5:05 Uttoxeter
This Class 4 QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase at Uttoxeter serves as an ARC Summer Chase Series qualifier over 2m4f on good ground with a field of nine. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top end, headed by Lady Kara on 65, with Martin's Denuo, Sleeping Satellite and Mix of Clover all within five points and each bringing strong recent form or course-related claims. Overall the numbers suggest a competitive heat where class, trip suitability and how the strong pace unfolds will prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners in the line-up and confidence in that assessment is high. Mix of Clover, Gaelic Rambler and A Dublin Job all tend to go forward, while Lady Kara and Sleeping Satellite race prominently, ensuring genuine early speed that could leave the race collapsing late. That shape is likely to play into the hands of the hold-up performers such as Martin's Denuo, Camarrate, Mr Rafiki and Hudson, posing the key question of whether the prominent racers can maintain their effort or if the closers will pick up the pieces in the latter stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Lady Kara KTB Selection65/100
Lady Kara arrives in excellent order and is a smart performer with three wins from her last four completed starts, the latest figures reading 3111U4. She drops back to a trip she has won over before and boasts a solid record on good ground with three wins from ten starts. The yard's 11% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 35 runs is modest yet the 3lb claimer Luke Scott brings a 17% record at the track from a similar sample. Usually prominent, she should be on or close to the strong pace which could suit if it does not overcook the leaders. No previous course form exists but she is taken to handle the switch to Uttoxeter.
-
2Martin's Denuo64/100
Martin's Denuo is another smart performer who has won three of his six starts and finished a solid second in a stronger race last time, with form figures reading -11142. He steps up in trip today having already looked stretched at 2m3½f, so stamina is a question that needs answering while he has no win or place from two runs on good ground. David Pipe maintains a 16% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a huge sample and the 5lb claimer Rian Corcoran is taking his first ride at the track. Usually held up, he is well placed to benefit if the strong pace collapses late in the race.
-
3Sleeping Satellite62/100
Sleeping Satellite is a useful performer who has won at this trip and handles good ground with two wins from nine starts. He has shown some ability at Uttoxeter but only managed sixth on his sole visit here. Fergal O'Brien brings a 17% strike rate at the track from 495 runs while Jack Hogan has a 15% record from 61 rides at Uttoxeter. Usually prominent, he should be handily placed in a race where the strong pace could take its toll on the leaders. The recent form of 1345P- indicates he remains capable on his best days.
-
4Mix of Clover60/100
Mix of Clover is a smart performer with solid recent efforts including a third and a win this season from figures of P-3317. He has never won or placed in four runs at this track and is now a 12-year-old carrying his age. Alastair Ralph holds a fair 13% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 159 runs while the 3lb claimer Tom Broughton is less proven with a 9% record from 23 rides. A habitual front-runner, he is sure to set or share the strong pace which may leave him vulnerable late on if the race collapses.
-
5Gaelic Rambler57/100
Gaelic Rambler is a smart performer who has shown consistent placed form without winning. He ran well to finish third over this course and distance on his only visit here and has been competitive on good ground three times from six starts. First-time headgear is now added as he drops back in trip while his trainer and jockey both have modest records at Uttoxeter.
-
6Camarrate56/100
Camarrate is a useful performer who showed his best form when winning a similar race at Bangor in April before pulling up on softer ground last time. He drops back to a trip he has won over and acts on good ground with three wins from eleven attempts. Donald McCain has a 13% strike rate from 725 runs at Uttoxeter and this is the horse's first run here.
-
7Mr Rafiki53/100
Mr Rafiki is a smart performer who has shown consistent placed form this year without quite landing a blow. He drops back in trip having looked stretched over 2m7f last time, though his one previous run at this distance brought no joy. Jonjo O'Neill has an 11% strike rate from 81 runs here while Richie McLernon is yet to score from his rides at the track.
-
8Hudson50/100
Hudson is a useful performer on his best days and has shown enough at this track to stay competitive, though his two runs here produced a fourth and an eighth without a place. The yard holds a solid 21% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 39 runs while the jockey has a 13% record from 196 rides at the course. He has placed on good ground and at today's trip but is yet to win at either.
-
9A Dublin Job39/100
A Dublin Job is a useful performer on his day with a solid career record but has been out of form for some time and failed to complete last time. He has never won or placed in four runs at Uttoxeter and the trainer's modest 3% strike rate from 129 runs here adds little confidence. He drops back to a trip he has won at twice from seven attempts and his three wins from 13 on good ground show he handles the surface.
KTB verdict
Lady Kara is the KTB Selection. She arrives in excellent order with three wins from her last four completed starts, drops back to a trip she has won at already and boasts a solid record on good ground. Usually prominent, she should be ideally placed to handle the strong pace that is expected to unfold. Martin's Denuo is the obvious danger if he sees out the longer trip while Sleeping Satellite and Mix of Clover bring their own claims from prominent positions.
KTB Selection Lady Kara
This is the narrative read of the 5:05 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Uttoxeter results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to set the early pace?
Mix of Clover tends to make the running or race on the pace and is joined by Gaelic Rambler and A Dublin Job who also go forward, supporting the assessment of a strong pace likely.
How does the expected pace shape influence the race?
The strong pace with two or more habitual front-runners could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses such as Martin's Denuo, Camarrate, Mr Rafiki and Hudson.
What is Lady Kara's course record at Uttoxeter?
Lady Kara has no course form on record as this is her first run at Uttoxeter.
Which runners are making their first appearance at Uttoxeter?
Martin's Denuo, Camarrate and Mr Rafiki have no course form on record.
What is the significance of the first-time headgear on Gaelic Rambler?
First-time headgear is now added to Gaelic Rambler as he drops back in trip.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies