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Jockey profile

Adrian Le Lay Martin

109 rides in the last 5 seasons · 75 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–109
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=109
28 (26%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=109 · 0.84 incl. margin
−33.66
£1 level stake
n=109 at SP · −30.9%
£191k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 109 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026
The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 6.7% (n=75, Fair A/E 0.66). The rider also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (16.7%, n=48) and off a 15-30-day break (15.2%, n=33).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.7%−3.4
n=75 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −48.96
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+39.9
n=4 · A/E 3.29 · £1 +3.80
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.3%−1.8
n=24 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −18.43
When favourite
45.5%
n=11 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +0.44
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.9%−2.2
n=63 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −20.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.7%−1.4
n=23 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m – 1m1f 16.7% vs 10.1% · n=48
Off a 15-30-day break 15.2% vs 10.1% · n=33
On first rides for the horse 6.7% vs 10.1% · n=75
When claiming 7.9% vs 10.1% · n=63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 34 3 8.8% −21.33
Standard (AW) 34 3 8.8% −3.70
Soft 21 3 14.3% −0.53
Good 11 1 9.1% −3.00
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −5.10

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 24 3 12.5% +10.50
Saint-Cloud (FR) 24 1 4.2% −20.10
Deauville (AW) 23 1 4.3% −19.20
Longchamp (FR) 11 2 18.2% +0.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Compiegne (FR) 3 1 33.3% −1.33
Vittel (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Amiens (FR) 3 1 33.3% +14.00
Dieppe (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Vichy (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Chateaubriant (FR) 1 1 100% +0.80
Le Mans (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
La Teste De Buch (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 7 3 42.9% −1.86

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 5 41.7% 1.39 −0.56
2nd–3rd fav 22 3 13.6% 0.86 −6.10
4th–6th fav 30 2 6.7% 0.86 −4.50
7th+ in betting 45 1 2.2% 0.83 −22.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Paddington (FR) 6 3 3 20 Feb 26
Bech River (IRE) 5 0 1 13 Nov 26
Palazzo (FR) 5 0 0 26 Nov 25
Mooney Vision (IRE) 3 0 2 4 Aug 26
Caribbean Pearl (FR) 3 0 0 19 Sep 25
Taikinabolt (FR) 3 0 1 30 Aug 25
Nekazari (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Mar 25
Evenementielle (GB) 2 1 1 23 Sep 26
Sunrise Dream (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Sep 26
Radmilla (FR) 2 1 2 13 Sep 26
Maranello (FR) 2 0 1 24 Aug 26
Celtic Aryaan (FR) 2 0 0 16 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
50130014036090720
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
F Graffard 24 6 25% −4.46
A Fabre 19 0 0% −19.00
Pierre-Etienne Dubois 10 2 20% +16.30
J-F Racine 8 0 0% −8.00
Matthieu Gonzalez 4 0 0% −4.00
Mme Y Vollmer 4 1 25% +0.00
E Libaud 3 0 0% −3.00
Mme Melanie Gilet 3 0 0% −3.00
Rosine Bouckhuyt 3 0 0% −3.00
J Boisnard 3 0 0% −3.00
Maurizio Guarnieri 2 0 0% −2.00
D Smaga 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
11
Archived wins
£191k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 9 wins
Evenementielle (GB) — Prix De La Mare Aux Oiseaux Chantilly (FR) · Sep 2026
£13,700
Coetzee (USA) — Prix du Vesinet (Claimer) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2026
£10,870
Radmilla (FR) — Prix Du Lac Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2026
£10,100
Notable horses
Paddington (FR) Radmilla (FR) Soliway (FR) Evenementielle (GB) Silent Warning (IRE) Cheerio (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Siyouni (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13% of 8,377 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 462.
Threat (IRE) 42.9% · 3–7
Progeny have won 9.4% of 203 runs since 2024 (34 horses).
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 16.4% of 5,123 runs since 2019 (564 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 161.
Stormy River (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,232 runs since 2011 (253 horses).
War Front (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 15.7% of 2,501 runs since 2010 (297 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.8% from 926. Weakest on Good going: 10.9% from 533. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 19.3% from 1,010.
Anodin (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,458 runs since 2018 (277 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 109 · newest first

The latest 50 of 109 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 May 2022 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Loria (IRE)T: M Munch Prix Du Pays D'yvelines8f · Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 7/2
13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bech River (IRE)T: Matthieu Gonzalez Prix de La Vallee de l'Yvette10f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 7/1
13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Simply Flawless (USA)T: Francis-Henri Graffard Prix Pharsale10f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 11/2
10 Nov 26 Amiens (FR) Pastille Bam's (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix de la Baie de Somme (Prix de la Hotoie)14.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 5th 20/1
10 Nov 26 Amiens (FR) Time To Parley (GB)T: B Gautier Prix Du Pont de Metz8f · Very Soft · 13 ran 1st 16/1
10 Nov 26 Amiens (FR) Best Heaven (FR)T: Andreas Suborics Prix Du Zoo d'Amiens8f · Very Soft · 13 ran 4th 3/1F
06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Potter Nicoliere (FR)T: Mme Melanie Gilet Prix De BraudiereClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 7th 28/1
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Lightass Fal (FR)T: Mme L Pontoir Prix Geoff Lewis (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 20/1
30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Bech River (IRE)T: Matthieu Gonzalez Prix D'essayClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 5th 10/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Little Lady (FR)T: Mme Y Vollmer Prix Des MyosotisClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 4/1
14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bech River (IRE)T: Matthieu Gonzalez Prix De La Pointe Du Hode10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 11/1
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Another Light (GB)T: Francis-Henri Graffard Prix Du Val D'orClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 9/4F
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Dream D'armor (FR)T: D Windrif Prix Guy Garner (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 100/1
24 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Abloom (GB)T: Francis-Henri Graffard Prix Du Haras Du MazetClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 5/2
23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Evenementielle (GB)T: Francis-Henri Graffard Prix De La Mare Aux Oiseaux8f · Good · 7 ran 1st 7/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Danelo (IRE)T: H Blume Prix De L'afasec (Prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux)7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 8/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Chiprana (FR)T: Vaclav Luka Jr Prix Radio Evasion (Prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 20/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Vent Du Large (FR)T: H-F Devin Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (Prix Des Cerfs)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 6/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Sighish (FR)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix Des Animations Pmu (Prix Label Equures)6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 6/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Sighish (FR)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix Des Animations Pmu (Prix Label Equures)6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adrian Le Lay Martin's strike rate?
Adrian Le Lay Martin has won 11 of 109 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Adrian Le Lay Martin in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adrian Le Lay Martin's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 109 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).