What is P. Twomey's strike rate?

P. Twomey has won 163 of 629 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 25.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P. Twomey do best at?

Killarney by strike rate: 13 wins from 32 runners (40.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P. Twomey?

W J Lee, with 514 runners since 2022 — 82% of the total. That pairing has won 144 (28%).

Is P. Twomey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is P. Twomey's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P. Twomey

629 runners in the last 5 seasons · 167 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

163–629

Wins / Runs

25.9%

Strike rate

n=629

335 (53%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=629 · 0.97 incl. margin

−9.83

£1 level stake

n=629 at SP · −1.6%

£7.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

21.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 26% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16).

Deterministic profile computed from 629 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 40.4% when favourite W J Lee: 28% from 514 Sends off the favourite in 31% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Killarney (40.6%, n=32) and Cork (33.3%, n=81) — all clear of the yard's 25.9% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (16% over 150 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 20.4% (n=255, Fair A/E 1.14). Debutants are the standout value angle: 24.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +33.82 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. W J Lee rides 82% of the entries and edges the yard's average (28% vs 25.9%, A/E 1.19) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (40.7%, n=59) and on Soft going (32.1%, n=165). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 13% over 46 runners, 12.9pts below the baseline. 62 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Goffs Million at Curragh (Sep 2023, £610,000). The stable star of the record: Pearls Galore (FR) — 7 wins from 14 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 25.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

25%−0.9

n=132 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −11.24

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.9%−3.0

n=35 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −13.30

Debutants · first career start

24.2%−1.7

n=124 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +33.82

First-time headgear · true-first definition

23.6%−2.3

n=72 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +9.74

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%−5.9

n=5 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −3.80

When favourite

40.4%

n=198 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −23.73

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%−15.9

n=10 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −8.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

20.4%−5.5

n=255 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −16.46

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 25.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 40.7% vs 25.9% · n=59

At Killarney 40.6% vs 25.9% · n=32

At Curragh 16% vs 25.9% · n=150

On Good to Firm going 13% vs 25.9% · n=46

At Cork 33.3% vs 25.9% · n=81

On Soft going 32.1% vs 25.9% · n=165

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 616 159 25.8% −6.68

NH Flat 8 3 37.5% +0.18

Hurdle 5 1 20% −3.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 278 68 24.5% −38.00

Soft 165 53 32.1% +69.38

Good to Soft 61 13 21.3% −22.59

Heavy 47 15 31.9% +2.72

Good to Firm 46 6 13% −18.31

Standard (AW) 32 8 25% −3.03

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 150 24 16% −47.77

Cork 81 27 33.3% +14.56

Leopardstown 49 14 28.6% +13.14

Gowran Park 39 11 28.2% −5.90

Naas 36 8 22.2% −12.27

Dundalk (AW) 32 8 25% −3.03

Killarney 32 13 40.6% +31.04

Galway 29 7 24.1% +14.00

Roscommon 21 10 47.6% +10.86

Navan 18 4 22.2% −3.44

Down Royal 18 5 27.8% −4.44

Tipperary 16 4 25% −3.37

Ascot 16 1 6.3% −10.50

Fairyhouse 15 2 13.3% −9.84

York 12 2 16.7% −5.09

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 255 52 20.4% −16.46

Class 2 5 1 20% −3.09

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 215 85 39.5% 1.08 −22.98

2nd–3rd fav 265 64 24.2% 1.26 +22.65

4th–6th fav 109 13 11.9% 1.36 +11.50

7th+ in betting 40 1 2.5% 0.70 −21.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

One Look (IRE) 17 5 11 18 Jul 26

King Cuan (GB) 14 6 10 18 Oct 26

Rosscarbery (GER)from John Joseph Murphy 13 6 8 24 Aug 23

Elana Osario (GB) 11 3 9 4 Apr 26

Seo Linn (IRE) 11 4 9 6 Oct 25

Treasure Trove (IRE) 11 3 5 24 Jun 23

Big Negotiator (GB) 9 3 4 2 Oct 26

Carmers (IRE) 9 4 5 22 Aug 26

Black Caviar Gold (IRE) 9 2 4 30 Jul 26

Royal Entry (IRE)from J S Bolger 9 2 6 2 Nov 25

Deepone (GB) 9 4 5 5 Oct 25

Arouet (FR) 8 2 7 27 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 167 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Joseph Murphy (2) and Ralph Beckett (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

4 from 11

Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

00282631232523223530·

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderW J Lee

82% of all rides
28% SR · A/E 1.19

RiderRWSR£1

W J Lee 514 144 28% +16.82

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

229

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.72m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 43 wins

One Look (IRE) — Goffs Million Curragh · Sep 2023

£610,000

Trean (IRE) — Goffs Million Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2026

£561,700

Pearls Galore (FR) — Coolmore America 'Justify' Matron Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2022 · Group 1

£236,000

Notable horses

Pearls Galore (FR) King Cuan (GB) Rosscarbery (GER) Ruler Of France (GB) One Look (IRE) La Petite Coco (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sioux Nation (USA) 29.3% · 12–41

Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,874 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 577. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.8% from 189.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 33.3% · 13–39

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,160 runs since 2008 (1,100 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 955.

Havana Grey (GB) 23.5% · 8–34

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,540 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.

Mehmas (IRE) 20% · 5–25

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,121 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Gleneagles (IRE) 23.8% · 5–21

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,552 runs since 2008 (444 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 279.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 36.8% · 7–19

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,943 runs since 2008 (1,111 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 907 · newest first

The latest 50 of 907 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 April 2012 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) The Good Wife (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 100/30

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Churchill Bond (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 4/7F

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) King Cuan (GB)J: W. J. Lee Bahrain Turf Club Knockaire Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 5/2

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Drive On There (USA)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 5th 11/10F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Trean (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Mongey Communications Killavullan Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 4/5F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sensational Filly (FR)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 11/4

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Louis De Foix (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 1st 6/4J

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Duchessofaquitaine (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Otsana (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 100/30

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) State Of Wyoming (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 7/4F

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Deressa (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 10/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tajac (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 6/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Cailin Miorruilach (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 12/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) King Cuan (GB)J: W. J. Lee Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 6/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Pirate Anne Bonny (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Irish EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 2/7F

03 Oct 26 Newmarket City Of Memphis (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Betmgm Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Joga Bonito (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 11/2

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Big Negotiator (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 6/4F

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ladrona (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 3/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Alpine Wedding (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Darley Fillies Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P. Twomey's strike rate?: P. Twomey has won 163 of 629 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 25.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P. Twomey do best at?: Killarney by strike rate: 13 wins from 32 runners (40.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P. Twomey?: W J Lee, with 514 runners since 2022 — 82% of the total. That pairing has won 144 (28%).
Is P. Twomey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P. Twomey's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.