What is Paul Eddery's strike rate?

Paul Eddery has won 27 of 561 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Eddery do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 52 rides (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paul Eddery ride most for?

Pat Eddery, with 136 rides since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.6%).

What is Paul Eddery's Fair A/E?

0.66, from 556 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Eddery

561 rides in the lifetime window · 234 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2010 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

27–561

Wins / Runs

4.8%

Strike rate

n=561

104 (19%)

Placed

0.66

Fair A/E

n=556 · 0.56 incl. margin

−359.95

£1 level stake

n=560 at SP · −64.3%

£174k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 190 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.66).

Deterministic profile computed from 561 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul Pat Eddery: 9.6% from 136

The read

The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −79.50 to a £1 stake over 101 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Pat Eddery supplied 24% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.6% vs 4.8%, A/E 0.90). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.32 across 87 rides (2.3% strike, −68.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.5%−0.3

n=200 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −129.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

5.7%+0.9

n=35 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −26.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−0.8

n=101 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −79.50

When favourite

15%

n=20 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −12.20

Big fields · 14+ runners

3%−1.8

n=135 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −82.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.8

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Pat Eddery 9.6% vs 4.8% · n=136

At Kempton (AW) 7.7% vs 4.8% · n=52

In Class 4 2.3% vs 4.8% · n=87

With C&D winners 2% vs 4.8% · n=49

On Good to Soft going 2.2% vs 4.8% · n=45

At Southwell (AW) 2.7% vs 4.8% · n=73

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 224 10 4.5% −155.50

Good to Firm 140 8 5.7% −63.75

Good 101 6 5.9% −71.50

Good to Soft 45 1 2.2% −32.00

Soft 37 1 2.7% −25.00

Firm 11 1 9.1% −9.20

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 73 2 2.7% −57.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 53 2 3.8% −38.50

Kempton (AW) 52 4 7.7% −28.00

Lingfield (AW) 37 1 2.7% −28.50

Nottingham 31 1 3.2% −25.00

Leicester 22 0 0% −22.00

Doncaster 20 1 5% −7.00

Yarmouth 19 2 10.5% −7.00

Windsor 18 1 5.6% −6.00

Redcar 14 2 14.3% −0.25

Newbury 14 0 0% −14.00

Beverley 12 1 8.3% −10.00

Warwick 12 0 0% −12.00

Haydock 12 1 8.3% −6.50

Newmarket 12 1 8.3% +9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 229 11 4.8% −148.25

Class 6 193 11 5.7% −130.20

Class 4 87 2 2.3% −68.50

Class 3 20 2 10% +18.00

Class 2 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 7 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 27 4 14.8% 0.59 −14.20

2nd–3rd fav 84 14 16.7% 1.08 +2.75

4th–6th fav 148 5 3.4% 0.48 −98.50

7th+ in betting 301 3 1% 0.33 −250.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Koraleva Tectona (IRE) 13 2 5 3 Oct 09

King's Sabre (GB) 12 1 3 8 Aug 10

Lieutenant Pigeon (GB) 12 2 4 18 May 09

Unshakable (IRE) 10 1 2 7 Oct 09

Penchesco (IRE) 10 1 2 1 Oct 09

Arachnophobia (IRE) 10 3 6 31 Jul 09

Inch Lodge (GB) 9 1 1 25 Nov 08

Private Passion (IRE) 8 1 2 23 Aug 09

Fools Gold (GB) 8 0 2 12 May 09

Capistrano (GB) 8 0 1 17 Mar 09

Sheriff's Silk (GB) 8 0 1 12 Mar 09

Gordy Bee (USA) 7 0 2 9 Dec 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 234 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

3117246655080

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPat Eddery

24% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 0.90

TrainerRWSR£1

Pat Eddery 136 13 9.6% −42.20

Richard Guest 107 5 4.7% −73.50

Gavin Blake 69 2 2.9% −57.50

Roy Bowring 30 1 3.3% −21.50

Debbie Mountain 30 1 3.3% −24.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£519k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 24 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Startori (GB) — Jersey Lily Fillies' Nursery Handicap Newmarket · Oct 2005 · Class 2

£22,475

Unshakable (IRE) — Vodafone Mile Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2007 · Class 2

£21,812

Secret Tune (GB) — totesport.com Handicap Musselburgh · Jun 2007 · Class 4

£12,464

Notable horses

Balerno (GB) Inch Lodge (GB) Arachnophobia (IRE) Norwegian (GB) Unshakable (IRE) Sheriff's Silk (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Captain Rio (GB) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Fasliyev (USA) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.

King's Best (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Rambling Bear (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 6.6% of 362 runs since 2008 (21 horses).

Efisio (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (73 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.2% from 121.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,513 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,513 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2005 to 9 December 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Gordy Bee (USA)T: Richard Guest Win A Kia Venga At Kempton.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 8/1

16 Nov 10 Southwell (AW) Gordy Bee (USA)T: Richard Guest It's Christmas All Year Round HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 16/1

26 Oct 10 Yarmouth Albaher (GB)T: Peter Grayson bet365.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 66/1

09 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Rylee Mooch (GB)T: Richard Guest betdaq.com NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 13/2

05 Oct 10 Catterick Rylee Mooch (GB)T: Richard Guest Racing UK NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 8/1

04 Oct 10 Warwick Straversjoy (GB)T: Reg Hollinshead Jump Season Is Next HandicapClass 5 · 15f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 9/1

02 Oct 10 Epsom Downs One Lucky Lady (GB)T: B W Hills Red Peony NurseryClass 4 · 8.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 8/1

13 Sep 10 Redcar Pobs Trophy (GB)T: Richard Guest Market Cross Jewellers HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 10/1

13 Sep 10 Redcar Applaude (GB)T: Richard Guest Subscribe To Racing Uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 5th 9/4F

11 Sep 10 Chester Acquainted (GB)T: B W Hills freebets.co.uk Stand Cup (Listed)Class 1 · 12.5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 25/1

08 Sep 10 Kempton (AW) Rylee Mooch (GB)T: Richard Guest Book On Line At kempton.co.uk Nursery (Div 1)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 11/1

04 Sep 10 Thirsk Kames Park (IRE)T: Richard Guest Hambleton Cup HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 20/1

02 Sep 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Shesasnip (GB)T: Reg Hollinshead Quinn Radiators Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 66/1

01 Sep 10 Lingfield (AW) Welsh Dresser (IRE)T: Peter Grayson Lingfield Park Marriott Hotel And Country Club Selling Stakes (AW)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 40/1

30 Aug 10 Newcastle Clumber Place (GB)T: Richard Guest Hanro Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 12/1

29 Aug 10 Beverley Straversjoy (GB)T: Reg Hollinshead Racing Again On 15th September HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 4/1

29 Aug 10 Beverley Kames Park (IRE)T: Richard Guest Charles Elsey Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 12/1

28 Aug 10 Redcar Pobs Trophy (GB)T: Richard Guest Hold Your Christmas Party At Redcar Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 20/1

27 Aug 10 Hamilton Nolecce (GB)T: Richard Guest Robert Wiseman Dairies Fresh 'N' Lo HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/1

27 Aug 10 Hamilton Bombay Mist (GB)T: Richard Guest Daluciano Restaurant & Bar HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Eddery's strike rate?: Paul Eddery has won 27 of 561 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Eddery do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 52 rides (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Eddery ride most for?: Pat Eddery, with 136 rides since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.6%).
What is Paul Eddery's Fair A/E?: 0.66, from 556 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.