What is Robert L Butler's strike rate?

Robert L Butler has won 38 of 946 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robert L Butler do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 95 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Robert L Butler ride most for?

Richard Guest, with 255 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (7.1%).

What is Robert L Butler's Fair A/E?

0.70, from 937 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Robert L Butler

946 rides in the lifetime window · 404 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2012

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

38–946

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=946

157 (17%)

Placed

0.70

Fair A/E

n=937 · 0.59 incl. margin

−463.12

£1 level stake

n=946 at SP · −49.0%

£239k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 190 times a season, across both codes, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (55 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 946 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–Jun Richard Guest: 7.1% from 255 LTO winners: 9.1% Claiming: 4.2%

The read

It is weakest at Fontwell (0% over 42 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9.1% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.96). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.23 and −144.00 to a £1 stake over 177 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Richard Guest supplied 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.1% vs 4%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Heavy going (10%, n=40) and off a 0-7-day break (7.6%, n=119). Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.8%−1.2

n=351 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −235.37

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.1%+5.1

n=55 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −3.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.1%−2.9

n=177 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −144.00

When favourite

22.2%

n=18 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −6.12

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.2%+0.2

n=912 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −429.12

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.8%−2.2

n=227 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −151.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.0

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Heavy going 10% vs 4% · n=40

On last-time-out winners 9.1% vs 4% · n=55

Off a 0-7-day break 7.6% vs 4% · n=119

With Richard Guest 7.1% vs 4% · n=255

At Fontwell 0% vs 4% · n=42

Off a 8-14-day break 6.6% vs 4% · n=227

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 576 25 4.3% −282.25

Hurdle 248 8 3.2% −158.37

Chase 96 5 5.2% +3.50

NH Flat 26 0 0% −26.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 334 12 3.6% −215.75

Good 207 9 4.3% −109.50

Good to Firm 140 7 5% −60.75

Good to Soft 111 4 3.6% −26.00

Soft 108 2 1.9% −98.12

Heavy 40 4 10% +53.00

Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 95 6 6.3% −13.50

Southwell (AW) 84 3 3.6% −66.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 80 2 2.5% −63.00

Lingfield (AW) 75 1 1.3% −72.75

Plumpton 44 1 2.3% −37.00

Fontwell 42 0 0% −42.00

Chepstow 33 1 3% +18.00

Folkestone 31 0 0% −31.00

Towcester 25 2 8% −11.00

Huntingdon 23 2 8.7% −10.00

Yarmouth 19 0 0% −19.00

Newcastle 15 1 6.7% +6.00

Redcar 15 0 0% −15.00

Brighton 15 1 6.7% −3.00

Beverley 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 307 11 3.6% −124.25

Class 6 276 9 3.3% −193.75

Class 4 273 13 4.8% −125.12

Class 3 57 4 7% +4.00

Class 7 16 1 6.3% −7.00

Class 2 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 24 5 20.8% 0.82 −6.62

2nd–3rd fav 81 6 7.4% 0.50 −44.00

4th–6th fav 263 14 5.3% 0.75 −114.50

7th+ in betting 578 13 2.2% 0.74 −298.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dancing Freddy (IRE) 24 3 10 29 Dec 11

Dickie Le Davoir (GB) 17 2 4 10 Apr 12

Querido (GER) 14 1 4 29 May 12

Kames Park (IRE) 12 1 3 24 Feb 12

Petomic (IRE) 12 2 3 27 Jan 12

On The Cusp (IRE) 12 0 0 3 Sep 11

Urban Tiger (GER) 12 1 6 12 Nov 08

The Which Doctor (GB) 11 1 1 24 Nov 11

Geography (IRE) 10 1 3 13 Apr 09

Frognal (IRE) 9 1 2 13 Dec 11

Cut The Cackle (IRE) 9 0 1 7 Dec 11

Nolecce (GB) 8 1 2 10 Apr 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 404 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

