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Trainer profile

Augustine Leahy

134 runners in the last 5 seasons · 22 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
5–134
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=134
17 (13%)
Placed
0.72
n=134 · 0.57 incl. margin
−62.00
£1 level stake
n=134 at SP · −46.3%
£64,933
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.72).

Deterministic profile computed from 134 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (9.1%, n=44) and on Good going (6.8%, n=44). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 40 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Easyfix Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse (Dec 2017, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Gra Geal Mo Chroi (IRE) — 6 wins from 51 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−1.1
n=38 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.6%+1.9
n=18 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%−0.7
n=66 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −32.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 9.1% vs 3.7% · n=44
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 3.7% · n=40
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 3.7% · n=31
On Good going 6.8% vs 3.7% · n=44
At Cork 6.1% vs 3.7% · n=33
With a new jockey booking 1.9% vs 3.7% · n=54 · A/E 0.62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 90 4 4.4% −41.00
Hurdle 37 1 2.7% −14.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 48 1 2.1% −31.00
Good 44 3 6.8% −12.00
Heavy 20 0 0% −20.00
Good to Soft 13 1 7.7% +10.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 33 2 6.1% −11.00
Limerick 27 1 3.7% −17.00
Listowel 18 0 0% −18.00
Tipperary 14 2 14.3% +26.00
Killarney 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Curragh 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Tramore 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
4th–6th fav 26 1 3.8% 0.52 −15.00
7th+ in betting 93 4 4.3% 1.38 −32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Linger For Longer (IRE) 36 3 8 29 Sep 26
Han Solo (GB) 23 1 4 16 Jul 25
Cerberus (GB)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien · then John G Hayes 17 0 1 18 Apr 24
Improving (IRE) 13 0 1 12 Jun 24
Friars Gate (IRE) 7 0 0 11 Jul 26
Lightning Star (IRE) 6 0 1 14 Jul 22
Problem Solver (IRE) 4 1 2 22 Nov 22
Knockmore (IRE) 3 0 0 2 Nov 25
Strategic Power (IRE) 3 0 0 19 Nov 24
Battle Bound (IRE) 3 0 0 8 Dec 22
Ask Delaney (GB) 3 0 0 20 Sep 22
Shift And Drift (IRE) 3 0 0 12 May 22
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000701104700
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Dylan Browne McMonagle 27 2 7.4% +0.00
Jamie Powell 10 1 10% +1.00
W J Lee 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Oisin Enright 6 0 0% −6.00
Wayne Lordan 5 0 0% −5.00
Adam Browne-Souza 5 0 0% −5.00
G B Noonan 4 0 0% −4.00
Charlie O'Dwyer 4 0 0% −4.00
John Shinnick 4 0 0% −4.00
James Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00
Darragh O'Sullivan 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane Fitzgerald 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
74
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.01m
Prize money
2018
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nearly Nama'd (IRE) — Easyfix Handicap Chase (grade B) Fairyhouse · Dec 2017 · Grade B
£29,500
Nearly Nama'd (IRE) — John J. Galvin Handicap Chase Listowel · Jun 2019
£23,600
Aseasyas (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Fillies Handicap (60-90) Cork · Aug 2009
£15,299

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fulbright (GB) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 6.7% of 627 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 9.9% from 213.
Havana Gold (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,049 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 522. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,950 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.
Most Improved (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.7% of 1,100 runs since 2008 (71 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,980 runs since 2008 (302 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.1% from 191.
Buratino (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,878 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,553 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,553 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 11 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Augustine Leahy's strike rate?
Augustine Leahy has won 5 of 134 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Augustine Leahy do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Augustine Leahy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Augustine Leahy's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 134 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).