Martin Ferris
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 200 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (50 rides).
It is weakest at Kilbeggan (0% over 58 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.20). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −888.72 to a £1 stake over 1,229 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. M F Morris supplied 7% of the rides and beats the rider's average (9.2% vs 3.2%, A/E 1.71) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase at Limerick (Dec 2006, £29,295). Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Dec.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,512 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,512 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 31 October 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Martin Ferris's strike rate?
- Martin Ferris has won 57 of 1,759 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Martin Ferris do best at?
- Tramore by strike rate: 7 wins from 133 rides (5.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Martin Ferris ride most for?
- M F Morris, with 120 rides since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.2%).
- What is Martin Ferris's Fair A/E?
- 0.74, from 1,759 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.