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Trainer profile

M C Hickey

41 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 78 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–41
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=41
6 (15%)
Placed
1.67
Fair A/E
n=41 · 1.29 incl. margin
+24.00
£1 level stake
n=41 at SP · +58.5%
£24,640
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.3%+7.0
n=7 · A/E 2.15 · £1 +8.00
Debutants · first career start
7.7%+0.4
n=13 · A/E 3.49 · £1 +8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.7%+2.4
n=31 · A/E 2.16 · £1 +34.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 9.7% vs 7.3% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 26 1 3.8% −11.00
NH Flat 8 1 12.5% +21.00
Flat 7 1 14.3% +14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 17 1 5.9% +4.00
Heavy 12 2 16.7% +32.00
Good 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Punchestown 9 1 11.1% +20.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 1 50% +19.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Curragh (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 7 2 28.6% 5.74 +29.00
7th+ in betting 29 1 3.4% 1.51 +0.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.5% completed · 26 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 26 88.5% 0 0 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Somedaysomehow (IRE) 10 1 2 27 Feb 13
Ballyfair (IRE) 6 0 0 19 May 16
Pixie Lane (IRE)then Colin Bowe 4 0 1 13 May 16
Voice Of You (IRE) 3 0 0 20 Aug 26
Sagecraft (IRE) 3 0 0 1 Jan 23
Tin Woodman (GB) 3 0 0 16 Feb 11
Likeoldtimes (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Mar 25
Magic Dawn (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 2 1 1 31 Dec 22
Ladylea (IRE) 2 0 0 5 May 22
Timmy Allen (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Jul 08
Ivy Lane (IRE) 1 0 0 31 Dec 25
Sprightly Lad (IRE) 1 0 0 5 Apr 15
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 14 had their first archived run here.

3 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000000033033013
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian McCarthy 12 0 0% −12.00
Ben Dalton 6 1 16.7% +9.00
Peter Smithers 5 0 0% −5.00
Aidan Kelly 4 1 25% +25.00
P W Flood 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr G M Mangan 2 0 0% −2.00
Gary Carroll 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr J E Flynn 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Gorey 1 1 100% +20.00
G B Noonan 1 0 0% −1.00
Jack Kennedy 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr A J Fox 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
4
Archived wins
£31,878
Prize money
2022
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Hawthorne (GB) — Mocklershill Stables Maiden Tipperary · Aug 2009
£7,601
Timmy Allen (IRE) — Sponsor A Race At Kilbeggan Handicap Hurdle (74-102) Kilbeggan · Sep 2007
£6,910
Magic Dawn (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race Punchestown · Dec 2022
£6,490
Notable horses
Timmy Allen (IRE) Somedaysomehow (IRE) Magic Dawn (IRE) Hawthorne (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gamut (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,839 runs since 2010 (172 horses).
Old Vic (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,381 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Wizard King (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 4.8% of 750 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.3% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 52 · newest first

The latest 50 of 52 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2006 to 20 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Voice Of You (IRE)J: Terry Casey Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Irish EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th 33/1
09 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Voice Of You (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Grand Hotel Malahide Irish EBF Fillies Juvenile Race7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th 18/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Voice Of You (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 5th 80/1
31 Dec 25 Punchestown Ivy Lane (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 9th 22/1
17 Mar 25 Down Royal Likeoldtimes (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Bluegrass Horse Feed Mares Flat Race17f · Good · 12 ran 12th 66/1
22 Feb 25 Fairyhouse Likeoldtimes (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Ian Smith Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 100/1
01 Jan 23 Fairyhouse Sagecraft (IRE)J: Peter Smithers ITM Stallion Trail 13-14 January Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 21 ran PU 100/1
31 Dec 22 Punchestown Magic Dawn (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 1st 28/1
03 Dec 22 Fairyhouse Magic Dawn (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Willie Elliott Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 25/1
29 Nov 22 Punchestown Sagecraft (IRE)J: Peter Smithers William Hill Play Responsibly Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 9th 250/1
30 Sep 22 Gowran Park Sagecraft (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Gowran Park Racing Club Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 16 ran 15th 66/1
05 May 22 Tipperary Ladylea (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Hotel Minella Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran PU 250/1
10 Apr 22 Tramore Ladylea (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 12 ran PU 28/1
19 May 16 Clonmel Ballyfair (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Sliabh Na mBan Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)19.5f · Good · 17 ran 5th 16/1
13 May 16 Kilbeggan Pixie Lane (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Kinnegad Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 9/1
25 Apr 16 Tramore Ballyfair (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Tote Jackpot Races 3 To 6 Handicap Hurdle (80-95)21f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 8th 33/1
20 Apr 16 Fairyhouse Pixie Lane (IRE)J: Mr J E Flynn Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Flat Race20f · Yielding · 15 ran 7th 7/2
17 Feb 16 Punchestown Ballyfair (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Festival Party Pack From 25 Euro Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 11th 66/1
31 Dec 15 Punchestown Pixie Lane (IRE)J: Mr A J Fox Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Heavy · 21 ran 3rd 25/1
10 Dec 15 Punchestown Pixie Lane (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Follow Us On Facebook And Twitter Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 22 ran 7th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M C Hickey's strike rate?
M C Hickey has won 3 of 41 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is M C Hickey's Fair A/E?
1.67, from 41 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).