What is Ronan Thomas's strike rate?

Ronan Thomas has won 347 of 4,031 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ronan Thomas do best at?

Lyon Parilly by strike rate: 10 wins from 35 rides (28.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ronan Thomas ride most for?

C & Y Lerner, with 485 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 53 (10.9%).

Is Ronan Thomas in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.6% since 2008.

What is Ronan Thomas's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 3,802 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ronan Thomas

4,031 rides in the lifetime window · 1,576 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

347–4,031

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=4,031

1,053 (26%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=3,802 · 0.87 incl. margin

−457.50

£1 level stake

n=3,895 at SP · −11.7%

£11.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (349 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,031 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 27.5% when favourite C & Y Lerner: 10.9% from 485 LTO winners: 13.8% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lyon Parilly (28.6%, n=35), Fontainebleau (27.8%, n=36) and Cagnes-Sur-Mer (19.4%, n=36) — all clear of the rider's 8.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.8% (n=349, Fair A/E 1.02). C & Y Lerner supplies 12% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.9% vs 8.6%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2024, £745,304). The standout partner of the record: Gallardo (IRE) — 7 wins from 15 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.5%−0.1

n=1,558 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +90.30

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.8%+5.2

n=349 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −48.73

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.7%−0.9

n=1,035 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +51.15

When favourite

27.5%

n=255 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −4.68

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.2%−2.4

n=2,233 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −209.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.4%+0.8

n=381 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +14.55

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lyon Parilly 28.6% vs 8.6% · n=35

At Fontainebleau 27.8% vs 8.6% · n=36

At Cagnes-Sur-Mer 19.4% vs 8.6% · n=36

At Clairefontaine 17.6% vs 8.6% · n=34

On last-time-out winners 13.8% vs 8.6% · n=349

With Gianluca Bietolini 14.9% vs 8.6% · n=67

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,029 347 8.6% −455.50

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,405 102 7.3% −337.50

Soft 870 77 8.9% +35.92

Good 745 58 7.8% −176.10

Good to Soft 670 75 11.2% +33.33

Heavy 331 33 10% −15.45

Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% +2.30

Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 1,072 77 7.2% −244.70

Chantilly 942 67 7.1% −266.00

Saint-Cloud 668 49 7.3% −46.00

Longchamp (FR) 604 52 8.6% −9.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 406 29 7.1% −57.10

Fontainebleau 36 10 27.8% +62.70

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 36 7 19.4% −5.90

Lyon Parilly 35 10 28.6% +10.05

Clairefontaine 34 6 17.6% +49.23

Vichy 25 5 20% +14.80

Compiegne 25 9 36% +66.40

Toulouse 19 3 15.8% −7.18

Le Lion-D'Angers 13 1 7.7% −10.00

Nantes 12 2 16.7% −4.10

Lyon-La Soie 11 5 45.5% +24.60

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 384 36 9.4% +11.55

Class 3 17 1 5.9% −13.00

Class 2 4 1 25% −0.75

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 268 71 26.5% 1.09 −12.88

2nd–3rd fav 653 85 13% 0.88 −137.32

4th–6th fav 1,046 82 7.8% 0.96 −121.70

7th+ in betting 1,928 74 3.8% 1.08 −185.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 1,282 98 7.6% −314.60

1m2f – 1m4f 1,218 118 9.7% −23.30

6f – 7f 1,126 90 8% −142.10

1m5f – 2m 238 26 10.9% +3.50

Under 6f 149 13 8.7% +7.00

2m1f – 2m4f 18 2 11.1% +12.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 67 14 20.9% +13.00

