No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 4.1%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.2
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+5.9
n=11 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.1%+0.9
n=49 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −9.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Class 50% vs 3.2% · n=30
With a new jockey booking5.7% vs 3.2% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4312.3%−22.00
Chase1516.7%+4.00
NH Flat500%−5.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good3213.1%−11.00
Good to Soft1200%−12.00
Good to Firm1100%−11.00
Soft7114.3%+12.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Worcester2015%+1.00
Hereford1815.6%+1.00
Ludlow900%−9.00
Stratford300%−3.00
Newton Abbot200%−2.00
Southwell200%−2.00
Taunton200%−2.00
Chepstow200%−2.00
Towcester100%−1.00
Uttoxeter100%−1.00
Warwick100%−1.00
Ffos Las100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 53000%−30.00
Class 42328.7%+17.00
Class 3700%−7.00
Class 6300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav600%0.00−6.00
4th–6th fav1500%0.00−15.00
7th+ in betting4124.9%1.68−1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m2813.6%−7.00
2m1f – 2m4f2314.3%−4.00
2m5f – 3m1100%−11.00
Over 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20088112.5%+11.00
20099111.1%+12.00
20101300%−13.00
20111000%−10.00
2012800%−8.00
2013700%−7.00
2014500%−5.00
2015300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4824.2%−8.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners1915.3%+0.00
14-16 runners1516.7%+6.00
11-13 runners1300%−13.00
5-7 runners900%−9.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 13 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 2 had their first archived run for this yard.
5 have since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000013000100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Scalini's (IRE) — Free Bets With freebets.co.uk Handicap Chase Hereford · Nov 2008 · Class 4
£6,274
Priest Field (IRE) — Cotswold Scaffolding Handicap Hurdle Worcester · Jul 2009 · Class 4
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,030 runs since 2008 (97 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.3% from 132.
Peintre Celebre (USA)7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,836 runs since 2008 (311 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.3% from 734. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 291.
Dubai Destination (USA)0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Bollin Eric (GB)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.6% from 257. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 101.
Bahhare (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,314 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 202.
Tamure (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10% of 896 runs since 2008 (76 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.4% from 128. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 180.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 78 · newest first
The latest 50 of 78 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 November 2006 to 22 April 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Chris Nenadich's strike rate?
Chris Nenadich has won 2 of 63 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Chris Nenadich's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 62 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Chris Nenadich·SR 3.2%·A/E 0.66
KTB
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