Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 17% first time out (70 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 2,585 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFires Jul–Oct28.7% when favouriteStephane Pasquier: 13.8% from 697New recruits: 17.1%Sends off the favourite in 12% of races
The read
The record is strongest at Lyon Parilly (33.3%, n=30) and Fontainebleau (23.7%, n=38) — all clear of the yard's 12.6% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 17.1% (n=70, Fair A/E 1.31), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 8.8% (n=466, Fair A/E 0.91). Stephane Pasquier rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.8%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (20.4%, n=108). 61 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Poule d'Essai des Poulains at Longchamp (FR) (May 2013, £255,504). The stable star of the record: Now We Can (GB) — 7 wins from 19 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Oct.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12%−0.6
n=569 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +79.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
17.1%+4.5
n=70 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +28.70
Debutants · first career start
9.9%−2.7
n=537 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −99.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10.3%−2.3
n=107 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +1.70
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−12.6
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
When favourite
28.7%
n=307 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −37.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.8%−3.8
n=466 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −134.30
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.9%−1.7
n=487 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −95.52
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Lyon Parilly33.3% vs 12.6% · n=30
On last-time-out winners20.1% vs 12.6% · n=283
At Fontainebleau23.7% vs 12.6% · n=38
Over 1m5f – 2m20.4% vs 12.6% · n=108
With Yannick Letondeur21% vs 12.6% · n=62
With Sebastien Maillot6.6% vs 12.6% · n=196
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat2,58232612.6%−313.52
Chase2150%+3.40
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)84010712.7%−105.80
Soft5587814%−65.60
Good5066011.9%−78.32
Good to Soft4436414.4%+31.30
Heavy236187.6%−91.70
Firm100%—
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR)8018610.7%−143.22
Deauville5315610.5%−181.20
Saint-Cloud (FR)3674311.7%−64.90
Longchamp (FR)3604713.1%+18.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)2342711.5%−37.90
Fontainebleau38923.7%+4.90
Compiegne34411.8%−19.20
Lyon Parilly301033.3%+8.80
Clairefontaine29517.2%+12.70
Vichy1600%−14.00
Le Lion-D'Angers13430.8%+19.60
Moulins12325%+0.20
Dieppe12325%+42.20
Nantes11218.2%−7.50
Le Croise-Laroche11327.3%+1.90
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 14875310.9%−95.52
Class 5100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite3309227.9%0.95−47.00
2nd–3rd fav62310216.4%1.04−41.52
4th–6th fav757729.5%1.11+6.30
7th+ in betting718233.2%0.88−228.90
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f1,01112812.7%−55.40
1m2f – 1m4f78110012.8%−96.32
6f – 7f6386910.8%−160.50
1m5f – 2m1082220.4%+31.30
Under 6f44715.9%−32.60
2m1f – 2m4f3133.3%+2.40
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008691014.5%−6.00
2009681522.1%+24.80
20101612616.1%+88.10
20111672313.8%−9.30
20121722715.7%+15.70
20131832815.3%+32.80
20141952613.3%−36.70
20151842111.4%−52.70
20161732112.1%−26.62
20171711911.1%−18.30
20181812413.3%−9.90
201912175.8%−67.50
202012197.4%−25.20
2021142149.9%−78.60
20221541610.4%−11.70
20231452114.5%−39.20
20241551811.6%−77.90
20252328.7%−12.90
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps620609.7%−86.60
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners7168712.2%−100.80
11-13 runners584539.1%−160.60
14-16 runners576488.3%−104.80
5-7 runners3356720%+28.68
17+ runners202105%−46.00
2-4 runners1706035.3%+72.40
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 607 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.
23 have since run for another yard, most often for C Boutin (2) and Yannick Fouin (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
12101311121015161714912
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
359
Archived wins
61
Pattern / graded wins
£11.7m
Prize money
2013
Best season · 28 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Style Vendome (FR) — Poule d'Essai des Poulains (Le Parisien) (3yo Colts) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2013 · Group 1
£255,504
Stormy River (FR) — Prix Jean Prat (Colts & Fillies) Chantilly (FR) · Jul 2006 · Group 1
£157,628
Wonderment (IRE) — Criterium de Saint-Cloud (2yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2018 · Group 1
Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,108 runs since 2008 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,193 runs since 2008 (1,106 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 958.
Acclamation (GB)15.8% · 6–38
Progeny have won 10% of 19,697 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE)10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,565 runs since 2008 (871 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 2,747 · newest first
The latest 50 of 2,747 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2005 to 28 February 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is N Clement's strike rate?
N Clement has won 327 of 2,585 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N Clement do best at?
Lyon Parilly by strike rate: 10 wins from 30 runners (33.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for N Clement?
Stephane Pasquier, with 697 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 96 (13.8%).
What is N Clement's Fair A/E?
1.01, from 2,357 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
N Clement·SR 12.6%·A/E 1.01
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