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Trainer profile

Moses McCabe

390 runners in the lifetime window · 50 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 30 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
15–390
Wins / Runs
3.8%
Strike rate
n=390
72 (19%)
Placed
0.74
Fair A/E
n=390 · 0.57 incl. margin
−206.42
£1 level stake
n=390 at SP · −52.9%
£201k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74).

Deterministic profile computed from 390 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Eddie Power: 8.6% from 70 Claiming riders: 4.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Thurles (12.9%, n=31), Clonmel (8.1%, n=37) and Gowran Park (7.5%, n=40) — all clear of the yard's 3.8% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). Eddie Power rides 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.6% vs 3.8%, A/E 1.49) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The stable star of the record: Arkmore Radar (IRE) — 5 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%+0.0
n=80 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.8
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −0.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%+0.7
n=198 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −108.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Thurles 12.9% vs 3.8% · n=31
With Eddie Power 8.6% vs 3.8% · n=70
At Clonmel 8.1% vs 3.8% · n=37
At Gowran Park 7.5% vs 3.8% · n=40
With debutants 0% vs 3.8% · n=35
At Punchestown 0% vs 3.8% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 250 10 4% −130.42
Chase 105 4 3.8% −54.00
NH Flat 29 1 3.4% −16.00
Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 135 8 5.9% −28.75
Heavy 107 5 4.7% −54.67
Good 93 2 2.2% −68.00
Good to Firm 26 0 0% −26.00
Good to Soft 23 0 0% −23.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 46 2 4.3% −18.00
Gowran Park 40 3 7.5% +5.00
Clonmel 37 3 8.1% −8.67
Punchestown 33 0 0% −33.00
Thurles 31 4 12.9% +36.00
Wexford 29 1 3.4% −21.00
Cork 29 0 0% −29.00
Wexford 20 0 0% −20.00
Tramore 20 1 5% −16.50
Naas 19 0 0% −19.00
Fairyhouse 16 0 0% −16.00
Navan 14 0 0% −14.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Kilbeggan 10 1 10% −6.25
Listowel 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 3 30% 1.44 +2.83
2nd–3rd fav 48 3 6.3% 0.52 −33.25
4th–6th fav 85 4 4.7% 0.73 −44.00
7th+ in betting 247 5 2% 0.72 −132.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.4% completed · 355 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 105 73.3% 5 4 18 0 1
Hurdle 250 84.8% 8 2 27 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Asitsohappens (IRE) 39 1 15 27 Apr 19
Tequila Lord (IRE) 37 1 12 31 Dec 12
Oscar Dubh (IRE) 33 1 6 21 Jan 12
Arkmore Vallee (IRE) 26 0 0 17 Aug 13
Waly's Own (IRE) 25 1 5 14 Jul 10
Brog Ahaon (IRE) 23 2 6 21 Nov 24
Derridae (IRE) 22 2 4 25 Jan 24
Arkmore Radar (IRE)from Paul Nolan 22 4 10 14 Mar 10
Hugbensin (IRE) 21 0 2 26 Jul 13
Brog Deas Nua (USA)from Patrick J Flynn 16 0 1 8 Sep 18
The Kings Baby (IRE)then Harry Whittington 15 2 7 2 Jun 18
Vic Dancer (IRE) 14 1 2 26 Dec 14
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (4); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3129020040384
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderEddie Power
18% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.49
RiderRWSR£1
Eddie Power 70 6 8.6% −2.17
Sean Flanagan 31 1 3.2% −27.25
Jonathan Moore 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
19
Archived wins
£251k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Arkmore Radar (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) Clonmel · Mar 2008
£10,020
The Kings Baby (IRE) — Ballagh Mares Handicap Hurdle Thurles · Nov 2017
£9,856
Waly's Own (IRE) — Goresbridge Handicap Hurdle (81-116) Gowran Park · Mar 2008
£8,638
Notable horses
Arkmore Radar (IRE) Waly's Own (IRE) Brog Ahaon (IRE) Derridae (IRE) The Kings Baby (IRE) Asitsohappens (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rudimentary (USA) 3.1% · 2–64
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 2.6% · 1–38
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Lord Americo (IRE) 2.7% · 1–37
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).
Great Palm (USA) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 9.9% from 262.
Milan (GB) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,866 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 502 · newest first

The latest 50 of 502 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 2 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Friday Man (GB)J: Miss Ella Herbison Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 9th 125/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 13 ran 10th 10/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Quarry Road (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 125/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 14 ran 4th 25/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Miss Ella Herbison Wexford Racecourse Ladies Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 8th 50/1
27 May 26 Wexford Jonny Carrol (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Discover Wexford Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 50/1
21 Nov 24 Thurles Brog Ahaon (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Chase16.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 40/1
07 Aug 24 Wexford The Friday Man (GB)J: Aidan Kelly Wexford Fleadh Cheoil Opportunity Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 16/1
26 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Forever Wild (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 66/1
24 Jul 24 Wexford The Friday Man (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Chase25.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 12/1
13 Jul 24 Wexford The Friday Man (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Visit Wexford.ie Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 33/1
12 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Lieutenant Highway (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Writech Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 66/1
09 Jun 24 Punchestown The Friday Man (GB)J: Kevin Sexton Punchestown Handicap Chase20f · Good · 13 ran PU 28/1
08 Jun 24 Punchestown Warrior Lion (GB)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Ladbrokes Play '1-2-Free' On Football Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19.5f · Good · 17 ran 12th 28/1
29 May 24 Wexford Warrior Lion (GB)J: James O'Sullivan Fleadh Cheoil Wexford August 4th - 11th Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)17f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 7th 28/1
29 May 24 Wexford Lieutenant Highway (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Wexford Racecourse Rated Hurdle17f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1
23 May 24 Limerick The Friday Man (GB)J: Donagh Meyler PAQIT Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 12/1
19 Apr 24 Limerick Drop The Harrow (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Panoramic Restaurant At Limerick Racecourse Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran PU 125/1
19 Apr 24 Limerick Warrior Lion (GB)J: Sean O'Keeffe OCS Recruitment Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 11th 150/1
04 Apr 24 Naas Drop The Harrow (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Owners Insurance Included In AIRO Membership Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran PU 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Moses McCabe's strike rate?
Moses McCabe has won 15 of 390 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Moses McCabe do best at?
Thurles by strike rate: 4 wins from 31 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Moses McCabe?
Eddie Power, with 70 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.6%).
What is Moses McCabe's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 390 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).