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Jockey profile

Tom Broughton

496 rides in the lifetime window · 196 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Rides today 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
54–496
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=496
148 (30%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=495 · 0.82 incl. margin
−133.69
£1 level stake
n=496 at SP · −27.0%
£608k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (58 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 496 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 37% when favourite Fergal O'Brien: 18.3% from 180 First rides: 12.8% LTO winners: 20.7% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.7% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.95), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.41). Fergal O'Brien supplies 36% of the rides and beats the rider's average (18.3% vs 10.9%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 30 rides, 10.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.59 across 144 rides (5.6% strike, −89.89 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.8%+1.9
n=196 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −26.33
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20.7%+9.8
n=58 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −17.61
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.4%−0.5
n=125 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −32.91
When favourite
37%
n=46 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −5.52
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.8%−0.1
n=443 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −120.86
Big fields · 14+ runners
2%−8.9
n=49 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −37.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 20.7% vs 10.9% · n=58
With Fergal O'Brien 18.3% vs 10.9% · n=180
With Nick Kent 3.1% vs 10.9% · n=129
In NH Flat races 0% vs 10.9% · n=30
With new recruits 20% vs 10.9% · n=40
Over 1m5f – 2m 5.6% vs 10.9% · n=144
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 306 32 10.5% −112.52
Chase 150 21 14% +15.83
NH Flat 30 0 0% −30.00
Flat 10 1 10% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 272 29 10.7% −76.84
Good to Soft 125 15 12% −21.35
Soft 60 4 6.7% −30.00
Good to Firm 20 5 25% +3.50
Heavy 17 1 5.9% −7.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Market Rasen 73 5 6.8% −44.50
Worcester 38 2 5.3% −7.38
Newton Abbot 33 6 18.2% −14.40
Uttoxeter 29 2 6.9% −22.50
Southwell 23 7 30.4% +10.60
Stratford 23 5 21.7% +9.00
Hereford 18 0 0% −18.00
Huntingdon 16 2 12.5% −8.75
Warwick 16 4 25% +16.50
Chepstow 15 0 0% −15.00
Cheltenham 15 3 20% +46.00
Taunton 15 1 6.7% −9.50
Doncaster 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Wetherby 13 0 0% −13.00
Aintree 12 1 8.3% −9.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 221 25 11.3% −70.52
Class 5 196 21 10.7% −64.00
Class 3 41 5 12.2% +8.50
Class 2 14 1 7.1% +9.00
Class 6 14 2 14.3% −6.67
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 53 19 35.8% 1.05 −6.14
2nd–3rd fav 109 18 16.5% 0.91 −18.55
4th–6th fav 185 13 7% 0.89 −21.00
7th+ in betting 149 4 2.7% 0.87 −88.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.9% completed · 456 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 150 80.7% 4 5 19 0 1
Hurdle 306 91.5% 4 1 20 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cheltenam De Vaige (FR) 14 3 6 22 Aug 24
Great D'ange (FR) 13 0 3 18 Sep 26
Chief Black Robe (IRE) 13 4 4 19 Jul 26
Bowie (IRE) 13 1 2 3 Apr 19
Bannister (FR) 10 0 0 29 Oct 26
Klervia (FR) 10 0 2 19 Jun 26
No No Fizz (IRE) 8 2 3 7 Nov 26
Mix Of Clover (GB) 8 2 3 15 Sep 26
Gilbertina (GB) 8 0 3 16 May 26
Just Her Type (IRE) 8 2 6 17 Feb 26
Diamond Koda (IRE) 7 1 5 30 Oct 26
Gateau De Miel (FR) 7 2 2 26 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 196 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0816101481025131399
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardFergal O'Brien
36% of all rides
18.3% SR · A/E 1.17
TrainerRWSR£1
Fergal O'Brien 180 33 18.3% −16.64
Nick Kent 129 4 3.1% −107.75
Barry Brennan 44 3 6.8% −11.50
Max Comley 37 5 13.5% −9.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
54
Archived wins
£608k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 19 wins
Leloopa (IRE) — Ladbrokes Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2025 · Class 2
£51,440
Chic Name (FR) — Heineken UK Highland National Handicap Chase Perth · Apr 2018 · Class 3
£15,335
Leloopa (IRE) — Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Oct 2025 · Class 3
£10,562
Notable horses
Chief Black Robe (IRE) Cheltenam De Vaige (FR) Leloopa (IRE) Jack Hyde (IRE) Getaway King (IRE) Blue Sans (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 21.7% · 5–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,036 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,905 runs since 2013 (688 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Forestier (FR) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 8.8% of 454 runs since 2009 (44 horses).
El Salvador (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 13.4% of 358 runs since 2020 (51 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.9% from 148.
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,558 runs since 2010 (411 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.6% from 729. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.
Pelder (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 10.8% of 249 runs since 2008 (24 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 496 · newest first

The latest 50 of 496 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 July 2014 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Nov 26 Cheltenham Heart Over Head (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien AIS Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers' Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 18 ran 17th 125/1
07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Mariah's Dream (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 7th 16/1
07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter No No Fizz (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien 0% Commission For 110 Days At Matchbook Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 25/1
07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter New Chapter (GB)T: Alastair Ralph Matchbook Signup Get 20% Back On Losses Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 150/1
05 Nov 26 Newbury Lejo Du Seuil (FR)T: Ian Williams OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 33/1
01 Nov 26 Worcester Dexperado (FR)T: Nick Kent Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1
01 Nov 26 Worcester Exiguus (GB)T: Nick Kent Copybet Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 100/1
30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Diamond Koda (IRE)T: Nick Kent Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 9th 11/1
29 Oct 26 Stratford Dunworley (IRE)T: Nick Kent J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 20/1
29 Oct 26 Stratford Bannister (FR)T: Nick Kent Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 14/1
28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Rock On Cowboy (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Passage House Hotel South Devon Gateway Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 16/1
25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Klapton Boy (FR)T: Nick Kent £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 9/2
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Fils De Roi (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1
08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Bannister (FR)T: Nick Kent Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/1
25 Sep 26 Worcester Mojo Ego (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Fbc Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/4F
25 Sep 26 Worcester Gwash (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 5th 8/1
18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Great D'Ange (FR)T: Alexander Gibbons Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 6th 18/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Mix Of Clover (GB)T: Alastair Ralph QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 7th 22/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Gwash (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Ready Freddie Go Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 10/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Mojo Ego (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Power Utilities Group Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 23 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tom Broughton's strike rate?
Tom Broughton has won 54 of 496 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Broughton do best at?
Newton Abbot by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 rides (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Broughton ride most for?
Fergal O'Brien, with 180 rides since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (18.3%).
Is Tom Broughton in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Broughton's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 495 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).