What is Tristan Normand's strike rate?

Tristan Normand has won 20 of 300 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tristan Normand do best at?

Deauville by strike rate: 11 wins from 154 rides (7.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Tristan Normand's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 272 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tristan Normand

300 rides in the lifetime window · 208 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2016 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

20–300

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=300

60 (20%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=272 · 0.75 incl. margin

−103.70

£1 level stake

n=275 at SP · −37.7%

£350k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 300 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming: 6.9%

The read

It is weakest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (3.3% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.33 and −133.80 to a £1 stake over 208 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (12%, n=50). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.9% over 52 rides, 4.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 50 rides (2% strike, −43.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.3%−2.4

n=208 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −133.80

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.8%+5.1

n=17 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −2.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.4%−4.3

n=82 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −70.00

When favourite

26.7%

n=15 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −4.60

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.9%+0.2

n=160 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −45.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−2.0

n=192 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −31.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 12% vs 6.7% · n=50

Off a 61-180-day break 1.9% vs 6.7% · n=52

On Soft going 2% vs 6.7% · n=50

On first rides for the horse 4.3% vs 6.7% · n=208

With debutants 3.6% vs 6.7% · n=55

At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 3.3% vs 6.7% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 159 10 6.3% −93.30

Soft 50 1 2% −43.00

Good 48 2 4.2% −3.00

Good to Soft 23 2 8.7% +21.00

Heavy 20 5 25% +14.60

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 154 11 7.1% −49.30

Saint-Cloud (FR) 47 3 6.4% −12.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 30 1 3.3% −19.00

Longchamp (FR) 27 0 0% −26.00

Chantilly (FR) 23 1 4.3% +8.00

Le Pin au Haras 2 0 0% —

Compiegne 2 1 50% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −1.00

Seiches-Sur-Le-Loir 2 0 0% —

Vire 1 0 0% —

Les Sables-d'Olonne 1 0 0% −1.00

Argentan 1 0 0% −1.00

Durtal 1 1 100% —

Chateaubriant 1 1 100% —

Clairefontaine 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 15 4 26.7% 0.99 −4.60

2nd–3rd fav 27 1 3.7% 0.27 −22.70

4th–6th fav 38 4 10.5% 1.40 +5.50

7th+ in betting 195 4 2.1% 0.83 −81.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mr Splendid (FR) 7 1 2 10 Jul 13

Soft Blue (FR) 5 0 0 7 May 14

Sunday Explosive (USA) 5 1 2 7 Sep 11

Divine Elusive (FR) 4 0 0 14 Feb 14

Slick The Sailor (FR) 4 0 2 3 Jul 13

Ut Majeur Aulmes (FR) 4 1 1 21 May 12

Marangu (IRE) 4 1 2 7 Jan 12

Isle Of Pearl (IRE) 4 0 2 7 Mar 11

Je Suis La (FR) 4 1 1 20 Dec 10

Force Quatre (FR) 3 0 0 22 Sep 14

Tout Va Bien (IRE) 3 1 1 6 Feb 14

Happy Sun Percy (GB) 3 0 1 4 Jan 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 208 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1101274011701483

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardYves de Nicolay

13% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 0.69

TrainerRWSR£1

Yves de Nicolay 39 3 7.7% −21.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£354k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 9 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Anabis (FR) — Prix de Villepelee (Apprentices) (All-Weather) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2009

£13,592

Mr Splendid (FR) — Prix De Grisy (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2012

£9,583

Je Suis La (FR) — Prix De L'Ure (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2010

£9,292

Notable horses

Mr Splendid (FR) Sunday Explosive (USA) Ut Majeur Aulmes (FR) Marangu (IRE) Je Suis La (FR) Tout Va Bien (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Slickly (FR) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 8% of 3,073 runs since 2008 (318 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11% from 310. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 243.

Verglas (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).

Green Tune (USA) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10% of 1,943 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 457. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 244.

Kingsalsa (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,991 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.

Ski Chief (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 6.1% of 605 runs since 2008 (69 horses).

Zieten (USA) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 9% of 324 runs since 2008 (33 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 100.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 301 · newest first

The latest 50 of 301 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 November 2006 to 16 December 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Anouma Freedom (FR)T: H De Nicolay Prix de la Tuilerie (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 7th 49/1

08 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Enfin Seuls (FR)T: Yves de Nicolay Prix de Beaufais (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)17f · Standard · 16 ran 12th 48/1

18 Oct 16 Deauville (FR) Retour Gagnant (IRE)T: Yves de Nicolay Prix des Marguerites (Claimer) (2yo Fillies) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 87/1

17 Oct 16 Deauville (FR) Augustini (FR)T: Yves de Nicolay Prix Filiberto (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo Colts & Geldings) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 94/1

29 Aug 16 Deauville (FR) Flameoftheforest (IRE)T: S Cerulis Prix du Mesnil-Oger (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 48/1

07 Aug 15 Deauville (FR) Vianello (IRE)T: J-M Capitte Prix du Mesnil-Eudes (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 39/1

06 Aug 15 Deauville (FR) Principe Uromonte (IRE)T: J-M Capitte Prix de la Foret de Bord (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 54/1

22 Sep 14 Chantilly (FR) Force Quatre (FR)T: H De Nicolay Prix de Barbery (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 47/1

30 Aug 14 Deauville (FR) Force Quatre (FR)T: H De Nicolay Prix du Bois Barbot (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 58/1

13 Jul 14 Saint-Malo (FR) Galicia Verde (FR)T: P Van De Poele Prix de Dol (Maiden) (3yo) (Turf)12.5f · Soft · 10 ran F 131/10

03 Jul 14 Deauville (FR) Touch Of Honour (FR)T: P Van De Poele Prix d'Auquainville (Claimer) (3yo) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 14/1

02 Jul 14 Deauville (FR) Sister Love (FR)T: Louis Baudron Prix des Marais (Claimer) (2yo Fillies) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 48/1

17 Jun 14 Les Sables-d'Olonne Azur Du Sap (FR)T: P Loth Prix Altesse V (Turf)13.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 15/1

07 May 14 Chantilly (FR) Soft Blue (FR)T: H De Nicolay Prix Du Mont Alta (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)12f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 68/1

03 May 14 Saint-Cloud (FR) Greatest (FR)T: Mme G Rarick Prix de la Lomagne (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 17 ran 11th 34/1

30 Apr 14 Longchamp (FR) Vianello (IRE)T: S Cerulis Prix De La Promenade Plantee (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Very Soft · 13 ran 7th 92/10

02 Apr 14 Saint-Cloud (FR) Soft Blue (FR)T: H De Nicolay Prix De Grignon (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)10.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 64/1

25 Mar 14 Saint-Cloud (FR) Azur Du Sap (FR)T: P Loth Prix d'Estruval (Conditions) (4-5yo Non-Thoroughbreds) (Turf)12.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 38/1

11 Mar 14 Saint-Cloud (FR) Dreamtic (FR)T: S Cerulis Prix De Chaumont En Vexin (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 11 ran 8th 32/1

06 Mar 14 Deauville (FR) Soft Blue (FR)T: H De Nicolay Prix de Cormeilles (Claimer) (3yo) (Fibresand)12f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 73/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tristan Normand's strike rate?: Tristan Normand has won 20 of 300 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tristan Normand do best at?: Deauville by strike rate: 11 wins from 154 rides (7.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Tristan Normand's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 272 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.