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Trainer profile

Mrs Pauline Harkin

38 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2021 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–38
Wins / Runs
21.1%
Strike rate
n=38
14 (37%)
Placed
1.89
Fair A/E
n=37 · 1.63 incl. margin
+4.70
£1 level stake
n=38 at SP · +12.4%
£35,513
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 24.2%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 21.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
18.8%−2.3
n=16 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +1.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−21.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
16.7%−4.4
n=6 · A/E 2.84 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−21.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−21.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
80%
n=5 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +6.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
24.2%+3.1
n=33 · A/E 1.99 · £1 +9.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 21.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 25.8% vs 21.1% · n=31
With claiming riders up 24.2% vs 21.1% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 31 8 25.8% +11.70
Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 4 23.5% +5.00
Good to Soft 9 2 22.2% −4.30
Soft 8 2 25% +8.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham 15 6 40% +14.70
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell 3 1 33.3% −1.00
Fontwell 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Taunton 1 0 0% −1.00
Towcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Fakenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 13 5 38.5% +14.50
Class 6 10 2 20% +3.00
Class 5 8 1 12.5% −5.80
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 4 80% 2.18 +6.70
2nd–3rd fav 5 1 20% 1.03 −0.50
4th–6th fav 12 3 25% 2.77 +14.50
7th+ in betting 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
74.3% completed · 35 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 31 77.4% 0 2 5 0 0
Hurdle 4 50% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Popaway (GB) 13 4 6 4 May 18
Doctor Kingsley (GB) 8 3 5 14 May 15
We Never Give Up (IRE) 3 0 0 27 Apr 16
Out Of Range (GB)from S Curling 3 1 1 29 May 15
Exclusive Rights (GB)from Charlie Longsdon · then Mrs Claire Hardwick 2 0 2 9 Jun 17
Coeur de Lionne (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 2 0 0 24 Mar 11
Unoitmakessense (IRE)from Peter Hiatt 2 0 0 3 Jan 11
Quand Je Reve De Toi (FR) 2 0 0 6 Dec 10
Top Garry (FR)from Stuart Edmunds 1 0 0 18 Feb 21
Glory Hunter (IRE) 1 0 0 9 Jun 17
Velvet Shadow (IRE) 1 0 0 18 Apr 11
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00033390····00
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr P Mann 11 4 36.4% +12.00
Miss Immy Robinson 8 2 25% +7.50
Mr J Docker 6 2 33.3% −1.80
Charlie Poste 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr W Telfer 3 0 0% −3.00
Mrs Claire Hardwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr T Betambeau 2 0 0% −2.00
Ben Poste 1 0 0% −1.00
Tabitha Worsley 1 0 0% −1.00
Fergus Gregory 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
8
Archived wins
£37,990
Prize money
2014
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Doctor Kingsley (GB) — Bonhams Men's Open Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · Apr 2014 · Class 4
£4,679
Doctor Kingsley (GB) — Bonhams Men's Open Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · May 2013 · Class 4
£4,679
Doctor Kingsley (GB) — Connolly's Red Mills Intermediate Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · May 2012 · Class 4
£4,367
Notable horses
Popaway (GB) Doctor Kingsley (GB) Out Of Range (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Nomadic Way (USA) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 9.8% of 799 runs since 2008 (70 horses).
Classic Cliche (IRE) 37.5% · 3–8
Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.
High-Rise (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 4.8% of 377 runs since 2008 (48 horses).
Mull Of Kintyre (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Evening World (FR) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.6% of 135 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
Fair Mix (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.3% of 2,578 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 52 · newest first

The latest 50 of 52 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2006 to 18 February 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Feb 21 Leicester Top Garry (FR)J: Fergus Gregory Dick Saunders Novices' Hunters' Chase (Div 2)Class 5 · 22.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 50/1
04 May 18 Cheltenham Popaway (GB)J: Miss Immy Robinson Visit Cheltenham.com Mares' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 8/1
09 Jun 17 Stratford Popaway (GB)J: Miss Immy Robinson Skinner's Ladies Open Point-To-Point Championship Final (Hunters' Chase For Lady Riders)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 3/1
09 Jun 17 Stratford Exclusive Rights (GB)J: Mrs Claire Hardwick Foxdenton Gins Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 33/1
09 Jun 17 Stratford Glory Hunter (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Subaru 'Restricted Point-to-Point' Series Final (Novices' Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 50/1
05 May 17 Cheltenham Popaway (GB)J: Miss Immy Robinson Autovillage Subaru Mares' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 4/5F
17 Feb 17 Fakenham Popaway (GB)J: Miss Immy Robinson William Bulwer Long Memorial 'Grassroots' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 24f · Good To Soft · 9 ran UR 10/1
11 Jan 17 Taunton Popaway (GB)J: Miss Immy Robinson Geoffrey Bosley 'tally Ho' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23f · Good · 15 ran UR 33/1
20 May 16 Stratford Popaway (GB)J: Miss Immy Robinson AGA Ladies Open Point-To-Point Championship Final (Hunters' Chase For Lady Riders)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/1
20 May 16 Stratford Exclusive Rights (GB)J: Mrs Claire Hardwick Subaru 'Restricted Point-To-Point' Series Final (Novices' Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 33/1
27 Apr 16 Cheltenham Popaway (GB)J: Miss Immy Robinson Centaur Party With Greg James Tonight Mares' Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 11/2
27 Apr 16 Cheltenham We Never Give Up (IRE)J: Miss Immy Robinson Connolly's Red Mills Precision Nutrition Intermediate Point-To-Point Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 12 ran 10th 100/1
29 May 15 Stratford Out Of Range (GB)J: Mr P Mann Subaru 'Restricted Point-To-Point' Series Final (Novices' Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 13 ran 6th 25/1
14 May 15 Fontwell We Never Give Up (IRE)J: Mr T Betambeau starspreads.com Maiden Hunters' Chase (For The Cuckoo Maiden Challenge Cup)Class 6 · 21f · Soft · 12 ran PU 33/1
14 May 15 Fontwell Doctor Kingsley (GB)J: Mr P Mann pointtopoint.co.uk United Hunts Open Champion Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 27f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 6/1
14 May 15 Fontwell Out Of Range (GB)J: Mr P Mann Call Star Sports On 08000 521321 Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 19f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 10/1
12 May 15 Southwell Popaway (GB)J: Mr J Docker T Frost Racing Saddlers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 10/1
29 Apr 15 Cheltenham We Never Give Up (IRE)J: Mr T Betambeau Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 66/1
29 Apr 15 Cheltenham Doctor Kingsley (GB)J: Mr P Mann Bonhams Men's Open Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 3/1
29 Apr 15 Cheltenham Out Of Range (GB)J: Mr P Mann Connolly's Red Mills Precision Nutrition Intermediate Point-To-Point Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran PU 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Pauline Harkin's strike rate?
Mrs Pauline Harkin has won 8 of 38 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs Pauline Harkin's Fair A/E?
1.89, from 37 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).