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Trainer profile

M O Cullinane

385 runners in the lifetime window · 58 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2018
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–385
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=385
42 (11%)
Placed
0.70
Fair A/E
n=384 · 0.54 incl. margin
−210.69
£1 level stake
n=385 at SP · −54.7%
£151k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).

Deterministic profile computed from 385 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Aug–Oct Robbie Geoghegan: 0% from 73
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −135.12 to a £1 stake over 202 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Robbie Geoghegan rode 19% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0% vs 3.1%, A/E 0.00). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 58 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 53 runners (0% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the yard fired Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.4%−1.7
n=69 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −62.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.1
n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.7%+0.6
n=27 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%+4.6
n=13 · A/E 2.31 · £1 +21.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.70 · £1 −0.02
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.5%−0.6
n=202 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −135.12
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Robbie Geoghegan 0% vs 3.1% · n=73
In NH Flat races 0% vs 3.1% · n=58
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 3.1% · n=53
In Flat races 0% vs 3.1% · n=45
With debutants 0% vs 3.1% · n=44
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 3.1% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 211 9 4.3% −53.02
Chase 71 3 4.2% −54.67
NH Flat 58 0 0% −58.00
Flat 45 0 0% −45.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 118 4 3.4% −69.02
Heavy 103 3 2.9% −56.67
Good 101 5 5% −22.00
Good to Soft 36 0 0% −36.00
Good to Firm 23 0 0% −23.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 69 3 4.3% −35.02
Galway 65 3 4.6% −16.67
Limerick 53 1 1.9% −19.00
Sligo 30 1 3.3% −18.00
Roscommon 29 1 3.4% −3.00
Fairyhouse 27 0 0% −27.00
Thurles 18 1 5.6% −12.50
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Gowran Park 15 0 0% −15.00
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Kilbeggan 10 0 0% −10.00
Listowel 8 1 12.5% +0.00
Clonmel 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 1.22 −3.02
2nd–3rd fav 23 2 8.7% 0.64 −12.17
4th–6th fav 81 4 4.9% 0.80 −40.50
7th+ in betting 273 4 1.5% 0.53 −155.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.9% completed · 282 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 71 84.5% 5 2 4 0 0
Hurdle 211 89.1% 2 3 18 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Georgie (GB) 71 3 10 19 Mar 17
Fantastic Gold (GB) 47 2 9 14 Sep 14
Balofilo (GB)then Ms Margaret Mullins 37 2 4 29 Oct 17
Honourable Lady (IRE) 20 0 2 19 Aug 14
Free To Dream (IRE)then Venetia Williams 17 2 3 1 Apr 13
Roadtotheisland (IRE) 15 1 4 4 Nov 14
Some Benefit (IRE)from F M Hanley 14 0 2 31 Jul 14
Head Turner (IRE)then P A Fahy 10 0 0 31 Dec 15
Top Man Tim (IRE)then Thomas Gallagher 9 0 0 5 Apr 16
Haaf Ok (GB)from M Halford 9 0 1 31 Jul 11
Tornado Watch (IRE)then Jonathan Fogarty 8 0 1 15 Apr 16
Ice Cool (GB)then V T O'Brien 8 0 1 26 Nov 15
All 58 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 58 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P A Fahy (3) and P J Rothwell (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for D J Ryan (3) and P A Fahy (3); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
007305266600
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Geoghegan
19% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Geoghegan 73 0 0% −73.00
E J O'Connell 32 2 6.3% −20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
12
Archived wins
£151k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 4 wins
Free To Dream (IRE) — Barna Waste Novice Hurdle Galway · Oct 2012
£10,005
Georgie (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-116) Galway · Aug 2012
£9,660
Balofilo (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Listowel (IRE) · Sep 2015
£9,315
Notable horses
Georgie (GB) Fantastic Gold (GB) Balofilo (GB) Free To Dream (IRE) Roadtotheisland (IRE) Gone Bust (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Best Of The Bests (IRE) 4.2% · 3–71
Progeny have won 6.6% of 979 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.1% from 307. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 3.2% from 188. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 9.8% from 193. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.9% from 139.
Fantastic Light (USA) 4.3% · 2–47
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (223 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 377.
Heron Island (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.
Teofilo (IRE) 5.4% · 2–37
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,074 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.
High Chaparral (IRE) 0% · 0–30
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 385 · newest first

The latest 50 of 385 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 November 2008 to 14 February 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Feb 18 Fairyhouse Chosen Flower (IRE)J: Mr L P Gilligan fairyhouse.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 100/1
08 Feb 18 Thurles Mountain So High (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Munster Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 11th 66/1
26 Dec 17 Limerick Chosen Flower (IRE)J: Mr E Mahon Lyons Of Limerick Jaguar & Land Rover Mares Flat Race16f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 50/1
29 Oct 17 Galway Balofilo (GB)J: J J Slevin Swordsecurity.com Handicap Hurdle (80-102)18.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 5th 20/1
12 Oct 17 Thurles Balofilo (GB)J: John Fitzpatrick Thurles Handicap Chase (0-109)18f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran UR 33/1
27 Sep 17 Sligo Balofilo (GB)J: Donal McInerney Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Beginners Chase17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran UR 8/1
28 Aug 17 Roscommon Haaf Crafty (IRE)J: E T Daly Murray Ambulance Maiden7f · Heavy · 15 ran 12th 66/1
25 Aug 17 Kilbeggan Twodoorsdown (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron September 8th Celebration Race Meeting Flat Race19.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 7th 20/1
23 Aug 17 Killarney Haaf Crafty (IRE)J: E T Daly Pitchsupplies.ie Maiden8f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1
22 Aug 17 Sligo Balofilo (GB)J: Adam Short Guinness Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 8th 14/1
09 Aug 17 Sligo Balofilo (GB)J: Ryan Treacy Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Beginners Chase21f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 8/1
06 Aug 17 Galway Balofilo (GB)J: Ryan Treacy Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-116)16.5f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 22/1
03 Aug 17 Galway Twodoorsdown (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Guinness West Indies Porter Flat Race18.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 33/1
25 Jul 17 Ballinrobe Balofilo (GB)J: Donal McInerney Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle (80-109)17.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 25/1
16 Jul 17 Sligo Twodoorsdown (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Foley's Bar & Off Licence Flat Race18f · Good · 10 ran 6th 33/1
11 Jul 17 Roscommon Miss Arctic Robin (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Athleague Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 17th 100/1
13 Jun 17 Roscommon Miss Arctic Robin (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Castlerea Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 17th 100/1
29 May 17 Ballinrobe Castle Fairy (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Audi Ballina Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 12th 50/1
21 May 17 Limerick Balofilo (GB)J: Donal McInerney Follow Limerick Racecourse On Facebook Handicap Chase (0-109)19.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 25/1
08 May 17 Roscommon Balofilo (GB)J: Danny Mullins Follow Us On Facebook Mares Beginners Chase21f · Good · 10 ran 4th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M O Cullinane's strike rate?
M O Cullinane has won 12 of 385 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M O Cullinane do best at?
Galway by strike rate: 3 wins from 65 runners (4.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M O Cullinane?
Robbie Geoghegan, with 73 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
What is M O Cullinane's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 384 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).