Skip to content
Trainer profile

John Needham

162 runners in the lifetime window · 28 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2020 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–162
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=162
29 (18%)
Placed
1.24
Fair A/E
n=162 · 1.08 incl. margin
−27.38
£1 level stake
n=162 at SP · −16.9%
£71,400
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.24).

Deterministic profile computed from 162 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.7% Claiming riders: 8.8%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.49 and +6.12 to a £1 stake over 114 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also read well in Chase races (11.1%, n=54) and off a 15-30-day break (11.1%, n=36). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.1% over 49 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Mortimers Cross (GB) — 5 wins from 31 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.7%+0.3
n=65 · A/E 1.85 · £1 +29.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.4
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.3%−1.1
n=16 · A/E 2.55 · £1 +18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.8%+1.4
n=114 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +6.12
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 11.1% vs 7.4% · n=54
Off a 15-30-day break 11.1% vs 7.4% · n=36
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.1% vs 7.4% · n=49
On Good going 4.3% vs 7.4% · n=47
With a new jockey booking 4.8% vs 7.4% · n=84
On Soft going 10.3% vs 7.4% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 84 5 6% −24.38
Chase 54 6 11.1% +13.00
NH Flat 24 1 4.2% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 47 2 4.3% −3.00
Soft 39 4 10.3% +21.00
Good to Soft 32 3 9.4% −12.50
Heavy 31 3 9.7% −19.88
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 30 3 10% −14.38
Bangor-on-Dee 19 1 5.3% −9.00
Hereford 14 1 7.1% −6.00
Ludlow 10 0 0% −10.00
Worcester 9 0 0% −9.00
Ffos Las 9 0 0% −9.00
Towcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Stratford 7 0 0% −7.00
Fontwell 6 2 33.3% +4.50
Southwell 5 1 20% −1.00
Chepstow 5 2 40% +34.50
Taunton 4 0 0% −4.00
Leicester 4 0 0% −4.00
Plumpton 4 1 25% +30.00
Fakenham 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 66 4 6.1% −19.38
Class 4 65 6 9.2% +2.00
Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 6 13 1 7.7% −5.00
Class 2 2 1 50% +11.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 18 5 27.8% 1.74 +3.12
4th–6th fav 47 4 8.5% 1.24 −14.50
7th+ in betting 93 3 3.2% 1.30 −12.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.6% completed · 138 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 54 68.5% 4 1 11 0 1
Hurdle 84 78.6% 3 1 13 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bringewood Belle (GB) 30 5 9 25 Aug 15
Mortimers Cross (GB) 26 4 9 5 Feb 14
Right Royals Day (GB)then Trevor Wall 17 0 2 23 Oct 19
Elton Fox (GB) 12 1 4 23 Mar 15
Bringewood Fox (GB) 10 1 2 2 Aug 12
Knockiterra Lass (GB) 7 0 1 4 Nov 09
Bellassini (GB) 7 0 0 13 Apr 09
Cooldine Run (IRE)from Andrew Slattery 6 1 1 19 Feb 14
Bringewood Blue (IRE) 5 0 0 8 Jan 19
My Foxy Lady (GB)then Trevor Wall 4 0 0 31 Dec 19
Italian Legace (IRE)from Andrew Slattery 4 0 0 23 Jul 14
Just Another Joker (GB) 4 0 0 15 May 11
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Slattery (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Trevor Wall (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
115730000000129
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTommy Phelan
23% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.70
RiderRWSR£1
Tommy Phelan 38 3 7.9% +14.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
14
Archived wins
£94,258
Prize money
2014
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mortimers Cross (GB) — John Smith's Scottish Borders National (Handicap Chase) Kelso · Dec 2012 · Class 2
£16,266
Another Joker (GB) — McMahon Holdings Handicap Chase Stratford · Sep 2006 · Class 3
£9,395
Mortimers Cross (GB) — Shaw Group UK Ltd Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Nov 2008 · Class 4
£4,879
Notable horses
Mortimers Cross (GB) Bringewood Belle (GB) Bringewood Fox (GB) Another Joker (GB) Elton Fox (GB) Cooldine Run (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cloudings (IRE) 12.5% · 5–40
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Kayf Tara (GB) 15.6% · 5–32
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Bob Back (USA) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Dr Massini (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Shernazar (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,462 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 202 · newest first

The latest 50 of 202 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 September 2005 to 5 February 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Feb 20 Ludlow Downton Fox (GB)J: Ben Poste Mullocks Auctioneers Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 100/1
31 Dec 19 Uttoxeter My Foxy Lady (GB)J: Richard Patrick Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 125/1
19 Dec 19 Hereford Downton Fox (GB)J: Ben Poste Westons Cider Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 50/1
23 Oct 19 Worcester Right Royals Day (GB)J: James Best Best Odds Guaranteed At MansionBet Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 9/1
06 Oct 19 Uttoxeter Right Royals Day (GB)J: James Best Stu Haycock Drivetime On Signal 2 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 50/1
23 Sep 19 Warwick Right Royals Day (GB)J: Ben Poste Join Racing TV And Go Racing Free Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 33/1
17 Aug 19 Market Rasen Right Royals Day (GB)J: Ben Poste Dennis Meech 'Magic Moments' Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 9th 10/1
21 Jul 19 Stratford Right Royals Day (GB)J: Ben Poste RSA 'Join A Syndicate' Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 33/1
28 Jun 19 Cartmel Right Royals Day (GB)J: Richard Patrick William Hill Leading Racecourse Bookmaker Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 50/1
20 Jun 19 Ffos Las Right Royals Day (GB)J: Richard Patrick Velindre Fundraising Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 8th 40/1
20 May 19 Ludlow Right Royals Day (GB)J: Richard Patrick End Of Season Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 20/1
21 Apr 19 Ffos Las My Foxy Lady (GB)J: Robert Dunne Walters UK Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran PU 20/1
08 Jan 19 Bangor-on-Dee Bringewood Blue (IRE)J: James Best Budweiser Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran REF 150/1
31 Dec 18 Uttoxeter Right Royals Day (GB)J: Jamie Moore Ever So Sensible Restaurants Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 50/1
21 Dec 18 Uttoxeter My Foxy Lady (GB)J: Jamie Moore Create Finance Invitational Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 25/1
21 Dec 18 Uttoxeter Right Royals Day (GB)J: Jamie Moore June Taylor Memorial Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 50/1
06 Dec 18 Leicester Right Royals Day (GB)J: Jamie Moore Marston Trussell Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 33/1
04 Nov 18 Huntingdon Right Royals Day (GB)J: Robert Dunne Further, Faster, Greater - New Heli Appeal Claiming HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 125/1
10 Oct 18 Ludlow Right Royals Day (GB)J: Jamie Moore Teme Valley Insurance Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 3rd 33/1
17 Jul 18 Worcester Right Royals Day (GB)J: Josh Wall Lighting And Living Worcester's Home Furnishing Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 9th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Needham's strike rate?
John Needham has won 12 of 162 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Needham do best at?
Uttoxeter by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is John Needham's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 162 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).