Stuart Edmunds
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 170 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). New recruits from other yards win at 23% first time out (48 runs).
The record is strongest at Fakenham (38.7%, n=62) and Southwell (24.1%, n=58) — all clear of the yard's 15.7% baseline. It is weakest at Warwick (6.1% over 49 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 22.9% (n=48, Fair A/E 1.76), but debutants struggle at 8.7% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.77). Ciaran Gethings rides 46% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (13.2% vs 15.7%, A/E 0.94). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 6.4% over 47 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Randox Supports Race Against Dementia Topham Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2024, £84,195). The stable star of the record: Marsh Wren (GB) — 9 wins from 16 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,622 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,622 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2015 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stuart Edmunds's strike rate?
- Stuart Edmunds has won 131 of 833 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stuart Edmunds do best at?
- Fakenham by strike rate: 24 wins from 62 runners (38.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Stuart Edmunds?
- Ciaran Gethings, with 380 runners since 2022 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 50 (13.2%).
- Is Stuart Edmunds in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Stuart Edmunds's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 832 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.