1.2
n=32 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
25%+19.9
n=4 · A/E 6.70 · £1 +17.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.5%+2.4
n=67 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −5.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break0% vs 5.1% · n=39
In Hurdle races0% vs 5.1% · n=38
Off a 31-60-day break10% vs 5.1% · n=30
In Flat races8.5% vs 5.1% · n=82
With a new jockey booking8.3% vs 5.1% · n=60
With claiming riders up7.5% vs 5.1% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat8278.5%+8.50
Hurdle3800%−38.00
Chase1300%−13.00
NH Flat400%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft3725.4%−18.00
Standard (AW)29310.3%+8.50
Good2514%−12.00
Good to Soft1900%−19.00
Good to Firm1715.9%+4.00
Heavy800%−8.00
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk27311.1%+10.50
Down Royal1500%−15.00
Navan1218.3%−1.00
Naas1119.1%+10.00
Tipperary800%−8.00
Gowran Park8112.5%+5.00
Limerick700%−7.00
Fairyhouse700%−7.00
Cork600%−6.00
Clonmel500%−5.00
Bellewstown4125%+4.00
Downpatrick400%−4.00
Listowel300%−3.00
Roscommon300%−3.00
Tramore300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1700%−7.00
Class 62150%+19.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite400%0.00−4.00
2nd–3rd fav1317.7%0.64−5.00
4th–6th fav4449.1%1.27−3.50
7th+ in betting7622.6%0.83−34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
Under 6f2827.1%+4.00
2m1f – 2m4f2600%−26.00
1m – 1m1f25416%+12.50
1m5f – 2m2200%−22.00
6f – 7f1800%−18.00
1m2f – 1m4f1119.1%+10.00
2m5f – 3m700%−7.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082700%−27.00
20092300%−23.00
2010500%−5.00
2011200%−2.00
20121715.9%−6.00
20131516.7%+6.00
201421314.3%+3.50
20152528%+9.00
2016200%−2.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps7767.8%−7.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners4037.5%−8.00
8-10 runners3226.3%−3.00
11-13 runners3026.7%−0.50
17+ runners2700%−27.00
5-7 runners800%−8.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 24 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 19 had their first archived run for this yard.
4 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
02501408055580
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.
Aristocracy (IRE)0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.2% of 73 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Barathea (IRE)7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Tagula (IRE)10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,558 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
Redback (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 254 · newest first
The latest 50 of 254 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 4 March 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Gerard Stack's strike rate?
Gerard Stack has won 7 of 137 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Gerard Stack's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 137 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Gerard Stack·SR 5.1%·A/E 0.91
KTB
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