What is Owyn Nelmes's strike rate?

Owyn Nelmes has won 6 of 257 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Owyn Nelmes do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 1 wins from 38 rides (2.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Owyn Nelmes ride most for?

Helen Nelmes, with 94 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.1%).

What is Owyn Nelmes's Fair A/E?

0.49, from 257 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Owyn Nelmes

257 rides in the lifetime window · 85 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2011 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

6–257

Wins / Runs

2.3%

Strike rate

n=257

42 (16%)

Placed

0.49

Fair A/E

n=257 · 0.41 incl. margin

−170.43

£1 level stake

n=257 at SP · −66.3%

£63,702

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.49).

Deterministic profile computed from 257 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.1% Helen Nelmes: 2.1% from 94 First rides: 3.7%

The read

Helen Nelmes supplied 37% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.1%, A/E 0.45). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 68 rides (0% strike, −68.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.7%+1.4

n=54 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −11.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.1%+8.8

n=9 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +0.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.1%+0.8

n=65 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −33.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=3 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −1.43

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−2.3

n=80 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −80.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Neil King 6.3% vs 2.3% · n=32

In Chase races 0% vs 2.3% · n=68

Off a 61-180-day break 4.4% vs 2.3% · n=45

Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 2.3% · n=31

With Nerys Dutfield 0% vs 2.3% · n=30

In Hurdle races 3.7% vs 2.3% · n=164 · A/E 0.78

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 164 6 3.7% −77.43

Chase 68 0 0% −68.00

NH Flat 24 0 0% −24.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 86 2 2.3% −54.00

Soft 55 1 1.8% −53.43

Good to Firm 51 1 2% −41.00

Good to Soft 51 2 3.9% −8.00

Heavy 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 45 1 2.2% −36.00

Newton Abbot 38 1 2.6% −4.00

Exeter 21 0 0% −21.00

Hereford 14 0 0% −14.00

Taunton 14 1 7.1% −4.00

Plumpton 13 1 7.7% −11.43

Towcester 13 1 7.7% +10.00

Chepstow 12 0 0% −12.00

Stratford 10 0 0% −10.00

Kempton 9 0 0% −9.00

Wincanton 9 0 0% −9.00

Newbury 8 1 12.5% +1.00

Folkestone 7 0 0% −7.00

Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00

Southwell 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 141 4 2.8% −97.43

Class 5 61 1 1.6% −27.00

Class 3 37 1 2.7% −28.00

Class 6 14 0 0% −14.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 1 25% 0.92 −2.43

2nd–3rd fav 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00

4th–6th fav 65 4 6.2% 0.80 −14.00

7th+ in betting 171 1 0.6% 0.25 −137.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.3% completed · 232 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 68 80.9% 1 2 10 0 0

Hurdle 164 82.9% 3 1 21 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kristoffersen (GB) 20 1 7 5 Mar 11

Wild Power (GER) 14 0 2 6 Sep 10

Raise Again (IRE) 13 0 5 20 Sep 09

Swainson (USA) 12 1 2 25 Nov 10

Prince Ducal (FR) 9 0 1 16 Jun 09

Serhaaphim (GB) 9 1 4 5 Mar 09

Kova Hall (IRE) 8 0 1 12 Jul 09

Daring Approach (IRE) 7 0 2 14 Nov 10

Follow The Flow (IRE) 7 0 0 25 Mar 09

The Slider (GB) 6 0 1 29 Apr 09

Alcatras (IRE) 6 0 0 16 Mar 09

Bijou Love (IRE) 6 0 0 24 Oct 08

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 85 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0930000001000

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHelen Nelmes

37% of all rides
2.1% SR · A/E 0.45

TrainerRWSR£1

Helen Nelmes 94 2 2.1% −75.00

Neil King 32 2 6.3% −21.43

Nerys Dutfield 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£422k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 22 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Festive Chimes (IRE) — totepool Fakenham Silver Cup Handicap Hurdle Fakenham · Mar 2007 · Class 3

£7,807

Sir Frosty (GB) — Burlington Slate Cartmel Grand Veterans National Handicap Chase Cartmel · May 2006 · Class 3

£7,807

Sovereign State (IRE) — Handicap Hurdle Fakenham · Mar 2005 · Class 3

£6,760

Notable horses

Festive Chimes (IRE) Alcatras (IRE) Wild Power (GER) Quizzling (IRE) Serhaaphim (GB) Margarets Wish (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kris (GB) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 6.7% of 179 runs since 2008 (14 horses).

Erhaab (USA) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 8% of 1,060 runs since 2008 (86 horses).

Turtle Island (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.

Raise A Grand (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 7.5% of 811 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 115.

Swain (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 9.4% of 552 runs since 2008 (40 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 135.

Winged Love (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,149 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,149 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 5 March 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Mar 11 Kempton Kristoffersen (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Betfred Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 16/1

25 Nov 10 Taunton Swainson (USA)T: Helen Nelmes Tap Medical Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23f · Good · 12 ran UR 33/1

14 Nov 10 Fontwell Daring Approach (IRE)T: Helen Nelmes John Rogerson Memorial Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 12/1

05 Nov 10 Fontwell Bestwood Lodge (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Be Free With Ladbrokes Mobile Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1

05 Nov 10 Fontwell Swainson (USA)T: Helen Nelmes Play Casino At Ladbrokes.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 25/1

02 Nov 10 Exeter The Clyda Rover (IRE)T: Helen Nelmes toteplacepot 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Div 1)Class 3 · 21.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 50/1

26 Oct 10 Taunton Prince Of King (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Total Star Radio Somerset 102.4 Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 10/1

26 Oct 10 Taunton Kristoffersen (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Best Of Taunton Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 9/1

19 Oct 10 Exeter Swainson (USA)T: Helen Nelmes Bathwick Tyres Plymouth Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Good · 12 ran 7th 66/1

02 Oct 10 Fontwell Galantos (GER)T: Helen Nelmes 4d Supporting Sussex Community Foundation Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

02 Oct 10 Fontwell The Clyda Rover (IRE)T: Helen Nelmes Morrison Utility Services Supporting Cancer Research Uk Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 50/1

06 Sep 10 Newton Abbot Wild Power (GER)T: Helen Nelmes South West Racing Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 16/1

06 Sep 10 Newton Abbot Kristoffersen (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Joan Pearson Birthday Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 12/1

22 Aug 10 Newton Abbot Kristoffersen (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Toteexacta Flexi Betting Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 10/1

10 Aug 10 Newton Abbot Wild Power (GER)T: Helen Nelmes Newton Abbot Racecourse Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran UR 25/1

10 Jun 10 Fontwell Swainson (USA)T: Helen Nelmes Bet365.com Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 50/1

13 May 10 Ludlow Kristoffersen (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Hatfields Jaguar Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 14 ran SU 28/1

12 May 10 Fontwell Swainson (USA)T: Helen Nelmes Weatherbys Bank Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 4th 80/1

12 May 10 Fontwell Lahinch Lad (IRE)T: Brendan Powell Crabbies Alcoholic Ginger Beer Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 15/2

21 Mar 10 Fontwell Daring Approach (IRE)T: Helen Nelmes Colin 'derby' Rose / John Ireland Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Owyn Nelmes's strike rate?: Owyn Nelmes has won 6 of 257 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Owyn Nelmes do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 1 wins from 38 rides (2.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Owyn Nelmes ride most for?: Helen Nelmes, with 94 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.1%).
What is Owyn Nelmes's Fair A/E?: 0.49, from 257 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.