2009 49 14 28.6% +8.80

2010 222 22 9.9% +51.70

2011 327 33 10.1% +45.60

2012 421 39 9.3% +73.30

2013 376 25 6.6% −108.90

2014 376 32 8.5% −97.00

2015 193 12 6.2% −35.00

2016 264 14 5.3% −159.00

2017 229 10 4.4% −75.80

2018 144 13 9% +18.00

2019 159 10 6.3% −19.80

2020 103 13 12.6% −5.40

2021 111 8 7.2% −43.10

2022 163 9 5.5% −99.60

2023 163 16 9.8% +41.30

2024 273 31 11.4% +11.30

2025 222 17 7.7% −9.80

2026 169 15 8.9% −67.10

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,165 164 7.6% −195.60

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,605 98 6.1% −218.10

11-13 runners 675 59 8.7% −169.50

8-10 runners 653 68 10.4% −78.55

17+ runners 628 40 6.4% +8.40

5-7 runners 308 29 9.4% −138.40

2-4 runners 160 51 31.9% +130.85

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

White Platin (FR) 53 4 17 10 Nov 26

Green Tango (FR) 38 2 11 19 Oct 14

Orange Vif (FR) 35 1 9 30 Oct 26

Breath Of Fire (FR) 21 1 10 14 May 23

Ten Years After I (FR) 20 3 6 26 Aug 15

Exxtra (FR) 19 3 8 14 Sep 25

Luci Del Faro (FR) 19 1 6 3 Dec 24

Hopeless (FR) 19 3 4 23 Aug 20

Aristote (GB) 19 3 7 5 May 18

Gentleshaw (FR) 19 2 9 22 Dec 14

Air De Valse (FR) 18 4 8 7 Aug 22

Wapi (FR) 17 2 7 26 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,576 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 17 5.9% · −2.7pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

Lifetime base8.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

89898910810997

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardC & Y Lerner

12% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

C & Y Lerner 485 53 10.9% −85.60

P Van De Poele 443 48 10.8% +61.40

Mme C Barande-Barbe 357 27 7.6% −33.20

J Phelippon 232 21 9.1% −69.50

A Bonin 231 18 7.8% −21.30

F-H Graffard 126 17 13.5% +96.60

J E Pease 111 12 10.8% +21.60

P Decouz 90 11 12.2% +11.70

J Van Handenhove 87 8 9.2% +11.80

J-V Toux 85 3 3.5% −28.90

N Caullery 80 7 8.8% −0.70

J E Hammond 77 7 9.1% −38.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

411

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£12.5m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 39 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Look De Vega (FR) — Qatar Prix du Jockey Club (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2024 · Group 1

£745,304

Musical Way (FR) — Prix Dollar Casino Barriere de Montreux Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2007 · Group 2

£50,068

Spirit Of Zarak (FR) — Prix Fille De L'air (Group 3) Toulouse (FR) · Nov 2026 · Group 3

£36,600

Notable horses

Gallardo (IRE) Musical Way (FR) White Platin (FR) Air De Valse (FR) Spirit Of Zarak (FR) Ten Years After I (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Siyouni (FR) 9.5% · 7–74

Progeny have won 13% of 8,375 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460.

Gold Away (IRE) 15.4% · 10–65

Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,477 runs since 2008 (206 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 328. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 177.

Elusive City (USA) 9.8% · 6–61

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,432 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Stormy River (FR) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,231 runs since 2011 (253 horses).

Polarix (GB) 7.4% · 4–54

Progeny have won 6.7% of 284 runs since 2019 (29 horses).

Le Havre (IRE) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,892 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,317 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,317 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2005 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Spirit Of Zarak (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Fille De L'air (Group 3)10.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 13/8F

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) King Trezy (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix De La Ville De Toulouse12f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 3/1F

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Quiet Strength (FR)T: M Blancpain Criterium Du Languedoc - Prix Bernard De Marmiesse8f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) White Platin (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix Guy Thibault6f · Very Soft · 15 ran 13th 4/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Waziers (FR)T: F Foresi Prix Roland Fougedoire6f · Very Soft · 16 ran 11th 33/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Arctic Bay (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix Solitude10f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 80/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Manuae (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix Du Labyrinthe De Buis8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 14/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) La Saucelle (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix De La Croix Saint-rieuil8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Padova (IRE)T: M Blancpain Prix Lazzaro12.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/4J

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Leoparduccio (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix De La Croix Du Grand VeneurClass 3 · 8f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 10/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) White Platin (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix Du Centre D'ecotourisme De FranchardClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 9/2F

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) True Value (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix Des FrenesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 11/4F

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Micocoulier Street (FR)T: F Bresson Prix Des Pins Noirs15f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 15/2

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Bromus (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix Du Bray Normand9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 3/1F

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Corypheene (FR)T: C Lecrivain Prix Du Plateau De La Madrie9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Moondance (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 4/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wood Ming (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Orange Vif (FR)T: Mme C Barande-Barbe Prix De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 11/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Quiet Strength (FR)T: M Blancpain Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Dictynna (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ronan Thomas's strike rate?: Ronan Thomas has won 347 of 4,031 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ronan Thomas do best at?: Lyon Parilly by strike rate: 10 wins from 35 rides (28.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ronan Thomas ride most for?: C & Y Lerner, with 485 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 53 (10.9%).
Is Ronan Thomas in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.6% since 2008.
What is Ronan Thomas's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 3,802 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.