Rian Corcoran
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (30 rides). Rides mostly for David Pipe — 50% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Worcester (10% over 30 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.06), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.35). David Pipe supplies 50% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19.1% vs 14%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Chase races (20.5%, n=73) and off a 15-30-day break (18.9%, n=90). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 9.4% over 138 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Jaipaletemps (FR) — 5 wins from 9 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2023→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 229 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 229 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 November 2023 to 12 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 10 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Rian Corcoran's strike rate?
- Rian Corcoran has won 32 of 229 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rian Corcoran do best at?
- Worcester by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Rian Corcoran ride most for?
- David Pipe, with 115 rides since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (19.1%).
- Is Rian Corcoran in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Rian Corcoran's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 228 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.