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Jockey profile

Miss Ella Herbison

71 rides in the last 5 seasons · 35 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–71
Wins / Runs
5.6%
Strike rate
n=71
18 (25%)
Placed
0.70
Fair A/E
n=70 · 0.58 incl. margin
−46.00
£1 level stake
n=71 at SP · −64.8%
£48,057
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.9%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 5.8%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−5.6
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−5.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.5%+4.9
n=19 · A/E 1.72 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.8%+0.2
n=69 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −44.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−5.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 5.6% · n=34
When claiming 5.8% vs 5.6% · n=69 · A/E 0.70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 48 2 4.2% −32.50
Chase 19 2 10.5% −9.50
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 23 2 8.7% −7.50
Good 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Heavy 10 2 20% −0.50
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 11 0 0% −11.00
Wincanton 8 1 12.5% −1.50
Ffos Las 6 1 16.7% −2.50
Leicester 4 1 25% −1.00
Gowran Park (IRE) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newton Abbot 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Cheltenham 3 0 0% −3.00
Perth 2 1 50% +10.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 27 2 7.4% −17.50
Class 4 18 2 11.1% −2.50
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 13 2 15.4% 0.87 −6.50
4th–6th fav 21 2 9.5% 1.15 −2.50
7th+ in betting 34 0 0% 0.00 −34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.6% completed · 67 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 19 57.9% 1 1 6 0 0
Hurdle 48 89.6% 1 0 3 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pyleigh Court (GB) 7 2 4 13 Mar 26
The Monkey Pole (IRE) 6 0 3 12 Nov 26
Watchoutitscookie (IRE) 6 0 2 9 Apr 24
Pyleigh Master (GB) 5 1 3 6 Dec 25
Jonny Carrol (IRE) 3 0 0 2 Oct 26
Blowers (GB) 3 0 0 30 Jan 26
Sindabella (FR) 3 0 0 20 Feb 24
Ballymagroarty Boy (IRE) 3 0 1 10 Feb 24
The Friday Man (GB) 2 0 0 1 Nov 26
Monty Searle (GB) 2 1 2 24 Apr 24
Exmoor Forest (IRE) 2 0 1 19 Mar 24
Feach Amach (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Mar 24
All 35 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
131102000000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNigel Hawke
42% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 0.76
TrainerRWSR£1
Nigel Hawke 30 2 6.7% −14.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
4
Archived wins
£52,549
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Pyleigh Master (GB) — Geraint Bowens Welsh Cap Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) Ffos Las · Apr 2025 · Class 4
£4,753
Monty Searle (GB) — Download The AK Bets App Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Perth · Apr 2024 · Class 4
£4,357
Pyleigh Court (GB) — It Pays To Buy Irish Stewart Tory Memorial Open Hunters' Chase Wincanton · Jan 2026 · Class 5
£3,430
Notable horses
Pyleigh Court (GB) Pyleigh Master (GB) Monty Searle (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Order Of St George (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,212 runs since 2023 (209 horses).
Passing Glance (GB) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,582 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,568 runs since 2013 (469 horses).
Harzand (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,110 runs since 2020 (141 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.1% from 126. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.7% from 251. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9% from 122.
Jack Hobbs (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,100 runs since 2021 (205 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 124.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 73 · newest first

The latest 50 of 73 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 December 2021 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) The Monkey Pole (IRE)T: N Dooly Racing Again November 19th Beginners Steeplechase18f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 7/2
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Hoof And Hustle (IRE)T: N Dooly racingtv.com/freetrial Flat Race16.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 100/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) The Monkey Pole (IRE)T: N Dooly Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 5th 10/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) The Friday Man (GB)T: Moses McCabe Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 66/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Cant Stopthe Clock (IRE)T: Edward F Power SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 7th 25/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) The Monkey Pole (IRE)T: N Dooly Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran 4th 15/2
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Friday Man (GB)T: Moses McCabe Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 9th 125/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)T: Moses McCabe Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 13 ran 10th 10/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Quarry Road (IRE)T: Moses McCabe Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 125/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) The Monkey Pole (IRE)T: N Dooly Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 5th 11/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)T: Moses McCabe Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 14 ran 4th 25/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)T: Moses McCabe Wexford Racecourse Ladies Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 8th 50/1
13 Mar 26 Cheltenham Pyleigh Court (GB)T: R C Pudd Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 23 ran F 150/1
24 Feb 26 Leicester Pyleigh Court (GB)T: R C Pudd Cottesmore Open Hunters' ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Soft · 4 ran 2nd 13/8
30 Jan 26 Ffos Las Blowers (GB)T: Nigel Hawke tigerbet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 5/1
29 Jan 26 Wincanton Pyleigh Court (GB)T: R C Pudd It Pays To Buy Irish Stewart Tory Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 11/2
08 Jan 26 Ffos Las Blowers (GB)T: Nigel Hawke BOG On British Racing At DragonBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran F 9/1
06 Dec 25 Chepstow Blowers (GB)T: Nigel Hawke Dagem Power Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 200/1
06 Dec 25 Chepstow Pyleigh Master (GB)T: Nigel Hawke Happy 21st Birthday Lori Garrett Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 13/2
17 Aug 25 Tramore The Monkey Pole (IRE)T: N Dooly Frank King Memorial Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Ella Herbison's strike rate?
Miss Ella Herbison has won 4 of 71 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Miss Ella Herbison in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Miss Ella Herbison's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 70 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).