What is Theo Chevillard's strike rate?

Theo Chevillard has won 68 of 746 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Theo Chevillard do best at?

Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 19 wins from 157 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Theo Chevillard ride most for?

Mlle E Allaire, with 90 rides since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (21.1%).

Is Theo Chevillard in form?

In the last 14 days: 19 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.1% since 2022.

What is Theo Chevillard's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 744 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Theo Chevillard

746 rides in the last 5 seasons · 414 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

68–746

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=746

216 (29%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=744 · 0.79 incl. margin

−225.65

£1 level stake

n=746 at SP · −30.2%

£4.33m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (61 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 746 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 28.4% when favourite Mlle E Allaire: 21.1% from 90 LTO winners: 19.7% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.7% (n=61, Fair A/E 1.16), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=202, Fair A/E 0.82). Mlle E Allaire supplies 12% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.1% vs 9.1%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 3% over 101 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. 39 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix du President de la Republique Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2018, £89,602). The standout partner of the record: Delmegan (FR) — 5 wins from 8 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.1%−1.0

n=393 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −76.03

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.7%+10.6

n=61 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −9.70

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.8%−0.3

n=228 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −74.65

When favourite

28.4%

n=67 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −19.35

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−9.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%−3.7

n=202 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −98.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9%−0.1

n=210 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −90.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mlle E Allaire 21.1% vs 9.1% · n=90

On last-time-out winners 19.7% vs 9.1% · n=61

With E Grall 0% vs 9.1% · n=30

Over 2m5f – 3m 3% vs 9.1% · n=101

With C&D winners 13.9% vs 9.1% · n=144

With Gabriel Leenders 15.2% vs 9.1% · n=46

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 487 44 9% −146.58

Chase 258 24 9.3% −78.07

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 380 36 9.5% −117.12

Soft 360 32 8.9% −102.53

Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Good 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 478 38 7.9% −125.40

Compiegne (FR) 157 19 12.1% −45.02

Clairefontaine (FR) 28 2 7.1% −24.18

Fontainebleau (FR) 20 1 5% −8.00

Dieppe (FR) 19 5 26.3% +9.50

Pau (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00

Nantes (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Craon (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Moulins (FR) 3 1 33.3% +0.25

Lyon Parilly (FR) 3 1 33.3% +3.00

Angers (FR) 3 1 33.3% −0.80

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 213 20 9.4% −92.60

Class 3 21 4 19% +2.45

Class 2 11 1 9.1% −8.38

Class 4 10 1 10% −2.50

Class 5 5 1 20% +0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 67 19 28.4% 0.97 −19.35

2nd–3rd fav 138 21 15.2% 0.94 −34.10

4th–6th fav 224 20 8.9% 1.11 −25.90

7th+ in betting 317 8 2.5% 0.71 −146.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.5% completed · 740 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 257 79.8% 15 9 28 0 0

Hurdle 483 74.7% 23 9 90 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Henry Brulard (FR) 32 3 15 30 May 26

Winteriscoming (FR) 10 1 3 14 Oct 23

Golden Witch (FR) 10 0 1 8 Oct 23

Kamaro D'Huez (FR) 9 3 6 4 May 26

Pompano (FR) 9 0 5 15 Nov 25

Lady Coeur (FR) 9 1 3 30 Mar 25

Delmegan (FR) 8 5 7 17 May 26

Miss Maelys (FR) 7 2 4 11 Mar 26

Garde De Burge (FR) 7 1 3 26 Nov 23

Huerta (FR) 7 1 3 19 Nov 22

Tutti Bella (FR) 6 1 3 4 May 26

Secret D'Alcove (IRE) 6 0 2 13 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 414 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 19 10.5% · +1.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10.5%

5-season base9.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0414956923117811

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMlle E Allaire

12% of all rides
21.1% SR · A/E 1.27

TrainerRWSR£1

Mlle E Allaire 90 19 21.1% +1.82

Francois Nicolle 70 8 11.4% −38.40

J Boisnard 70 5 7.1% −51.02

Gabriel Leenders 46 7 15.2% +23.70

L Postic 44 3 6.8% −22.70

D Bressou 34 5 14.7% −3.20

E Grall 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

136

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.20m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 19 wins

Balkan Du Pecos (FR) — Prix du President de la Republique (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2018 · Grade 3

£89,602

Srelighonn (FR) — Prix Georges Courtois (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2021 · Grade 2

£88,393

La Manigance (FR) — Prix Jean Stern (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2022 · Grade 2

£79,412

Notable horses

Delmegan (FR) Henry Brulard (FR) Huerta (FR) Flying Startandco (FR) Kamaro D'Huez (FR) Pamela Des Mottes (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Planteur (IRE) 9.4% · 3–32

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,536 runs since 2017 (165 horses).

Montmartre (FR) 20% · 5–25

Progeny have won 11.7% of 2,400 runs since 2013 (305 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 599. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 138.

Cokoriko (FR) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 13.1% of 2,321 runs since 2017 (383 horses).

Doctor Dino (FR) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 16% of 3,235 runs since 2013 (499 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 565. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 699. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Choeur Du Nord (FR) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 13.6% of 806 runs since 2020 (142 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 18.3% from 120.

Masked Marvel (GB) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 15.4% of 1,648 runs since 2019 (269 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 293.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,187 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2015 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Journee D'la Femme (FR)T: L & M Viel Prix President Michel Bodiguel Grand Steeple-Chase de Loire-Atlantique21.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 7/1

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Aleric (FR)T: F Foucher Grande Course De Haies d'Automne - Prix Geely Nantes19.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 16/1

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Coton Star (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Grande Course De Haies De l'Ouest17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 16/1

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Kando (FR)T: C & Y Lerner Prix De La Grotte Des ErmitesClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 11/4F

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Just Happy (FR)T: Erwan Grall Prix Princesse D'anjouClass 4 · 18f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/2F

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Douce Amie (FR)T: O Groualle Prix Du DebucherClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Madee (FR)T: Dalibor Torok Prix Leopold Bara18f · Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 7/2

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Nyiri (GB)T: D Windrif Prix Galop Marin19.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 20/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Le Violoniste (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Triquerville22f · Heavy · 6 ran F 25/1

04 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Spanish Boy (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Robert De Lipowski17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Moise Junior (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 6/5F

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Diyaka (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 11/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Castelin (FR)T: Erwan Grall Prix Andre AdeleClass 2 · 17f · Very Soft · 10 ran 9th 8/1

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Masked Du Nord (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Des Monts Du LyonnaisClass 4 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 17/2

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Neptune D'ainay (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Jocelyn Monnier - Prix D'acheresClass 3 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 3rd 8/1

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Melchior D Athon (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Du Mont VentouxClass 3 · 17f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Noumea Des Champs (FR)T: Mme Marine Pineda Prix Du Theatre Imperial Du Chateau De FontainebleauClass 3 · 18f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 12/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Saint Robin (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Colonel Robert LaboucheClass 3 · 22f · Soft · 7 ran PU 5/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nougaway (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Comte Antoine De Gontaut-bironClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 12/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Kelle Kiff (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Robert Bates22f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Theo Chevillard's strike rate?: Theo Chevillard has won 68 of 746 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Theo Chevillard do best at?: Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 19 wins from 157 rides (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Theo Chevillard ride most for?: Mlle E Allaire, with 90 rides since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (21.1%).
Is Theo Chevillard in form?: In the last 14 days: 19 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 9.1% since 2022.
What is Theo Chevillard's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 744 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.