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Trainer profile

C Dubourg

191 runners in the lifetime window · 58 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–191
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=191
48 (25%)
Placed
0.74
n=182 · 0.63 incl. margin
−106.60
£1 level stake
n=189 at SP · −56.4%
£634k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). With a claiming rider up the record reads 14% (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 191 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.1% K Dubourg: 5.4% from 92 Claiming riders: 13.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Compiegne (FR) (10.3%, n=68), clear of the yard's 7.3% baseline. It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (3.7% over 81 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 13.9% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.37), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). K Dubourg rides 48% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.55). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (13%, n=54). The stable star of the record: Donne Le Change (FR) — 6 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.1%+2.8
n=79 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −37.60
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.3
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.3
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −42.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.3
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=13 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −2.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.9%+6.6
n=36 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 0% vs 7.3% · n=43
With claiming riders up 13.9% vs 7.3% · n=36
Over 2m5f – 3m 13% vs 7.3% · n=54
With horses switching code 12.9% vs 7.3% · n=31
At Auteuil (FR) 3.7% vs 7.3% · n=81
At Compiegne (FR) 10.3% vs 7.3% · n=68
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 103 10 9.7% −42.10
Hurdle 83 4 4.8% −60.50
Flat 5 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 96 8 8.3% −41.90
Heavy 87 5 5.7% −63.30
Good 4 1 25% +1.60
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 81 3 3.7% −52.80
Compiegne (FR) 68 7 10.3% −33.70
Craon (FR) 7 1 14.3% −2.80
Fontainebleau 7 0 0% −7.00
Dieppe (FR) 6 1 16.7% +0.20
Enghien (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Nantes (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Angers 2 1 50% +2.90
Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Sille-Le-Guillaume (FR) 1 1 100% +3.60
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Moulins (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Niort 1 0 0% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 28 0 0% −28.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 3 23.1% 0.71 −2.30
2nd–3rd fav 46 9 19.6% 1.21 +0.80
4th–6th fav 70 2 2.9% 0.37 −45.10
7th+ in betting 60 0 0% 0.00 −60.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.6% completed · 186 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 103 83.5% 8 3 6 0 0
Hurdle 83 77.1% 7 1 10 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Donne Le Change (FR) 23 6 10 11 Nov 25
Djazzman (FR) 11 1 5 2 Jun 20
Kap Lord (FR) 10 0 2 15 Nov 25
Fast Rouge (FR) 9 0 1 12 Apr 21
Neon Has (FR) 8 0 3 26 Sep 26
Libellia Antique (FR) 6 0 0 7 Sep 26
Ulinosa (FR) 6 0 2 20 Mar 13
Pearl Tree (FR)from H-A Pantall 5 1 3 5 Mar 23
Hillico Conti (FR) 4 0 0 29 Oct 26
Lovely Jap (FR) 4 1 1 1 Mar 26
Inea Jap (FR) 4 0 1 15 Apr 25
All 58 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 58 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Francois Nicolle (6) and G Macaire (3); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·04715150250440
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderK Dubourg
48% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.55
RiderRWSR£1
K Dubourg 92 5 5.4% −54.90
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
14
Archived wins
£634k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 3 wins
Djazzman (FR) — Prix Jasmin II (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (5yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2018
£21,239
Donne Le Change (FR) — Prix Fernand Roy (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (6yo+) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Mar 2020
£20,339
Lovely Jap (FR) — Prix Gerard Philippeau (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2025
£19,388

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Saddler Maker (IRE) 26.1% · 6–23
Progeny have won 16.8% of 2,173 runs since 2010 (181 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 222.
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,631 runs since 2008 (725 horses).
Spanish Moon (USA) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 12.4% of 1,676 runs since 2014 (219 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.8% from 393. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 278.
Kap Rock (FR) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.8% of 561 runs since 2014 (82 horses).
Speedmaster (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.6% of 185 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Denham Red (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 16.4% of 592 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.2% from 184.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 191 · newest first

The latest 50 of 191 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 September 2011 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Mi Ami Jap (FR)J: Kilian Dubourg Prix FrascatiClass 3 · 18f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 17/2
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Neon Has (FR)J: Kilian Dubourg Prix Villez19.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 12/1
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Mi Ami Jap (FR)J: Kilian Dubourg Prix Pierre Et Bernard CypresClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 12 ran 6th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C Dubourg's strike rate?
C Dubourg has won 14 of 191 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C Dubourg do best at?
Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 68 runners (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C Dubourg?
K Dubourg, with 92 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.4%).
Is C Dubourg in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is C Dubourg's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 182 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).