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Trainer profile

Tjade Collier

219 runners in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2025
from 1 Jan 2022
16–219
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=219
51 (23%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=217 · 0.74 incl. margin
−140.92
£1 level stake
n=219 at SP · −64.3%
£190k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 219 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well in Chase races (19.5%, n=41) and on Soft going (13.5%, n=37). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 1.5% over 68 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Ladronne (FR) — 9 wins from 45 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.3
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=21 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +2.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%−2.4
n=61 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −49.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 19.5% vs 7.3% · n=41
In Hurdle races 1.5% vs 7.3% · n=68
On Soft going 13.5% vs 7.3% · n=37
Off a 31-60-day break 2.6% vs 7.3% · n=38
With a new jockey booking 3.7% vs 7.3% · n=109
Off a 15-30-day break 11% vs 7.3% · n=82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 95 7 7.4% −61.67
Hurdle 68 1 1.5% −56.00
Chase 41 8 19.5% −8.25
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 72 4 5.6% −40.50
Standard (AW) 49 5 10.2% −30.67
Soft 37 5 13.5% −17.00
Good to Soft 36 2 5.6% −27.75
Good to Firm 17 0 0% −17.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 19 2 10.5% −9.00
Newcastle (AW) 19 2 10.5% −12.25
Wetherby 19 2 10.5% −12.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 18 3 16.7% −6.42
Catterick 14 1 7.1% −10.25
Southwell (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Market Rasen 12 0 0% −12.00
Southwell 12 0 0% −12.00
Musselburgh 12 0 0% −12.00
Newcastle 10 2 20% −1.50
Redcar 9 1 11.1% +2.00
Hexham 8 0 0% −8.00
Haydock 6 0 0% −6.00
Bangor-on-Dee 5 0 0% −5.00
Doncaster 5 2 40% +10.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 93 6 6.5% −61.50
Class 4 56 2 3.6% −47.00
Class 6 47 5 10.6% −20.42
Class 3 19 3 15.8% −8.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 7 31.8% 1.12 +1.75
2nd–3rd fav 33 6 18.2% 1.06 −7.17
4th–6th fav 59 3 5.1% 0.48 −30.50
7th+ in betting 105 0 0% 0.00 −105.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ladronne (FR)from Sue Smith · then Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 31 6 13 11 Mar 25
Tacitus (IRE)from Brian Meehan 24 1 5 2 Oct 24
Blue Hawaii (IRE) 20 4 11 10 Dec 23
Doors Breaker (FR) 16 1 4 2 Aug 23
Vindobala (IRE)from Tracy Waggott · then Sam England 15 2 8 25 Oct 22
Chemical Warfare (IRE)then David Pipe 13 1 5 11 Jul 23
The Spinmeister (GB) 9 0 0 17 Jan 24
Tommy's Fortune (IRE) 8 0 0 26 Jan 23
He's An Angel (GB)from Peter Niven · then Kevin Frost 7 0 0 28 Oct 24
Not Now Tayto (IRE) 7 0 1 15 Jun 24
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sue Smith (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith (5) and David Pipe (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0132047500011815
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Quinlan 29 4 13.8% −11.50
Thomas Dowson 20 2 10% −4.00
Dale Swift 18 3 16.7% +0.25
Paul Mulrennan 11 2 18.2% −4.25
Ross Chapman 10 0 0% −10.00
Thomas Willmott 7 0 0% −7.00
Ryan Sexton 7 0 0% −7.00
William Maggs 7 3 42.9% +4.25
William Pyle 6 0 0% −6.00
Philip Armson 6 0 0% −6.00
Richie McLernon 5 0 0% −5.00
William Shanahan 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
22
Archived wins
£231k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 7 wins
Ladronne (FR) — Download The Raceday Ready App Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Doncaster · Mar 2024 · Class 3
£11,169
Ladronne (FR) — Play Last Horse Standing With Vickers.Bet Handicap Chase Newcastle · Mar 2022 · Class 4
£7,080
Ladronne (FR) — Jean Walpole 75th Birthday Handicap Chase Catterick · Nov 2022 · Class 3
£6,862

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Linda's Lad (GB) 19.4% · 6–31
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,312 runs since 2008 (183 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.8% from 212.
Jeremy (USA) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Zoffany (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,758 runs since 2008 (799 horses).
American Post (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Pride Of Dubai (AUS) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 13% of 1,161 runs since 2008 (92 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.7% from 385. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 191. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 17% from 200.
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,797 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 283 · newest first

The latest 50 of 283 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 November 2019 to 10 June 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Nov 24 Carlisle Ladronne (FR)J: Ross Chapman Unibet Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 5/1
24 Oct 24 Carlisle Ladronne (FR)J: Brian Hughes Hather Financial Services Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tjade Collier's strike rate?
Tjade Collier has won 16 of 219 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Tjade Collier's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 217 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).