What is Luca Carboni's strike rate?

Luca Carboni has won 25 of 230 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Luca Carboni do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Luca Carboni ride most for?

F-H Graffard, with 63 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (17.5%).

What is Luca Carboni's Fair A/E?

1.38, from 229 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Luca Carboni

230 rides in the last 5 seasons · 187 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 48 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

25–230

Wins / Runs

10.9%

Strike rate

n=230

53 (23%)

Placed

1.38

Fair A/E

n=229 · 1.14 incl. margin

+133.30

£1 level stake

n=230 at SP · +58.0%

£375k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.38). First rides on a horse are a strength: 12% on the first captured pairing (186 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 230 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance F-H Graffard: 17.5% from 63 First rides: 12.4% Claiming: 12.4%

The read

First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 12.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.66 and +161.00 to a £1 stake over 186 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. F-H Graffard supplies 27% of the rides and beats the rider's average (17.5% vs 10.9%, A/E 1.39) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (14%, n=100) and off a 15-30-day break (14%, n=57). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 3.6% over 55 rides, 7.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.4%+1.5

n=186 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +161.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+1.6

n=8 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −2.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.4%−0.5

n=67 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +40.20

When favourite

26.7%

n=15 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −0.60

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

12.4%+1.5

n=185 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +149.80

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.3%−1.6

n=75 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +66.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.9

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3.6% vs 10.9% · n=55

With F-H Graffard 17.5% vs 10.9% · n=63

Over 1m – 1m1f 14% vs 10.9% · n=100

Off a 15-30-day break 14% vs 10.9% · n=57

On Soft going 8.2% vs 10.9% · n=49

With first-time headgear 8.1% vs 10.9% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 138 17 12.3% +87.20

Soft 49 4 8.2% +65.00

Good to Soft 28 3 10.7% −8.40

Good 8 1 12.5% −3.50

Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 75 9 12% +67.10

Deauville (AW) 73 8 11% +10.10

Saint-Cloud (FR) 38 5 13.2% +67.10

Longchamp (FR) 14 2 14.3% −4.00

Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Le Touquet (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Amiens (FR) 4 1 25% +19.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Vittel (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Strasbourg (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 16 4 25% 0.99 −1.60

2nd–3rd fav 38 7 18.4% 1.17 −0.40

4th–6th fav 58 7 12.1% 1.55 +29.40

7th+ in betting 118 7 5.9% 1.93 +105.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dire La Verite (FR) 5 0 3 25 Feb 26

Lingotto (FR) 4 1 1 26 Dec 23

Bloom (FR) 3 0 0 28 Aug 26

Oleron (IRE) 3 0 0 24 Apr 25

Shazam (GER) 3 1 1 31 Aug 23

Micoleo (FR) 3 1 1 4 Feb 23

Footstepsanpie (IRE) 3 1 1 27 Jan 23

Zifulott (FR) 2 0 1 26 Jul 26

Quasar (FR) 2 1 1 8 Mar 26

Spring Heart (FR) 2 1 1 20 Feb 26

Bolkhov (FR) 2 0 1 20 Feb 26

Dhalem (FR) 2 0 0 9 Jan 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 187 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

11208900100286021

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardF-H Graffard

27% of all rides
17.5% SR · A/E 1.39

TrainerRWSR£1

F-H Graffard 63 11 17.5% +28.20

A & G Botti 33 4 12.1% +38.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£390k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 10 wins

Spring Heart (FR) — Prix du Chemin Royal (Handicap) (All Weather) Chantilly (FR) · Jan 2026

£12,522

Zryan (FR) — Prix de la Table d'Apremont (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Feb 2025

£12,397

Child Of Vision (IRE) — Prix du Lieu des Champs (Conditions) (2yo Fillies) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2025

£11,322

Notable horses

Footstepsanpie (IRE) Lingotto (FR) Micoleo (FR) Shazam (GER) Spring Heart (FR) Quasar (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Soldier Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,927 runs since 2011 (268 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8% from 489. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 386.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 13% of 5,716 runs since 2015 (793 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Siyouni (FR) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 13% of 8,372 runs since 2014 (976 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 461.

Al Wukair (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,114 runs since 2021 (162 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 213.

Almanzor (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,131 runs since 2021 (283 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 153. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 310.

Muhaarar (GB) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,840 runs since 2019 (415 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 252 · newest first

The latest 50 of 252 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 December 2019 to 27 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Mon Schatzi (FR)T: Marian Falk Weissmeier Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (Prix Edouard Acker)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 11/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Mia Rare (FR)T: Leonardo D Racco Prix De Longpre8f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 22/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Inter Glory (FR)T: Gianluca Bietolini Prix Yves Saint Martin11f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 22/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Wilela (GER)T: Marian Falk Weissmeier Px Du Pdv Pmu Le Chalet Les Attaques (62) (Px Du Stade De La Licorne)11f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gold Standard (FR)T: Alberto Carrasco Prix Radio Evasion (Prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 5/2

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Zanina (IRE)T: C Plisson Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (Prix Des Cerfs)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 40/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Ceros Gold (FR)T: Frau M Renggli Prix Alphonse Bechtold10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 18/1

28 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Bloom (FR)T: Xavier Blanchet Prix Mauritius Turf Club (Prix Robert Surcouf)12.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 18/1

28 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Rosalita (FR)T: Xavier Blanchet Prix Georges CreisClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 40/1

18 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Piyango (FR)T: A Botti Prix Robert Surcouf (Prix De La Societe Des Courses De Pornichet)9f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 2/1F

16 Aug 26 Le Touquet (FR) Ambra Antica (FR)T: Joeri Goossens Prix Hotel Regina HardelotClass 4 · 6.5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 18/1

15 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Bloom (FR)T: Xavier Blanchet Prix Des Hautes Mottes6f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 16/1

09 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Honeybliss (FR)T: Xavier Blanchet Prix De Haute Folie12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 4/1

07 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Suleima (FR)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix Des Artistes Jury Du Concours - Prix Des Anemones11f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 25/1

02 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Vibrato (FR)T: Xavier Blanchet Prix du Quai de Saint-Etienne - World Pool by PMUClass 3 · 7.5f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 28/1

30 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) Stop The Rock (GB)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix Operation Jubilee 194211f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 50/1

27 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Bloom (FR)T: Xavier Blanchet Prix Minnie De Beauvau Craon10.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 11/1

27 Jul 26 Vittel (FR) Arrasage (FR)T: P Munsch Prix De L'hippodrome De Strasbourg12f · Good · 12 ran 8th 25/1

26 Jul 26 Le Touquet (FR) Silver Condor (FR)T: G Verheye Prix Hotel WestminsterClass 4 · 10.5f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 50/1

26 Jul 26 Le Touquet (FR) Tsunamia (FR)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix Saracen6.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Luca Carboni's strike rate?: Luca Carboni has won 25 of 230 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luca Carboni do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Luca Carboni ride most for?: F-H Graffard, with 63 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (17.5%).
What is Luca Carboni's Fair A/E?: 1.38, from 229 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.