5:08 Plumpton
This Class 5 National Hunt Flat race at Plumpton over 2m1f169y on good ground features a small field of six, most of whom arrive with limited racecourse experience. The KTB Fit Scores reflect the general paucity of information, with the top-rated horse only on 56 and the remainder clustered between 47 and 38, underlining how open the contest appears on paper. Trainer and jockey statistics at the track add another layer of uncertainty, as several yards have modest or negligible records here.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is unclear with low confidence owing to insufficient run-style data across the field. On The Fly is the only horse with a defined pattern, tending to make the running or race prominently with medium confidence. Quite how the others will position themselves remains to be seen, so the race poses the question of whether an uncontested lead will allow On The Fly to improve on previous efforts or whether the step up in trip will play into the hands of one of the less exposed runners.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Missy Moises KTB Selection56/100
Missy Moises showed modest form when finishing fifth on her debut over 2m. She now steps up in trip for the first time which asks a fresh question of her. The trainer has a 50% strike rate at Plumpton with an A/E of 1.65 from four runs while the jockey has an 11% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.73 from 65 rides. Both trainer and jockey therefore have limited track data here and the overall sample on this lightly-raced filly remains small. She is the KTB selection.
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2Merci Vieil Ami47/100
Merci Vieil Ami has shown very little so far with an unseated and two pulled-up efforts from just three starts. The yard's modest 5% strike-rate at Plumpton from a large sample of 427 runs offers no encouragement here either. With only one run at today's trip and too few runs to judge the going, this remains very much an unknown quantity. The trainer and jockey combination holds a 7% strike rate with an A/E of 1.42.
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3On The Fly45/100
On The Fly has shown little in two starts so far, finishing 9th and 6th without suggesting he is ready to be competitive. The step up in trip is an unknown that could suit or expose him further. Trainer Jim & Suzi Best have a 9% strike rate from 32 runs at Plumpton while the jockey has a 17% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.98 from 616 rides. He tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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4Kap In Hand43/100
Kap In Hand is a 4-year-old newcomer with no prior runs. The assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background, with low data confidence meaning any conclusions remain tentative. Trainer Max Comley has only three runs at Plumpton so the yard's record here is too small a sample to judge. The trainer and jockey hold a 9% strike rate with an A/E of 0.93.
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5Company Charge39/100
Company Charge is lightly raced with just two runs this year and recent form of 5U so there is very little to go on. The yard has a 0% strike rate from five runs at Plumpton. Stepping up in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse whose going suitability also remains unknown from such a small sample.
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6Shane's Spirit38/100
Shane's Spirit has only one run to his name so far and finished fifth in it. The trip is a step up today and remains an unknown. Trainer and jockey both have very limited data at Plumpton so this is one to treat with real caution. He is dropping in class.
KTB verdict
Missy Moises is the KTB selection. She showed modest form when fifth on debut over 2m and now steps up in trip for the first time, a move that could unlock improvement in a race where so many rivals bring limited or uninspiring form. The trainer's solid record at Plumpton gives some grounds for optimism. The main dangers are likely to be On The Fly, who may make the running, and the two lightly raced types Kap In Hand and Company Charge, though the small samples throughout the field make this a difficult race to assess with any real confidence.
KTB Selection Missy Moises
This is the narrative read of the 5:08 Plumpton. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Plumpton racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Plumpton results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time after a modest debut?
Missy Moises showed modest form when fifth on debut over 2m and now steps up in trip for the first time.
Who is the only horse with a defined run-style in the field?
On The Fly tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence.
Which trainer has a 50% strike rate at Plumpton from four runs?
Nick Scholfield, trainer of Missy Moises, has a 50% strike rate at Plumpton with an A/E of 1.65 from four runs.
What is the recent form of the KTB selection?
Missy Moises has recent form figures of 5.
Which runner is a complete newcomer with the assessment resting on pedigree?
Kap In Hand is a 4-year-old newcomer with no prior runs and the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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