What is Hiroo Shimizu's strike rate?

Hiroo Shimizu has won 15 of 163 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Hiroo Shimizu do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 50 runners (14%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Hiroo Shimizu in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Hiroo Shimizu's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 163 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Hiroo Shimizu

163 runners in the last 5 seasons · 46 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

15–163

Wins / Runs

9.2%

Strike rate

n=163

41 (25%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=163 · 0.96 incl. margin

+45.23

£1 level stake

n=163 at SP · +27.7%

£389k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16).

Deterministic profile computed from 163 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (16.7%, n=36) and on Standard (AW) going (15%, n=60). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 30 runners, 9.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Lutece at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2021, £35,714).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.5%−4.7

n=67 · A/E 0.66 · £1 +28.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.7%+7.5

n=6 · A/E 2.89 · £1 +8.40

Debutants · first career start

7.1%−2.1

n=28 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −13.30

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−4.9

n=23 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −8.60

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−9.2

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

45.5%

n=11 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +1.23

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

26.7%+17.5

n=15 · A/E 3.40 · £1 +30.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.2

n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 0% vs 9.2% · n=30

In Group / Graded races 0% vs 9.2% · n=30

Off a 15-30-day break 16.7% vs 9.2% · n=36

On Standard (AW) going 15% vs 9.2% · n=60

With Simon Planque 15.2% vs 9.2% · n=33

Off a 61-180-day break 4.3% vs 9.2% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 159 15 9.4% +49.23

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 60 9 15% +28.50

Soft 37 2 5.4% −32.77

Good to Soft 34 3 8.8% +69.40

Heavy 21 1 4.8% −8.90

Good 10 0 0% −10.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 50 7 14% +9.70

Saint-Cloud 39 3 7.7% −3.70

Deauville (FR) 34 3 8.8% −1.50

Longchamp (FR) 21 1 4.8% +58.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Compiegne (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Toulouse (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00

Nancy (FR) 1 1 100% +0.73

Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 30 0 0% −30.00

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 5 41.7% 1.45 +0.23

2nd–3rd fav 25 2 8% 0.51 −13.70

4th–6th fav 47 4 8.5% 1.31 +0.80

7th+ in betting 79 4 5.1% 1.64 +57.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

La Yomoguiness (IRE) 14 1 4 29 Mar 25

Pen And Sword (GB) 9 0 1 23 Sep 26

Zagor (FR) 8 1 2 5 Jul 26

Rencontre Sportive (FR) 7 1 4 31 Oct 26

La Bobride (FR) 7 0 0 15 Sep 26

Adrett (IRE) 7 1 2 18 Nov 25

The Big Short (FR) 7 1 3 17 Dec 22

Wasabi (FR) 6 1 2 25 Oct 26

Sakurasaku (FR) 6 0 0 12 May 26

Under The Open Sky (IRE) 6 0 1 18 Nov 23

Princess Anne (FR)from N Caullery · then R Le Dren Doleuze 6 2 3 19 Jun 23

Fall In Love (IRE)then Roger Varian 6 0 0 20 Dec 22

All 46 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 46 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

331114130110059820

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSimon Planque

20% of all rides
15.2% SR · A/E 1.36

RiderRWSR£1

Simon Planque 33 5 15.2% −10.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£978k

Prize money

2020

Best season · 10 wins

Esope (FR) — Prix de Lutece (3yo) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2021 · Group 3

£35,714

Sakura Zensen (FR) — Prix de Beaumesnil (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2019

£24,775

Midlife Crisis (FR) — Prix des Dormants (Conditions) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Nov 2020

£12,881

Notable horses

Marcan (FR) Brave Shiina (FR) Gunma (FR) Sakura Zensen (FR) Midlife Crisis (FR) Vesinaba (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fascinating Rock (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,115 runs since 2008 (101 horses).

Le Brivido (FR) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 7.9% of 469 runs since 2008 (68 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.1% from 148.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,966 runs since 2008 (1,115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 456. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Havana Grey (GB) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,585 runs since 2008 (419 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 421.

Siyouni (FR) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 13% of 8,345 runs since 2008 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.

Zarak (FR) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 15.3% of 2,005 runs since 2008 (329 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 369. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.6% from 252. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 202.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 391 · newest first

The latest 50 of 391 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 February 2018 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Rencontre Sportive (FR)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix Irish RiverClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Yokozuna (FR)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Comte Antoine De Gontaut-bironClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran PU 2/1F

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wasabi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix des HarasClass 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 15/2

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Yokozuna (FR)J: Felix De Giles Prix Richard D'ayguevivesClass 30 · 17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Starlit Destiny (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Prix Henri Dory10f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 8/11F

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wasabi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Du Vert ClosClass 3 · 12.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 7/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Pen And Sword (GB)J: C. Soumillon Prix Du Cabinet Des Gemmes6f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 5/1

20 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Starlit Destiny (IRE)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (Prix Du Maire Chretien Glass)10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 7/2

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) La Bobride (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Des Bords De L'aronde14f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 9/1

05 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Pen And Sword (GB)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Compagnie Fiduciaire (px L'ecurie De Territoire La Teste)Class 2 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 4th 33/1

11 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) La Bobride (FR)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix d'AuvillarsClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

06 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Pen And Sword (GB)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix De La Villa Monet6.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 25/1

06 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Wasabi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De CanapvilleClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 7/1

21 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Yokozuna (FR)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix Imperatrice Eugenie12f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 25/1

10 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) Flower CelebrationJ: A Pouchin Prix Du Mont Saint-pierre Stakes2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 11/1

10 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) La Bobride (FR)J: L Plommee Prix De Bonneuil-en-valois Claiming Stakes3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 16/1

10 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) La BobrideJ: L Plommee Prix De Bonneuil-en-valois Claiming Stakes3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 16/1

05 Jul 26 Saint-Cloud Zagor (FR)J: Dorian Provost Handicap Des Hauts-de-seine - World Pool By Pmu8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 13th 50/1

11 Jun 26 Longchamp (FR) Flower Celebration (FR)J: Akira Sugawara Prix de Picpus (Handicap) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 78/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Hiroo Shimizu's strike rate?: Hiroo Shimizu has won 15 of 163 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Hiroo Shimizu do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 50 runners (14%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Hiroo Shimizu in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Hiroo Shimizu's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 163 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.