What is Patrick Hills's strike rate?

Patrick Hills has won 47 of 598 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Patrick Hills do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 67 rides (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Patrick Hills ride most for?

Richard Hannon Snr, with 201 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (9%).

What is Patrick Hills's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 592 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Patrick Hills

598 rides in the lifetime window · 366 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2013 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

47–598

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=598

152 (25%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=592 · 0.76 incl. margin

−202.55

£1 level stake

n=598 at SP · −33.9%

£316k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (39 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 598 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug 20% when favourite Richard Hannon Snr: 9% from 201 LTO winners: 12.8% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (16.4%, n=67), clear of the rider's 7.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.8% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.90), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=118, Fair A/E 0.57). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −188.14 to a £1 stake over 350 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Richard Hannon Snr supplied 34% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly on Soft going — 3% over 33 rides, 4.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.60 across 78 rides (3.8% strike, −39.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Landucci (GB) — 5 wins from 25 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.3%−1.6

n=350 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −188.14

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.8%+4.9

n=39 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −11.65

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.7%−1.2

n=75 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −29.62

When favourite

20%

n=35 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −13.81

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.8%−0.1

n=561 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −186.55

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.4%−4.5

n=118 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −81.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wolverhampton (AW) 16.4% vs 7.9% · n=67

With debutants 1.7% vs 7.9% · n=60

With Luca Cumani 13.1% vs 7.9% · n=61

On last-time-out winners 12.8% vs 7.9% · n=39

Off a 31-60-day break 3.8% vs 7.9% · n=78

On Soft going 3% vs 7.9% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 597 47 7.9% −201.55

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 225 21 9.3% −56.90

Good to Firm 183 11 6% −70.50

Good 101 9 8.9% −45.65

Good to Soft 41 3 7.3% −11.00

Soft 33 1 3% −26.50

Firm 10 1 10% +2.00

Heavy 5 1 20% +6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 90 5 5.6% −39.06

Wolverhampton (AW) 67 11 16.4% +18.53

Lingfield (AW) 50 4 8% −33.37

Windsor 37 2 5.4% −1.00

Salisbury 32 4 12.5% +13.75

Newmarket 28 0 0% −28.00

Goodwood 28 3 10.7% −7.90

Bath 26 1 3.8% −16.00

Newbury 25 0 0% −25.00

Sandown 21 1 4.8% −14.50

Nottingham 18 0 0% −18.00

Brighton 17 4 23.5% +20.00

Ascot 16 2 12.5% +0.50

Lingfield 15 1 6.7% −11.25

Warwick 13 1 7.7% −9.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 253 22 8.7% −57.83

Class 6 133 9 6.8% −56.22

Class 4 131 9 6.9% −68.50

Class 3 49 4 8.2% −11.50

Class 2 25 2 8% −8.50

Class 7 7 1 14.3% +0.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 43 9 20.9% 0.77 −15.56

2nd–3rd fav 105 17 16.2% 1.07 −12.99

4th–6th fav 198 12 6.1% 0.76 −90.00

7th+ in betting 252 9 3.6% 1.04 −84.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bomber Command (USA) 13 2 3 14 Jun 10

Landucci (GB) 11 2 2 22 Dec 08

Potentiale (IRE) 9 0 3 7 Jul 11

Putra Laju (IRE) 7 0 1 29 Nov 08

Zacynthus (IRE) 6 2 4 25 May 13

Global (GB) 6 3 3 30 Aug 09

Borj Alkuwait (IRE) 6 0 4 24 Oct 08

Valhillen (GB) 6 0 3 17 Oct 08

Diminuto (GB) 6 1 1 3 Sep 08

Ellen Vannin (IRE) 5 1 1 17 Aug 10

Cayman Sky (GB) 5 0 0 26 Oct 09

Cape Hawk (IRE) 5 1 2 11 Oct 09

The 60 most-raced of 366 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

2515163102995707

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hannon Snr

34% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 1.04

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hannon Snr 201 18 9% −56.93

J W Hills 119 9 7.6% −34.62

Luca Cumani 61 8 13.1% +4.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£565k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 22 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Military Attack (IRE) — Deloitte Handicap (Str) Ascot · Jul 2011 · Class 2

£28,013

Yer Woman (IRE) — wlliamhill.com - Vegas Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2010 · Class 2

£9,970

Obstructive (GB) — 8th Kathleen B. Corbett Memorial Handicap Chester · Jul 2007 · Class 3

£9,148

Notable horses

Landucci (GB) Bomber Command (USA) Global (GB) Transvestite (IRE) Monte Major (IRE) Diminuto (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Averti (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,137 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.6% from 110. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.6% from 140. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 5.6% from 162.

Stravinsky (USA) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (66 horses).

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Singspiel (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.

Trans Island (GB) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 9% of 4,740 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 33.3% · 4–12

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 991 · newest first

The latest 50 of 991 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2006 to 30 August 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Aug 13 Thirsk Sir Pedro (GB)T: Charles Hills Theakston Lightfoot HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1

16 Aug 13 Nottingham Sahra Al Khadra (GB)T: Charles Hills Breeders Backing Racing E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 12/1

10 Aug 13 Newmarket Markttag (GB)T: Luca Cumani Poppy Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 33/1

08 Aug 13 Yarmouth Alisios (GR)T: Luca Cumani British Stallion Studs E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 33/1

03 Aug 13 Newmarket West Leake Diman (IRE)T: Charles Hills Audiolink Radio Communications HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 40/1

03 Aug 13 Newmarket La Faisan Blanche (USA)T: Luca Cumani 32red Casino E.b.f. Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 14th 50/1

02 Aug 13 Newmarket Sahra Al Khadra (GB)T: Charles Hills Hyphen Bloodstock E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 5th 50/1

01 Aug 13 Goodwood Maverik (GB)T: William Knight Qipco Future Stars Apprentice HandicapClass 3 · 9f · Good · 17 ran 12th 20/1

30 Jul 13 Yarmouth Saigon City (GB)T: Luca Cumani Online Discounted Tickets At GreatYarmouth-Racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 6/1

26 Jul 13 Newmarket Mount Macedon (GB)T: Luca Cumani Adnams Newmarket Nights Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 25/1

22 Jul 13 Windsor Red Explorer (USA)T: Charles Hills Variety - The Children's Charity HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 5/2F

13 Jul 13 Chester West Leake Diman (IRE)T: Charles Hills Liverpool One HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 25/1

13 Jul 13 Chester Red Explorer (USA)T: Charles Hills Kathleen Corbett Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 11/8F

12 Jul 13 Newmarket Mount Macedon (GB)T: Luca Cumani Celebrating Newmarket - Historic Home Of Horse Racing Maiden StakesClass 4 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 66/1

10 Jul 13 Yarmouth Saigon City (GB)T: Luca Cumani Scroby Sands Windfarm Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 10/1

05 Jul 13 Warwick Red Explorer (USA)T: Charles Hills 500 Goes Large With New 500L HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 11/4F

05 Jul 13 Warwick Shaishee (USA)T: Charles Hills Midshire Business Systems Classic Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 4/5F

27 Jun 13 Warwick Saigon City (GB)T: Luca Cumani Brokers Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 5/1

22 Jun 13 Ayr Country Western (GB)T: Charles Hills Scottish Sun On Sunday HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 5/1

17 Jun 13 Windsor Markttag (GB)T: Luca Cumani MWH Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 15 ran 6th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Hills's strike rate?: Patrick Hills has won 47 of 598 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Hills do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 67 rides (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick Hills ride most for?: Richard Hannon Snr, with 201 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (9%).
What is Patrick Hills's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 592 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.