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Trainer profile

Gavin Blake

156 runners in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2011 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
7–156
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=156
25 (16%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=155 · 0.66 incl. margin
−69.50
£1 level stake
n=156 at SP · −44.6%
£28,515
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 156 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Paul Eddery: 2.9% from 69
The read

Paul Eddery rode 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (2.9%, A/E 0.47). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.28 across 50 runners (2% strike, −43.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.7%+6.2
n=28 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%+3.2
n=13 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
4.8%+0.3
n=21 · A/E 2.35 · £1 +8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.5
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 2% vs 4.5% · n=50
With Paul Eddery 2.9% vs 4.5% · n=69 · A/E 0.47
In Class 6 5.1% vs 4.5% · n=59 · A/E 0.72
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 155 7 4.5% −68.50
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 96 6 6.3% −38.50
Good to Firm 22 1 4.5% +7.00
Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Good 14 0 0% −14.00
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 31 1 3.2% −26.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 26 3 11.5% +5.00
Lingfield (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Southwell (AW) 17 2 11.8% +5.00
Leicester 6 1 16.7% +23.00
Folkestone 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 5 0 0% −5.00
Bath 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 4 0 0% −4.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00
Chelmsford (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 66 3 4.5% −39.50
Class 6 59 3 5.1% −28.00
Class 4 27 1 3.7% +2.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 17 3 17.6% 1.19 +1.50
4th–6th fav 34 2 5.9% 0.86 −8.00
7th+ in betting 100 2 2% 0.67 −58.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The City Kid (IRE)from Stuart Williams 17 2 7 26 Jul 10
D'Artagnans Dream (GB) 15 0 1 21 Jul 10
Dilli Dancer (GB) 10 0 0 5 Jul 10
Lieutenant Pigeon (GB)from Tim Easterby · then Paul Mason 10 2 4 24 Nov 08
Beat Up (GB)from Patrick Chamings · then Patrick Chamings 8 1 2 24 Nov 10
Sheriff's Silk (GB)from Bryan Smart · then Paul Mason 8 0 2 2 Dec 08
Fools Gold (GB)from Tim Easterby · then Paul Mason 8 1 3 28 Oct 08
Arctic Reach (GB)then Brendan Powell 7 0 0 17 Dec 10
Capistrano (GB)from Pam Sly · then Paul Mason 7 0 1 11 Sep 08
My Red Kite (GB) 5 0 0 5 Jul 10
Oasis Breeze (GB)then Tim Easterby 5 1 1 22 Sep 08
Aphrodite's Rock (GB)from Gay Kelleway 4 0 0 11 Dec 10
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Bryan Smart (3) and Tim Easterby (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Mason (11) and Brendan Powell (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1000400011070000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPaul Eddery
44% of all rides
2.9% SR · A/E 0.47
RiderRWSR£1
Paul Eddery 69 2 2.9% −57.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
7
Archived wins
£28,515
Prize money
2008
Best season · 4 wins
Oasis Breeze (GB) — Simply Bathrooms, Leicester, Maiden Fillies' Stakes Leicester · Jun 2008 · Class 4
£3,886
Lieutenant Pigeon (GB) — Try Betdaq For An Exchange Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2008 · Class 5
£2,594
Lieutenant Pigeon (GB) — Panoramic Bar & Restaurant Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2008 · Class 5
£2,457
Notable horses
The City Kid (IRE) Lieutenant Pigeon (GB) Beat Up (GB) Fools Gold (GB) Oasis Breeze (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Danetime (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Cyrano de Bergerac (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.4% of 125 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Phoenix Reach (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 178. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.1% from 257.
Captain Rio (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Efisio (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (73 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.2% from 121.
Dansili (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 156 · newest first

The latest 50 of 156 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2008 to 3 February 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Feb 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Idol Deputy (FR)J: Racheal Kneller Great Offers Online At Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 7 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 33/1
17 Dec 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Arctic Reach (GB)J: David Probert Bet On The Ashes At totesport.com NurseryClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 50/1
11 Dec 10 Lingfield (AW) Aphrodite's Rock (GB)J: Dane O'Neill Get Best Odds Guaranteed At coral.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1
24 Nov 10 Lingfield (AW) Beat Up (GB)J: Jimmy Fortune Racing Post Pricewise Extra Expert Tipping Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 9/1
24 Nov 10 Lingfield (AW) Aphrodite's Rock (GB)J: Chris Catlin Racing Post Pricewise Extra Expert Tipping Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 50/1
25 Oct 10 Leicester Arctic Reach (GB)J: Seb Sanders Haymarket Nursery (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 18/1
16 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Beat Up (GB)J: Dane O'Neill Play Blackjack At totesport.com HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 10/1
09 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Xenophon (GB)J: Luke Morris Bet Euro 2012 Qualifiers - Betdaq Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard To Fast · 10 ran 7th 100/1
08 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Aphrodite's Rock (GB)J: Liam Keniry Breeders' Cup Live Only On ATR HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 50/1
08 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Beat Up (GB)J: Richard Hughes Breeders' Cup Live Only On ATR HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 6/1
08 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Arctic Reach (GB)J: Liam Keniry attheraces.com/breederscup NurseryClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 28/1
29 Sep 10 Kempton (AW) Equine Science (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn digibet.com Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 50/1
27 Sep 10 Bath Xenophon (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney E.B.F. & parkgardencentres.co.uk Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 100/1
24 Sep 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Arctic Reach (GB)J: Liam Keniry Get Best Odds Guaranteed At williamhill.com Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 150/1
17 Sep 10 Newmarket Reachforthebucks (GB)J: Sophie Doyle MC Seafood Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 18 ran 14th 125/1
13 Sep 10 Redcar Xenophon (GB)J: Steve Drowne European Breeders' Fund - Double Trigger Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good · 10 ran 8th 50/1
11 Sep 10 Kempton (AW) Aphrodite's Rock (GB)J: Adam Beschizza Jaguar XF Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 22/1
07 Sep 10 Lingfield (AW) Equine Science (GB)J: Sophie Doyle Tulyar Median Auction Maiden Stakes (AW)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 40/1
23 Aug 10 Kempton (AW) Beat Up (GB)J: Saleem Golam Digibet Sports Betting HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 5/1
16 Aug 10 Windsor Equine Science (GB)J: Sophie Doyle Yes Events Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 8th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gavin Blake's strike rate?
Gavin Blake has won 7 of 156 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gavin Blake do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 31 runners (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gavin Blake?
Paul Eddery, with 69 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.9%).
What is Gavin Blake's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 155 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).