Tom Symonds
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (67 runs).
It is weakest at Ludlow (3.2% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 14.9% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.08). Ben Poste rides 50% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 0.92). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 3% over 33 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.55 across 145 runners (6.2% strike, −90.02 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Unibet International Hurdle at Cheltenham (Dec 2020, £63,784). The stable star of the record: Midnight Belle (GB) — 7 wins from 29 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,819 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,819 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 October 2011 to 12 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Tom Symonds's strike rate?
- Tom Symonds has won 49 of 479 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Tom Symonds do best at?
- Ffos Las by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 runners (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Tom Symonds?
- Ben Poste, with 241 runners since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (9.5%).
- Is Tom Symonds in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Tom Symonds's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 479 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.