William Knight
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 230 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). With a claiming rider up the record reads 14% (109 runs).
It is weakest at Ascot (5.4% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.57). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −50.17 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Marco Ghiani rides 14% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (9.7% vs 11.7%, A/E 0.69). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 6.3% over 80 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet York Stakes at York (Jul 2022, £70,888). The stable star of the record: Regal Envoy (IRE) — 11 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,409 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,409 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 March 2006 to 20 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is William Knight's strike rate?
- William Knight has won 132 of 1,127 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does William Knight do best at?
- Sandown by strike rate: 5 wins from 34 runners (14.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for William Knight?
- Marco Ghiani, with 154 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (9.7%).
- Is William Knight in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is William Knight's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 1,121 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.