J Delaunay
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (205 runs). The yard is in form now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.
In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.5% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.67). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 8.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −59.20 to a £1 stake over 128 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 2 winners from 17 runners in the last 14 days (11.8%, 4.1pts above the 7.7% baseline). Wilfried Lajon rides 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 0.78). The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (13.8%, n=87). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 3.1% over 64 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Magne at Auteuil (FR) (Oct 2023, £53,761).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 754 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 754 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 July 2011 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is J Delaunay's strike rate?
- J Delaunay has won 58 of 754 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does J Delaunay do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 35 wins from 476 runners (7.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for J Delaunay?
- Wilfried Lajon, with 179 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (6.7%).
- Is J Delaunay in form?
- In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.8%. That is above the baseline of 7.7% since 2008.
- What is J Delaunay's Fair A/E?
- 0.90, from 740 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.