4:20 Stratford

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Maria's Double KTB Selection64/100

   Grace Harris · Joe Anderson(3)

   Family: half-sister to Leissieres Express (3 wins from 15 runs). The dam has had 8 other runners, 4 of them winners.

   Maria's Double is the KTB Selection. This three-year-old makes her debut having shown nothing on the racecourse so far yet her pedigree supplies encouragement: she is a half-sister to Leissieres Express, who won three times from fifteen starts, and comes from a dam that has already produced four winners from eight runners. Trainer Grace Harris posts an 18% strike rate at Stratford from 34 runs, notably stronger than her 7% elsewhere, while the 3lb claimer Joe Anderson has a 27% strike rate at the track from 22 rides. The Logician breeding carries a 22% overall win rate from nine runners and the yard's local record suggests she can be expected to perform to a useful level on debut. Data confidence is inevitably low for a first-timer, yet the combination of pedigree and trainer course form leaves her with the strongest KTB profile in the field.

2. 2And So It Begins56/100

   Anthony Honeyball · Sam Twiston-Davies

   Family: half-sister to The Kemble Brewery (6 wins from 11 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   And So It Begins arrives as a newcomer from the Anthony Honeyball yard that has a 36% strike rate at Stratford from 53 runs, comfortably above their 18% at other tracks. She is a half-sister to The Kemble Brewery, a useful performer with six wins from eleven starts, though the dam has produced only one other winner from two runners. Sam Twiston-Davies takes the ride with a 17% strike rate at the course from 440 rides. Passing Glance breeding records a 12% win rate from a large sample and the overall picture remains tentative given the absence of racecourse form and low data confidence. Still, the yard's excellent local record means she cannot be dismissed lightly.

3. 3Royal Salamah56/100

   Daisy Hitchins · Robbie David(5)

   Family: half-sister to Emirates Empire (2 wins from 7 runs). The dam has had 6 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Royal Salamah is another debutant whose pedigree offers moderate encouragement. She is a half-sister to Emirates Empire, who won twice from seven starts, while the dam has produced two winners from six runners overall. Daisy Hitchins' yard records a 17% strike rate at Stratford from 29 runs, broadly in line with their record elsewhere, and Robbie David claims 5lb with a 25% strike rate at the track from 16 rides. The Khalifa Sat sire line has produced a 0% win rate from six runners to date. With no previous form to assess, data confidence remains low yet the family has shown some ability and the booking of David adds further interest.

4. 4Ignite The Night52/100

   Fergal O'Brien · Jack Hogan

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Ignite The Night is a first-time runner whose assessment rests on limited pedigree and sales information. The dam has produced one previous runner that failed to win. Fergal O'Brien operates at a 15% strike rate at Stratford from 273 runs, matching his record at other venues, and Jack Hogan has an 18% strike rate at the track from 28 rides. Nathaniel breeding carries a 12% overall win rate from a substantial sample. Lacking any racecourse evidence the data confidence is low, leaving this newcomer difficult to evaluate with any certainty on debut.

5. 5Lady Loki51/100

   Gihan Arnolda · Lee Edwards

   Family: half-sister to Lucky Fifteen (3 wins from 9 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Lady Loki is a debutant whose pedigree supplies reasonable encouragement. She is a half-sister to Lucky Fifteen, who won three times from nine starts, and comes from a dam that has produced two winners from three other runners. The trainer has no recorded runs at Stratford while Lee Edwards' record at the course shows an 8% strike rate from 183 rides. Camelot breeding records a 12% overall win rate from a large number of runners. With no previous form the assessment is again limited by low data confidence, yet the family background suggests she could be capable of a respectable first effort.

6. 6Dance In The Mist48/100

   Alan King · Tom Bellamy

   Family: half-sister to Stylish Dancer (3 wins from 22 runs). The dam has had 9 other runners, 6 of them winners.

   Dance In The Mist is a newcomer and half-sister to the modest winner Stylish Dancer from a dam who has produced six winners from ten foals overall. She cost 40,000 guineas as a yearling and now joins Alan King, who has a 22% strike rate at Stratford from 250 runs, above his 15% elsewhere. Data confidence is low for this debutant so expectations remain modest.

7. 7Indian Crunch47/100

   Clare Hobson · Tabitha Worsley

   Family: the dam has had 3 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Indian Crunch is a debutant with no racecourse form. The dam has produced three other runners without a winner between them and the yard has a 0% strike rate from 15 runs at Stratford. First-time headgear is applied.

8. 8Dreamingofsunshine46/100

   Alastair Ralph · Harry Skelton

   Family: the dam has had 3 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Dreamingofsunshine makes her debut in a race that often catches out newcomers. The dam has had three other runners without a winner between them and data confidence is low. Trainer Alastair Ralph has a 9% strike rate at Stratford from 95 runs while Harry Skelton's record at the track stands at 24% from 313 rides.

9. 9Fancymeetinguhere43/100

   Ed de Giles · David Bass

   Fancymeetinguhere is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The yard has only four runs at Stratford which is too small a sample to judge. Data confidence is low so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.

10. 10Lady Inca42/100

    Sheila Lewis · Sean Houlihan

    Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

    Lady Inca makes her debut for a yard with a 4% strike rate at Stratford from 25 runs, in line with their overall record. The dam has had just one previous runner that failed to win and with no official rating or prior race experience the picture is very limited. Low data confidence means this is largely unknown territory.