Skip to content
Trainer profile

Joao Pedro Macedo Da Costa Oliveira

73 runners in the last 5 seasons · 24 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 365 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
12–73
Wins / Runs
16.4%
Strike rate
n=73
26 (36%)
Placed
2.28
n=73 · 1.91 incl. margin
+59.30
£1 level stake
n=73 at SP · +81.2%
£186k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
18%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
25%+8.6
n=12 · A/E 4.23 · £1 +18.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
27.3%+10.9
n=22 · A/E 3.80 · £1 +39.70
Debutants · first career start
0%−16.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−16.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
25%+8.6
n=4 · A/E 4.60 · £1 +9.60
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +0.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14.7%−1.7
n=34 · A/E 2.13 · £1 +37.30
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−16.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 22.2% vs 16.4% · n=36
At Chantilly (FR) 18.8% vs 16.4% · n=32
In Flat races 16.4% vs 16.4% · n=73 · A/E 2.28
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 30 5 16.7% +40.00
Soft 20 3 15% +6.00
Good to Soft 14 3 21.4% +18.60
Good 5 1 20% −1.30
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 32 6 18.8% +47.60
Deauville (FR) 16 2 12.5% +2.20
Saint-Cloud (FR) 14 2 14.3% +0.30
Longchamp (FR) 10 2 20% +10.20
Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.63 +0.70
2nd–3rd fav 12 4 33.3% 2.49 +13.50
4th–6th fav 20 3 15% 1.81 +10.90
7th+ in betting 38 4 10.5% 2.89 +34.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Weekend Warrior (FR)from R Roels · then Leonardo D Racco 7 1 2 8 Nov 25
Young And Proud (FR)from M Boutin · then Leonardo D Racco 7 2 3 12 Aug 25
Qatar River (FR)from Mme J Soudan · then Bart De Koninck 7 0 0 23 Dec 24
Louis Deux (IRE)from M Boutin · then V Devillars 6 1 2 14 Nov 25
Celestin (FR)from Julian Resimont · then Bart De Koninck 6 1 3 26 Dec 24
Dalenda (FR)from M Brasme 6 1 2 13 Dec 24
Royal Monarch (GB)from V Devillars 5 1 3 30 Aug 25
Honguemare (FR)from M Boutin · then Mme Caroline Bertin 3 0 0 29 Jun 25
New Way Baby (IRE)from S Labate · then Mme S Gavilan 2 2 2 23 Oct 25
Desert Rose (FR)from G Nakouzi · then Mme V C Wilde 2 0 1 22 Oct 25
Xylophone (FR)from Mme Caroline Bertin 2 1 2 19 Oct 25
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G Nakouzi (4) and M Boutin (4); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Bart De Koninck (3) and V Devillars (3); 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·5000136000036033
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mme Marie Velon 17 2 11.8% −4.50
Benjamin Marie 16 4 25% +25.30
Malone Favriaux 12 2 16.7% +14.80
Delphine Santiago 5 1 20% +27.00
David Breux 5 1 20% +1.60
Eddy Hardouin 5 0 0% −5.00
Augustin Madamet 3 0 0% −3.00
Christophe Soumillon 2 0 0% −2.00
Maxime Guyon 2 1 50% +2.60
Hugo Lebouc 2 1 50% +6.50
Clement Lecoeuvre 1 0 0% −1.00
Mme Ambre Molins 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
12
Archived wins
£186k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 9 wins
Celestin (FR) — Prix de Pierrefonds (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Dec 2024
£23,043
Dalenda (FR) — Prix de l'Enclos des Kangourous (Handicap) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2024
£10,000
Xylophone (FR) — Prix du Val d'Oise (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2025
£9,132

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zelzal (FR) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,752 runs since 2021 (242 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.3% from 111.
Camacho (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,327 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
French Fifteen (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.7% of 986 runs since 2017 (127 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.6% from 127. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.2% from 106. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.2% from 212.
Romanised (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 8.6% of 661 runs since 2024 (115 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 227. Weakest on Soft going: 5.3% from 151.
Dabirsim (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,175 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 258. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.
Twilight Son (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,670 runs since 2020 (284 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 621.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 74 · newest first

The latest 50 of 74 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 September 2017 to 14 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joao Pedro Macedo Da Costa Oliveira's strike rate?
Joao Pedro Macedo Da Costa Oliveira has won 12 of 73 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joao Pedro Macedo Da Costa Oliveira do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 runners (18.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Joao Pedro Macedo Da Costa Oliveira's Fair A/E?
2.28, from 73 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).