Skip to content
Jockey profile

Jamie Brace

253 rides in the last 5 seasons · 151 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
38–253
Wins / Runs
15%
Strike rate
n=253
77 (30%)
Placed
1.15
n=253 · 0.99 incl. margin
−14.63
£1 level stake
n=253 at SP · −5.8%
£365k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 19% off breaks of two months or more (47 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 253 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec Fresh horses: 19.1% 39.4% when favourite First rides: 18.1% Claiming: 16.2% Rides the favourite in 13% of races
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 19.1% (n=47, Fair A/E 1.51). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 18.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.47 and +26.70 to a £1 stake over 149 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The rider also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (20.7%, n=87) and in Chase races (18%, n=89). Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
18.1%+3.1
n=149 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +26.70
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
27.6%+12.6
n=29 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −3.08
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
19.1%+4.1
n=47 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −6.17
When favourite
39.4%
n=33 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +0.62
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
16.2%+1.2
n=228 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +6.87
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−15.0
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−15.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 20.7% vs 15% · n=87
With Rebecca Curtis 19.1% vs 15% · n=47
On first rides for the horse 18.1% vs 15% · n=149
With Nigel Twiston-Davies 18.8% vs 15% · n=48
In Chase races 18% vs 15% · n=89
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 147 20 13.6% −31.88
Chase 89 16 18% +8.75
NH Flat 17 2 11.8% +8.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 101 15 14.9% −5.75
Good to Soft 91 13 14.3% −11.13
Soft 49 8 16.3% +9.30
Heavy 9 2 22.2% −4.05
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chepstow 25 3 12% −17.08
Uttoxeter 19 1 5.3% −13.50
Huntingdon 16 1 6.3% +5.00
Ffos Las 16 3 18.8% +10.70
Warwick 15 1 6.7% −11.75
Worcester 13 2 15.4% +8.00
Hereford 12 1 8.3% −3.00
Fakenham 10 1 10% −3.00
Bangor-on-Dee 9 6 66.7% +26.13
Newbury 8 0 0% −8.00
Stratford 8 2 25% +5.00
Wincanton 7 0 0% −7.00
Taunton 7 0 0% −7.00
Market Rasen 7 2 28.6% −1.50
Ludlow 7 2 28.6% +5.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 128 21 16.4% +30.03
Class 4 75 11 14.7% −16.58
Class 3 37 5 13.5% −21.58
Class 2 8 1 12.5% −1.50
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 36 13 36.1% 1.09 −2.38
2nd–3rd fav 64 16 25% 1.51 +19.25
4th–6th fav 95 6 6.3% 0.70 −32.50
7th+ in betting 58 3 5.2% 1.60 +1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.9% completed · 236 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 89 82% 6 2 8 0 0
Hurdle 147 80.3% 7 0 22 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Grillon De Monty (FR) 10 2 2 22 Jul 26
Tedley (GB) 9 1 3 21 Mar 25
Fine By Me (IRE) 6 1 2 2 Nov 25
Star Of Guiting (IRE) 5 2 3 30 Mar 25
Joly Maker (IRE) 5 2 3 27 Aug 22
River Voyage (IRE) 4 2 2 31 Dec 25
Calagogo (IRE) 4 0 0 23 Sep 25
Haafapiece (GB) 4 0 2 17 Mar 23
Company Charge (GB) 3 0 0 5 Nov 26
Bridget Mary (IRE) 3 1 2 1 Jan 26
Pats Fancy (IRE) 3 0 0 27 Dec 25
Ben Solo (IRE) 3 1 2 27 Dec 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 151 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0219220021110102118
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
19% of all rides
18.8% SR · A/E 1.20
TrainerRWSR£1
Nigel Twiston-Davies 48 9 18.8% +3.25
Rebecca Curtis 47 9 19.1% −8.63
Jonjo O'Neill 44 7 15.9% +18.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
42
Archived wins
£396k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 22 wins
One Big Bang (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Haydock · Feb 2025 · Class 2
£16,338
Spectacularsunrise (GB) — Humes Outfitters Handicap Hurdle Kelso · Dec 2025 · Class 3
£10,562
Tedley (GB) — Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Chase Wetherby · Nov 2024 · Class 3
£10,562

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kingston Hill (GB) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,651 runs since 2019 (205 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 168.
Mahler (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Sixties Icon (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,682 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,337.
Crillon (FR) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 14.2% of 981 runs since 2009 (97 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Vadamos (FR) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,110 runs since 2020 (222 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 160.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 301 · newest first

The latest 50 of 301 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2017 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Jan 26 Windsor Bridget Mary (IRE)T: Rebecca Curtis Cirka Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 7/2
31 Dec 25 Uttoxeter Chosen Bae (IRE)T: Ryan Potter Malcolm Harrison Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jamie Brace's strike rate?
Jamie Brace has won 38 of 253 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Jamie Brace in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jamie Brace's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 253 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).