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Jockey profile

Tiernan Power Roche

761 rides in the last 5 seasons · 300 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
63–761
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=761
179 (24%)
Placed
1.07
Fair A/E
n=761 · 0.85 incl. margin
−137.44
£1 level stake
n=761 at SP · −18.1%
£876k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (55 rides). Rides mostly for P J Rothwell — 72% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 761 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 23.3% when favourite P J Rothwell: 8% from 548 LTO winners: 16.4% Claiming: 9.3% Rides the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (16.3%, n=43), Punchestown (14.3%, n=70) and Thurles (14.3%, n=35) — all clear of the rider's 8.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.4% (n=55, Fair A/E 1.27). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 7.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +16.00 to a £1 stake over 293 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. P J Rothwell supplies 72% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4% over 99 rides, 4.3pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase at Listowel (Sep 2025, £29,500). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.5%−0.8
n=293 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +16.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.4%+8.1
n=55 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −3.62
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.8%−1.5
n=148 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +8.00
When favourite
23.3%
n=43 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −10.40
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.3%+1.0
n=627 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −60.44
Big fields · 14+ runners
7%−1.3
n=402 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −110.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.1%+0.8
n=22 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −10.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 16.4% vs 8.3% · n=55
At Fairyhouse 16.3% vs 8.3% · n=43
With first-time headgear 0% vs 8.3% · n=34
At Punchestown 14.3% vs 8.3% · n=70
At Thurles 14.3% vs 8.3% · n=35
Off a 61-180-day break 4% vs 8.3% · n=99
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 525 46 8.8% −82.04
Chase 200 17 8.5% −19.40
NH Flat 24 0 0% −24.00
Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 301 23 7.6% −92.75
Good 199 19 9.5% +17.38
Good to Soft 140 9 6.4% −63.40
Heavy 121 12 9.9% +1.33

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wexford 75 4 5.3% −44.75
Punchestown 70 10 14.3% +91.83
Cork 56 5 8.9% −9.50
Kilbeggan 55 3 5.5% −17.50
Limerick 52 6 11.5% +7.38
Clonmel 50 3 6% −40.25
Fairyhouse 43 7 16.3% −0.25
Tramore 41 3 7.3% −18.50
Thurles 35 5 14.3% −13.00
Downpatrick 30 1 3.3% −22.00
Gowran Park 28 2 7.1% +1.00
Leopardstown 27 2 7.4% −16.00
Naas 27 3 11.1% −1.00
Killarney 23 0 0% −23.00
Navan 23 0 0% −23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 25 2 8% −13.50
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 61 11 18% 0.79 −26.02
2nd–3rd fav 137 23 16.8% 1.17 −9.42
4th–6th fav 194 15 7.7% 1.02 +23.00
7th+ in betting 369 14 3.8% 1.33 −125.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.4% completed · 725 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 200 77% 3 1 40 2 0
Hurdle 525 85.9% 8 4 59 2 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rockymountainbleu (IRE) 13 1 3 8 Nov 26
Baltinglass Hill (IRE) 13 0 2 18 Sep 26
El Champo (IRE) 11 1 5 6 Apr 26
Warm In Gorey (IRE) 10 1 6 27 May 26
Give Him A Chance (IRE) 10 2 2 21 May 26
Miss Lia (IRE) 10 1 4 16 May 26
Game And Glory (IRE) 10 0 2 5 Mar 26
Down Around (IRE) 10 1 6 20 Nov 25
Duffys Hodey (IRE) 9 4 7 25 Oct 26
Following Orders (IRE) 9 0 3 17 Jul 26
Casey West (IRE) 9 1 2 12 Mar 26
Marelly (IRE) 9 1 1 7 Mar 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 300 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
14209610124363133
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardP J Rothwell
72% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 0.97
TrainerRWSR£1
P J Rothwell 548 44 8% −75.54
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
65
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£917k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 35 wins
El Champo (IRE) — Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2025
£29,500
Watch The Weather (GB) — Ryans Cleaning Handicap Chase Punchestown · Nov 2024
£26,550
Monbeg Park (IRE) — QuinnBet Handicap Chase (Listed) Leopardstown · Mar 2025 · Listed
£26,550
Notable horses
Duffys Hodey (IRE) Onlymammycanloveme (IRE) Give Him A Chance (IRE) Billy Lee Swagger (IRE) Kotkito Bello (FR) Chase The Moon (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 10% of 3,491 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 356.
Califet (FR) 13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,814 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Hillstar (GB) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 7.3% of 758 runs since 2021 (89 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,024 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 844 · newest first

The latest 50 of 844 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 June 2017 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Rockymountainbleu (IRE)T: P. J. Rothwell Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran PU 14/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) No Loose Ends (IRE)T: P. J. Rothwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 500/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Ataboymiley (IRE)T: P. J. Rothwell Cavan Developments Supporting St Marys GAA Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 10th 300/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Storm Bresie (GB)T: P J Rothwell PRL Group Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 125/1
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Gregwell (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 66/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Ballyhoura (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 28/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Jessbers Wish (IRE)T: P J Rothwell William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 8/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Duffys Hodey (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Jim And Kay Whitty Memorial Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 20/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Chase The Moon (IRE)T: P J Rothwell William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 11/2
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Rockymountainbleu (IRE)T: P J Rothwell TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 6th 14/1
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Two Grand Sweeney (GB)T: P J Rothwell Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 28/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Piper Street (FR)T: P J Rothwell William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 13th 66/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) That's About Right (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Tramore Racecourse On Instagram Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 5th 9/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ataboymiley (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 14th 200/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Sum Story (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 14th 50/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Andys Flame (GB)T: John McConnell Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle19.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 100/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Leading Endeavour (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 66/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Confidence Within (IRE)T: P J Rothwell John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 5/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Baltinglass Hill (IRE)T: P J Rothwell MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div II)18f · Good · 12 ran PU 16/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Piper Street (FR)T: P J Rothwell T-Met Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 15 ran 12th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 25 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 25 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tiernan Power Roche's strike rate?
Tiernan Power Roche has won 63 of 761 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tiernan Power Roche do best at?
Fairyhouse by strike rate: 7 wins from 43 rides (16.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tiernan Power Roche ride most for?
P J Rothwell, with 548 rides since 2022 — 72% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (8%).
Is Tiernan Power Roche in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tiernan Power Roche's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 761 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).