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Trainer profile

Brian O'Keeffe

96 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2023 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–96
Wins / Runs
2.1%
Strike rate
n=96
12 (13%)
Placed
0.50
Fair A/E
n=96 · 0.38 incl. margin
−86.00
£1 level stake
n=96 at SP · −89.6%
£31,418
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.1
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.1
n=49 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −49.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 0% vs 2.1% · n=49
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.1% · n=37
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 2.1% · n=30
Over 2m5f – 3m 3.4% vs 2.1% · n=59 · A/E 0.63
In Hurdle races 2.5% vs 2.1% · n=81 · A/E 0.55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 81 2 2.5% −71.00
Chase 13 0 0% −13.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 58 1 1.7% −52.00
Soft 31 1 3.2% −27.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 27 1 3.7% −21.00
Clonmel 18 1 5.6% −14.00
Thurles 17 0 0% −17.00
Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Tramore 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Ballinrobe 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.51 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 1 12.5% 1.17 −2.00
4th–6th fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
7th+ in betting 74 0 0% 0.00 −74.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83% completed · 94 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 13 53.8% 2 0 3 0 1
Hurdle 81 87.7% 1 0 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Grey Guy (IRE) 38 2 8 13 Mar 22
Cahirmee (IRE) 13 0 1 30 Mar 23
Rosfoyle (IRE)from Aidan Fitzgerald · then Barry J Fitzgerald 13 0 0 24 May 22
Kilclooney Wood (IRE) 9 0 0 27 Dec 17
Lizavoura (IRE) 6 0 0 4 Mar 20
Knocknacurra (IRE) 4 0 0 12 May 14
Tiernaboul (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Aug 23
Presenting Point (IRE)from Eoghan O'Grady · then A M O'Grady 3 0 2 16 Apr 23
Castlesaffron (IRE)from C O'Keeffe 2 0 0 27 Dec 13
Young Patriarch (GB)from Donncha Duggan 2 0 0 28 May 13
Malinas Glory (IRE)from Eoghan O'Grady · then A M O'Grady 1 0 1 16 Apr 23
Waldo (IRE) 1 0 0 9 Mar 21
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C O'Keeffe (2) and Eoghan O'Grady (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for A M O'Grady (2); 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00300··0·007
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ambrose McCurtin 25 0 0% −25.00
Patrick Mangan 23 2 8.7% −13.00
Martin Ferris 6 0 0% −6.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr W T Cronin 6 0 0% −6.00
G B Noonan 4 0 0% −4.00
Phillip Enright 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr J Aherne 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean O'Keeffe 2 0 0% −2.00
Liam Quinlan 2 0 0% −2.00
Michael O'Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
E O'Connell 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
2
Archived wins
£31,418
Prize money
2017
Best season · 1 win
The Grey Guy (IRE) — Comeragh Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Clonmel · Mar 2015
£7,590
The Grey Guy (IRE) — Parkway Shopping Centre Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Limerick · Dec 2017
£7,084
Notable horses
The Grey Guy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cloudings (IRE) 5.1% · 2–39
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,886 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,867 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Dr Massini (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Fruits Of Love (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,777 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 96 · newest first

The latest 50 of 96 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2013 to 7 August 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Aug 23 Cork Tiernaboul (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 10th 200/1
16 Apr 23 Tramore Malinas Glory (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Lismore Handicap Chase (0-109)15f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 13/2
16 Apr 23 Tramore Presenting Point (IRE)J: Mr J Aherne Book A Table For The August Festival Handicap Chase21.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 16/1
30 Mar 23 Limerick Cahirmee (IRE)J: Mr W T Cronin J.J. Kavanagh & Sons Handicap Hurdle (80-95)21f · Soft · 18 ran PU 14/1
21 Mar 23 Clonmel Cahirmee (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Cannonwood Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 15 ran F 9/1
18 Mar 23 Thurles Tiernaboul (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 300/1
06 Mar 23 Leopardstown Presenting Point (IRE)J: Mr J Aherne John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Chase21.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 16/1
02 Mar 23 Clonmel Tiernaboul (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Soft · 18 ran 18th 150/1
16 Feb 23 Clonmel Cahirmee (IRE)J: Mr W T Cronin Kilmolash (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)19f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 50/1
09 Feb 23 Thurles Presenting Point (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 6/1
30 Jan 23 Punchestown Cahirmee (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Bar One Racing 'Exclusive Offers On The Mobile App' Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Soft · 20 ran 8th 16/1
17 Jan 23 Clonmel Cahirmee (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Tipperary Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 33/1
24 May 22 Punchestown Rosfoyle (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Bar One Racing Bet In-Play Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)24f · Good · 21 ran PU 16/1
18 Apr 22 Cork Cahirmee (IRE)J: E O'Connell Coolagown Stud Maiden Hurdle24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 13th 250/1
13 Mar 22 Limerick Cahirmee (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey Croom Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran PU 40/1
13 Mar 22 Limerick Rosfoyle (IRE)J: G B Noonan Croom Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 7th 25/1
13 Mar 22 Limerick The Grey Guy (IRE)J: G B Noonan Croom Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)22f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 10th 80/1
03 Mar 22 Clonmel The Grey Guy (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Rosegreen Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 33/1
23 Feb 22 Punchestown Cahirmee (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20.5f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 12th 33/1
13 Feb 22 Punchestown Rosfoyle (IRE)J: G B Noonan David Trundley Artist At Punchestown Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Heavy · 21 ran 12th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian O'Keeffe's strike rate?
Brian O'Keeffe has won 2 of 96 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Brian O'Keeffe's Fair A/E?
0.50, from 96 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).