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Jockey profile

Luke Scott

481 rides in the last 5 seasons · 195 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
62–481
Wins / Runs
12.9%
Strike rate
n=481
146 (30%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=480 · 0.85 incl. margin
−135.34
£1 level stake
n=481 at SP · −28.1%
£602k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (67 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 481 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 35.8% when favourite Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole: 12.2% from 181 LTO winners: 25.4% Rides the favourite in 11% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25.4% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.23), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.36). Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole supplies 38% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.2%, A/E 0.84). The rider also reads well on Heavy going (29%, n=31). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 0% over 35 rides, 12.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.55 across 88 rides (5.7% strike, −53.84 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Classic Maestro (IRE) — 5 wins from 13 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.5%−2.4
n=190 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −63.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25.4%+12.5
n=67 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +9.40
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.5%−3.4
n=105 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −46.79
When favourite
35.8%
n=53 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −1.63
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.6%−0.3
n=438 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −145.28
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.1%−4.8
n=37 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −19.87
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Jennie Candlish 28.4% vs 12.9% · n=67
On Heavy going 29% vs 12.9% · n=31
With C&D winners 28.1% vs 12.9% · n=32
On last-time-out winners 25.4% vs 12.9% · n=67
Beyond 3m 0% vs 12.9% · n=35
On Soft going 5.7% vs 12.9% · n=88
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 315 44 14% −72.35
Chase 122 12 9.8% −53.59
NH Flat 40 6 15% −5.40
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 217 36 16.6% −27.81
Good to Soft 131 11 8.4% −53.70
Soft 88 5 5.7% −53.84
Heavy 31 9 29% +9.51
Good to Firm 11 1 9.1% −6.50
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 34 6 17.6% +8.38
Huntingdon 27 2 7.4% −20.50
Southwell 25 2 8% −15.50
Worcester 25 3 12% −3.75
Fontwell 24 4 16.7% +5.33
Plumpton 22 2 9.1% −11.25
Hereford 19 4 21.1% −8.90
Warwick 18 2 11.1% −2.50
Newton Abbot 16 2 12.5% −10.62
Bangor-on-Dee 16 1 6.3% −8.00
Stratford 16 4 25% +8.83
Market Rasen 15 3 20% +3.33
Sedgefield 14 2 14.3% −8.56
Exeter 13 3 23.1% −0.05
Wincanton 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 236 33 14% −86.61
Class 5 173 21 12.1% −22.31
Class 3 40 7 17.5% −5.42
Class 2 23 1 4.3% −12.00
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 62 21 33.9% 1.02 −4.75
2nd–3rd fav 135 21 15.6% 0.87 −34.59
4th–6th fav 166 17 10.2% 1.16 −19.00
7th+ in betting 118 3 2.5% 0.79 −77.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76% completed · 437 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 122 62.3% 4 7 34 1 0
Hurdle 315 81.3% 2 5 52 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lady Kara (GB) 13 1 6 1 Nov 26
Classic Maestro (IRE) 13 5 7 23 Apr 26
Whizz Kid (GER) 11 2 3 25 Aug 25
Rewired (GB) 11 4 6 22 Sep 24
Dickens (IRE) 10 5 7 27 May 26
Easy To Follow (IRE) 10 2 4 22 Jan 26
Rostello (FR) 9 1 2 28 Dec 25
Hill Station (FR) 8 1 6 1 Dec 25
Shengai Enki (FR) 7 1 3 25 Apr 25
Dynamite Kentucky (FR) 7 1 3 24 Sep 24
The Late Legend (GB) 7 1 1 26 Feb 23
Captain Cool (IRE) 6 2 4 19 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 195 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
516151418174171791114
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
38% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 0.84
TrainerRWSR£1
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 181 22 12.2% −68.14
Dr Richard Newland 95 14 14.7% −29.50
Jennie Candlish 67 19 28.4% +30.47
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
67
Archived wins
£643k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 22 wins
Shetland Bus (GER) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Fakenham · Oct 2022 · Class 3
£15,576
Classic Maestro (IRE) — River Tay Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Perth · Apr 2026 · Class 2
£13,962
Mirabad (FR) — Catesby Estates Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Dec 2024 · Class 3
£11,882
Notable horses
Classic Maestro (IRE) Dickens (IRE) Rewired (GB) Celestron Star (GB) Misty Mani (GB) The Late Legend (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jet Away (GB) 31.8% · 7–22
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,534 runs since 2018 (273 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,967 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Kapgarde (FR) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,628 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 10% of 3,486 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Mount Nelson (GB) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Nathaniel (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,098 runs since 2016 (639 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 547 · newest first

The latest 50 of 547 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 October 2018 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Upton's Mighty Oak (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Copybet Bog Now For Racing Tomorrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 2/1F
01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Macer Gifford Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/2
19 Oct 26 Plumpton Expert Analysis (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 100/30
13 Oct 26 Southwell Dusky Spyglass (GB)T: Mike Murphy Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 150/1
08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Upton's Mighty Oak (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 3/1
07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Jodie Standings Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/8F
05 Oct 26 Stratford Expert Analysis (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Racing TV Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 13/8F
04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Arcon (GER)T: Jennie Candlish F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 18/1
29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Premier Road Markings Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 7/1
29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Spartan Times (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 13/8F
28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Saint Polo (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 11/8F
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 4th 10/1
07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Saint Polo (FR)T: Jennie Candlish St. Austell Brewery Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 7/4F
07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Crackalackin (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland Race Against Waste Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran UR 4/1
28 Aug 26 Sedgefield Saint Polo (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Warm-Flo Hot To Trot Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 1st 3/1
25 Aug 26 Stratford Dreaming Of The Dr (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Celebrate National Racehorse Week 2026 Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 13/2
22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Hardy Buck (IRE)T: Max Comley Happy 80th Birthday John Lane Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 10/1
15 Aug 26 Perth Crackalackin (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland Visit Perth Museum Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Dreaming Of The Dr (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole QuinnBet Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 3/1
22 Jul 26 Worcester Estacas (GER)T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole Bathroom Studio Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 7th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Luke Scott's strike rate?
Luke Scott has won 62 of 481 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luke Scott do best at?
Uttoxeter by strike rate: 6 wins from 34 rides (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Luke Scott ride most for?
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole, with 181 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (12.2%).
Is Luke Scott in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Luke Scott's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 480 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).