3:55 Killarney
The 3:55 at Killarney is an Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden over 1m3f50y on yielding to soft ground. A field of eight three-year-olds assembles with limited prior experience between them, many unproven on the surface and at the trip. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Sunburn on 57, with four principals separated by just nine points and the remainder closely behind.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is tentative with medium confidence, suggesting a possible front-runner on thin evidence. Hey Stella is the only declared front-runner though that tendency rests on limited evidence and low confidence, while the majority of the field, including the selection Sunburn, Cailin Miorruilach, Together Now, Shanala, Sounds Great and Emily Estherfaye, are held-up types. Sibaza is expected to settle in mid-division. The key question is whether a genuine pace materialises or whether the race develops into a sprint off a slow gallop, which would suit those delivered late.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Sunburn KTB Selection57/100
Sunburn showed only modest form when sixth on debut over 1m1f. He now steps up markedly in trip as a fresh question while the yard holds a solid 11% strike rate from 481 runs at Killarney. The 5 lb claimer Reese Holohan has a 50% strike rate at the track from just two rides and an A/E of 2.18, though the small sample limits what can be read into it. With just one run on the clock overall the data remains low confidence and he is unproven on yielding to soft ground with no course form on record. Run-style is held up, usually producing his effort late on limited evidence and low confidence. As the KTB selection he brings the highest Fit score of 57.
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2Cailin Miorruilach53/100
Cailin Miorruilach makes her debut for a yard that operates at a strong 36% strike rate at Killarney from 50 runs with an A/E of 1.22. The pedigree and sales background give the only real clues to her ability, with W. J. Lee taking the ride on a filly by Siyouni whose overall sire win rate is 13% from 9013 runners. Trainer and jockey combined show 185 winners from 680 rides for a 27% strike rate and A/E of 1.02 with positive LSP of +£56.22. Connections are clearly capable but this remains a first look at a lightly-raced newcomer on yielding to soft ground with no course win on record. She is rated 53 on KTB Fit.
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3Sibaza48/100
Sibaza showed fair promise when fifth on debut over a mile. The step up to 1m3f today asks a fresh question of a horse with only one run behind him and he is unproven on yielding to soft ground with no course form on record. Trainer Dermot Weld has a solid 23% strike rate at Killarney from 417 runs with an A/E of 1.01 while Chris Hayes posts a 10% record from 334 rides here. Their combined record is 144 winners from 1175 rides for 12% at an A/E of 0.77. Run-style is mid-division, typically settling in midfield on limited evidence and low confidence. KTB rates him 48.
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4Together Now48/100
Together Now has shown promise in two runs this year, finishing second then third, though the small sample means the form must be treated with caution. Aidan O'Brien's 22% strike rate from 502 runs at Killarney gives solid track confidence with an A/E of 0.98 while Wayne Lordan posts a 12% strike rate from 404 rides here with an A/E of 0.86. Their combined record stands at 235 winners from 1543 rides for 15% at an A/E of 0.85. The step up in trip to 1m3f is an unknown at this stage and he is unproven on yielding to soft with no course form. Usually held up and produces his effort late on medium confidence. KTB Fit is 48.
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5Hey Stella48/100
Hey Stella is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form in three starts, most recently finishing third over this trip. She has already been placed on her sole visit to Killarney and drops back in trip after her last run at a mile and a half. Trainer G M Lyons has a 15% strike rate at the track from 142 runs while jockey G F Carroll sits on 7% from 201 rides here. Their combined record is 103 winners from 920 rides for 11% at an A/E of 0.88. Tends to make the running or race on the pace on limited evidence and low confidence. Rated OR 76 and KTB Fit 48.
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6Shanala46/100
Shanala has shown fair form in four runs this year and finished a solid second last time out. She steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of her and she is unproven on yielding to soft ground with no course form on record. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 71 runs at Killarney while the jockey is operating at 3% from 92 rides here. Their combined record is 218 winners from 1648 rides for 13% at an A/E of 0.85. Usually held up and produces her effort late on high confidence. Rated OR 82 and KTB Fit 46.
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7Sounds Great45/100
Sounds Great is lightly raced with just three runs this year and a recent form line of 4-27 that offers little to go on. The step up in trip to 1m3f is an unknown at this stage and she is unproven on yielding to soft ground with no course form on record. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Killarney from large samples, 10% from 499 runs for the yard and 9% from 378 rides for the rider. Their combined record is 7 winners from 93 rides for 8% at an A/E of 0.97. Usually held up on medium confidence. KTB Fit is 45.
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8Emily Estherfaye39/100
Emily Estherfaye is a modest performer who has shown little in three starts so far with a best effort of fifth. Trainer at Killarney has a solid 11% strike rate from 164 runs while the 7 lb claimer is still looking for a first winner from six rides here. Steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of this lightly raced filly. She has one run on yielding to soft, without a win or place, and has no course form on record. Usually held up on limited evidence and low confidence. Rated OR 70 and KTB Fit 39.
KTB verdict
Sunburn is the KTB selection. He brings the highest Fit score in a race where many runners are unproven at the trip and on the ground, and the yard's record at Killarney adds reassurance even if his own debut was modest. The step up in distance is the main unknown but the held-up style should suit if the tentative pace materialises as expected. His chief dangers are the debutant Cailin Miorruilach, who represents a yard in excellent form at the track, and the more experienced pair Sibaza and Together Now, both from powerful stables with solid local records. Hey Stella's placed form and course experience also demand respect if she can dictate matters up front.
KTB Selection Sunburn
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:14 UTC, 5 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sunburn | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Cailin Miorruilach | 12/1 | Bet Victor |
| Sibaza | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Together Now | 4/6 | Bet365 |
| Hey Stella | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Shanala | 7/2 | William Hill |
| Sounds Great | 11/1 | Bet Victor |
| Emily Estherfaye | 28/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 3:55 Killarney. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Killarney racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Killarney results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on yielding to soft but has the strongest local trainer record among the principals?
Cailin Miorruilach, whose trainer has a 36% strike rate at Killarney from 50 runs with an A/E of 1.22.
How many runs has Hey Stella had at Killarney and what was her result?
One run, when she finished third.
Which runners are expected to be held up according to their run-styles?
Sunburn, Together Now, Shanala, Sounds Great and Emily Estherfaye are all held-up types, while Sibaza settles in mid-division.
What is the combined trainer-jockey strike rate for Together Now's connections at Killarney?
Aidan O'Brien has a 22% strike rate from 502 runs and Wayne Lordan a 12% strike rate from 404 rides.
Which horse has the highest official rating in the field?
Shanala on OR 82.
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