2:20 Ffos Las
This Class 3 novices' limited handicap chase at Ffos Las over 2m on good to soft ground brings together five high-class performers, all dropping in class. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Sinnatra heading the list on 67, closely followed by Desertmore News on 65 and Wandering Ego on 59. Recent form is generally strong across the field, and with every horse unexposed to some degree at this trip or track, the race promises to be a competitive test of class and tactical speed.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader scenario with medium confidence, suggesting one horse will secure an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for those racing from off the pace to reel in. Desertmore News, who tends to make the running or race on the pace, is the obvious candidate to take up that role, while Wandering Ego is likely to race prominently on or close to that pace. Sinnatra and Pourquoi Pas Papa both usually settle held up and produce their efforts late, and Light Fandango typically races in midfield; the key question is whether the clear leader can dictate terms and remain beyond the reach of the closers in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Sinnatra KTB Selection67/100
Sinnatra arrives as a high-class performer boasting a solid recent record that features two wins and two placed efforts from his last five starts. He drops back to a trip he has won over twice from six attempts while showing he handles good to soft ground with a win and two places from three runs. The Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton combination both have established records at Ffos Las, though neither figure stands out, and the trainer-jockey partnership shows a 22% strike rate with an A/E of 0.90. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is well suited by a race that looks likely to be run at a genuine pace up front. Dropping in class from an OR of 141, he has the ability to take a hand in a race of this nature.
-
2Desertmore News65/100
Desertmore News is a high-class performer who has won at this trip and on this ground. He has shown strong recent form including two wins in his last four starts and remains not fully exposed after just four runs in the last year. The Tom Ellis and Jack Andrews partnership posts a 16% strike rate with an A/E of 0.89, while both have very limited data at Ffos Las so their local record cannot be relied upon. He tends to make the running or race on the pace and therefore holds the key to the race shape, with the likelihood of an uncontested lead that could be hard for closers to peg back. Dropping in class from an OR of 123, his ability to dictate from the front on good to soft ground makes him a major player.
-
3Wandering Ego59/100
Wandering Ego is a high-class performer who arrives in solid nick after a win and a second on his last two starts. He drops back to a trip he has won at three times from nine attempts and has already shown he handles good to soft ground with a win and two places from four runs. Olly Murphy has a 26% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 1.05 while Sean Bowen is operating at 21% with an A/E of 1.03 here, and the trainer-jockey combination shows a 25% strike rate with an A/E of 0.96. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he is ideally placed to track the expected lone leader. From an OR of 123 and dropping in class, he possesses the form and positioning to challenge strongly.
-
4Pourquoi Pas Papa59/100
Pourquoi Pas Papa is a high-class performer with a solid record of two wins and three places from six starts. He drops back to 2m today where he has been placed on all five attempts at the distance without winning, and he has been placed on all three starts on good to soft ground without winning. Paul Nicholls has a 25% strike rate at Ffos Las from 100 runs with an A/E of 0.95 while Sam Twiston-Davies posts 17% from 420 rides here with an A/E of 0.84; usually held up, he will be looking to come from off the pace in a race that could suit a strong-finishing style.
-
5Light Fandango51/100
Light Fandango is a high-class performer with a strong recent record including three wins from his last four starts. He has won all three starts at today's trip and is two from two on good to soft ground, with the drop back from 2m1½f looking suitable. Neil Mulholland has a modest 11% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 0.82 while Bradley Harris is zero from nine rides here; typically settling in midfield, he has plenty to recommend him on ability but the local trainer and jockey figures are both negatives.
KTB verdict
Sinnatra is the KTB Selection. He brings high-class form, a solid recent record that includes two wins and two placed efforts from his last five starts, and proven effectiveness at this trip and on good to soft ground. The Skelton team know the track well enough and his held-up style should see him delivered at the right time against a pace that looks likely to be made by Desertmore News. The main dangers are that same front-runner, who could prove hard to peg back if allowed an easy lead, and Wandering Ego, who is in good order, suited by the trip and ground, and ideally placed to track the pace.
KTB Selection Sinnatra
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:13 UTC, 14 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sinnatra | 6/5 | Dragon Bet |
| Desertmore News | 11/1 | Star Sports |
| Pourquoi Pas Papa | 85/40 | Bet Victor |
| Light Fandango | 9/1 | Midnite |
This is the narrative read of the 2:20 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ffos Las results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Ffos Las racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
Desertmore News, who tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many wins has Sinnatra recorded at this trip?
Two wins from six attempts.
What is Olly Murphy's strike rate at Ffos Las?
26% strike rate with an A/E of 1.05 from 89 runs.
Has Pourquoi Pas Papa won over 2m?
No, he has been placed on all five attempts at the distance without winning.
What recent record does Light Fandango hold at this trip?
Three wins from three starts at today's trip.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies