Skip to content
Trainer profile

Sarah Dawson

92 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2025
from 1 Jan 2022
1–92
Wins / Runs
1.1%
Strike rate
n=92
10 (11%)
Placed
0.40
Fair A/E
n=92 · 0.31 incl. margin
−69.00
£1 level stake
n=92 at SP · −75.0%
£21,928
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 2.2%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.2%+3.1
n=24 · A/E 2.03 · £1 −1.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.3%+7.2
n=12 · A/E 3.51 · £1 +11.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%+1.1
n=46 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −23.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 3.2% vs 1.1% · n=31
In Flat races 1.8% vs 1.1% · n=56 · A/E 0.52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 56 1 1.8% −33.00
Hurdle 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 11 0 0% −11.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 35 0 0% −35.00
Good 21 0 0% −21.00
Standard (AW) 14 1 7.1% +9.00
Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 14 1 7.1% +9.00
Curragh 14 0 0% −14.00
Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Ayr 2 0 0% −2.00
Cork 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
7th+ in betting 81 1 1.2% 0.61 −58.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pretty Boy Floyd (IRE) 20 0 4 12 Oct 23
Magic Sea (IRE) 12 0 1 26 Dec 22
Bride Tree (GB)from Adrian McGuinness 11 1 4 17 Sep 24
Carla's Kodi Bear (IRE) 8 0 1 18 Jan 23
Our Patron Saint (IRE) 8 0 0 26 Dec 22
Mornington Bay (IRE)from Patrick Martin 7 0 0 27 Aug 23
Getaway George (IRE) 3 0 0 14 Jul 23
Brigetta Colleen (IRE) 3 0 0 31 May 22
Newmills Glory (IRE) 3 0 0 22 Apr 22
Anchors Away (IRE)then M G Quinn 2 0 0 23 Oct 24
Macloud (IRE) 2 0 0 20 Sep 24
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000000017
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
E Walsh 8 0 0% −8.00
Siobhan Rutledge 5 0 0% −5.00
Conor Maxwell 5 0 0% −5.00
Shane Foley 5 0 0% −5.00
Seamie Heffernan 4 0 0% −4.00
Alan Persse 4 0 0% −4.00
Scott McCullagh 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Sheehy 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Bird 4 0 0% −4.00
N G McCullagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Sean D Bowen 3 0 0% −3.00
Jack Cleary 3 1 33.3% +20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
21
Archived wins
£352k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 4 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Clare Glen (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Galway · Jul 2011
£36,000
Diamond Eyes (IRE) — Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Fillies Maiden (Plus 10) Navan · Sep 2020
£14,160
Clare Glen (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Handicap (60-95) Curragh · Jun 2011
£13,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,261 runs since 2008 (306 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 956. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 864. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 723.
Garswood (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,918 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 132.
Epaulette (AUS) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,900 runs since 2008 (384 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.
War Command (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,272 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 285.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 591 · newest first

The latest 50 of 591 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2007 to 5 January 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sarah Dawson's strike rate?
Sarah Dawson has won 1 of 92 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 1.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Sarah Dawson's Fair A/E?
0.40, from 92 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).