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Jockey profile

Paul O'Reilly

49 rides in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2019 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–49
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=49
1 (2%)
Placed
0.87
Fair A/E
n=49 · 0.66 incl. margin
+18.00
£1 level stake
n=49 at SP · +36.7%
£11,188
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.0
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2%+0.0
n=49 · A/E 0.87 · £1 +18.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.0
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 2% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 44 0 0% −44.00
Chase 4 1 25% +63.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 21 1 4.8% +46.00
Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 8 1 12.5% +59.00
Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00
Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Kilbeggan 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Auteuil (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Cork 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 43 1 2.3% 1.25 +24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70.8% completed · 48 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 75% 0 1 0 0 0
Hurdle 44 70.5% 3 1 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Right Turn Clive (IRE) 7 0 0 28 Aug 18
Tullodoc (IRE) 5 0 0 19 Aug 16
Shamat (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Jul 16
Ellipsism (IRE) 3 0 0 14 May 19
Satnav Sally (IRE) 3 0 0 23 Jul 17
Railway Rule (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Mar 16
Kittyhawkkay (FR) 2 0 0 22 Sep 17
Ellie's Choice (IRE) 2 0 0 20 Jul 17
Windsor Higgins (IRE) 2 1 1 21 May 17
Ballinahow Bill (IRE) 2 0 0 17 May 17
Anaglogs Dame (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Jun 16
Milan Diva (IRE) 1 0 0 16 Mar 19
All 25 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·000100000··0
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
David Harry Kelly 17 0 0% −17.00
Ms Ann R Reilly 8 0 0% −8.00
M J Tynan 5 0 0% −5.00
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 3 0 0% −3.00
D Donovan 2 0 0% −2.00
Steven E Ryder 2 1 50% +65.00
Eugene M O'Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
John Patrick Ryan 2 0 0% −2.00
J-P Gallorini 1 0 0% −1.00
P F McEnery 1 0 0% −1.00
Sarah Dawson 1 0 0% −1.00
John O Clifford 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
1
Archived wins
£11,188
Prize money
2017
Best season · 1 win
Windsor Higgins (IRE) — Liam Hogan Memorial Beginners Chase Limerick · May 2017
£9,240
Notable horses
Windsor Higgins (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rudimentary (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Dr Massini (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,860 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Robin Des Pres (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,800 runs since 2008 (229 horses).
So You Think (NZ) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,151 runs since 2008 (108 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 131.
Whipper (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,598 runs since 2008 (395 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 515. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.6% from 1,128.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 49 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Paul O'Reilly's 49 archived rides, from 19 June 2014 to 14 May 2019, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 May 19 Tramore Ellipsism (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien BetVictor Bet 5 Get 30 Offer Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 9th 50/1
11 May 19 Cork Ellipsism (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Summer BBQ Evenings Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 12th 50/1
06 May 19 Down Royal Ellipsism (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Pepsi Max Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 20 ran 10th 7/1
16 Mar 19 Down Royal Milan Diva (IRE)T: Sarah Dawson Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Soft · 19 ran PU 28/1
06 Dec 18 Clonmel Presenting Thewest (IRE)T: Emmet Mullins Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Yielding · 18 ran 12th 12/1
28 Aug 18 Ballinrobe Right Turn Clive (IRE)T: Ms Ann R Reilly Corrib Oil Handicap Hurdle (80-95)25f · Yielding · 16 ran 10th 66/1
22 Sep 17 Downpatrick Kittyhawkkay (FR)T: John Patrick Ryan White Horse Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran PU 33/1
15 Sep 17 Listowel Lough Navar (GB)T: Eugene M O'Sullivan John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 50/1
08 Sep 17 Kilbeggan Kittyhawkkay (FR)T: John Patrick Ryan Summer Party Pack Discount Group Booking Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 66/1
18 Aug 17 Tramore Illchanceit (IRE)T: Eugene M O'Sullivan Hibernian Hotel Mares Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 66/1
23 Jul 17 Tipperary Satnav Sally (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Riptide Movement Live At Tipperary 11th August Beginners Chase20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran UR 80/1
20 Jul 17 Killarney Ellie's Choice (IRE)T: D Donovan Europe Hotel & Resort Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Good · 16 ran 15th 80/1
09 Jul 17 Limerick Satnav Sally (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Book Online At Limerickraces.ie Beginners Chase18f · Good · 16 ran 11th 100/1
09 Jul 17 Limerick Ellie's Choice (IRE)T: D Donovan Limerick Racecourse Family Fun Day Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 12th 100/1
21 Jun 17 Wexford Satnav Sally (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Welcome To Wexford Racecourse Novice Hurdle16f · Good · 5 ran 4th 66/1
13 Jun 17 Roscommon Vivalino (IRE)T: P F McEnery Castlerea Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 13th 66/1
05 Jun 17 Listowel Meadow Blaze (IRE)T: William Hayes Kingdom Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 17 ran PU 100/1
26 May 17 Down Royal Right Turn Clive (IRE)T: Ms Ann R Reilly Barclay Bytes Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 10/1
21 May 17 Limerick Windsor Higgins (IRE)T: Steven E Ryder Liam Hogan Memorial Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 66/1
17 May 17 Punchestown Ballinahow Bill (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly punchestown.com Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Good · 24 ran PU 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul O'Reilly's strike rate?
Paul O'Reilly has won 1 of 49 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Paul O'Reilly's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 49 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).