453677353413

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Guest

27% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 1.12

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Guest 255 18 7.1% −11.50

Paddy Butler 145 4 2.8% −119.25

Carl Llewellyn 108 6 5.6% −15.62

Jim Best 71 2 2.8% −62.75

Michael Chapman 34 2 5.9% −22.00

Sheena West 31 1 3.2% −23.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£513k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Cresswell Willow (IRE) — Tanners Wines Handicap Chase Ludlow · Dec 2008 · Class 3

£12,570

Deferlant (FR) — Freddie Meecham Handicap Chase Fontwell · Nov 2006 · Class 3

£9,759

Ede'iff (GB) — Tanners Wines Handicap Chase Ludlow · Dec 2005 · Class 3

£9,545

Notable horses

Dancing Freddy (IRE) Dance With Wolves (FR) Geography (IRE) Dickie Le Davoir (GB) Petomic (IRE) Scalloway (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Chineur (FR) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 9% of 2,167 runs since 2009 (138 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12% from 209. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 403. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6% from 199.

Kyllachy (GB) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Marju (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2008 (286 horses).

Dansili (GB) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Danetime (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.

Acatenango (GER) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 9.4% of 637 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 126.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,690 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,690 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 1 June 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Jun 12 Brighton Heading To First (GB)T: Paddy Butler At The Races Virgin 534 Classified Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 20/1

29 May 12 Lingfield (AW) Querido (GER)T: Paddy Butler lingfieldpark.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 16/1

26 May 12 Chester Legal Eagle (IRE)T: Paul Green Beefeater Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 8/1

21 May 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Legal Eagle (IRE)T: Paul Green Betfred Mobile Casino HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

30 Apr 12 Kempton (AW) Querido (GER)T: Paddy Butler Olly Murs At Kempton Park 17.08.2012 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

19 Apr 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Legal Eagle (IRE)T: Paul Green 32red Casino HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 40/1

11 Apr 12 Lingfield (AW) Querido (GER)T: Paddy Butler Chartplan Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 20/1

10 Apr 12 Yarmouth Dickie Le Davoir (GB)T: Richard Guest Norfolk Racing Club/plantdrive Ltd HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 16/1

10 Apr 12 Yarmouth Nolecce (GB)T: Richard Guest Norfolk Racing Club/m.d. Thompson Electrical HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 10/1

09 Apr 12 Redcar European Dream (IRE)T: Richard Guest John Smith's Redcar Straight-Mile Championship Handicap (Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 10th 20/1

04 Apr 12 Lingfield (AW) Perfect Shot (IRE)T: Jim Best Mirror Punters Club HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 25/1

03 Apr 12 Southwell (AW) Bertie Blu Boy (GB)T: Paul Green Follow Southwell On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 33/1

02 Apr 12 Redcar Dickie Le Davoir (GB)T: Richard Guest Come Racing Again On Easter Monday HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 4th 33/1

29 Mar 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Georgebernardshaw (IRE)T: Richard Guest Free Casino Bets At FreeBetting.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 14/1

29 Mar 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Captain Scooby (GB)T: Richard Guest Free Betting With FreeBetting.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 12/1

23 Mar 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Johnson's Cat (IRE)T: Richard Guest Exclusive Free Bets At FreeBetting.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 16/1

21 Mar 12 Kempton (AW) Carlton Scroop (FR)T: Paddy Butler Betdaq Mobile Apps HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 20/1

16 Mar 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Bertie Blu Boy (GB)T: Paul Green Free Betting With FreeBetting.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 28/1

16 Mar 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Ivan The Terrible (IRE)T: Richard Guest Football Betting With FreeBetting.co.uk HandicapClass 7 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 25/1

15 Mar 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Lucky Dan (IRE)T: Paul Green Cheltenham Festival Free Bets With FreeBetting.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert L Butler's strike rate?: Robert L Butler has won 38 of 946 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert L Butler do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 95 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robert L Butler ride most for?: Richard Guest, with 255 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (7.1%).
What is Robert L Butler's Fair A/E?: 0.70, from 937 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.