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Trainer profile

Nick Williams

36 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 89 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
5–36
Wins / Runs
13.9%
Strike rate
n=36
11 (31%)
Placed
0.90
n=36 · 0.79 incl. margin
−17.04
£1 level stake
n=36 at SP · −47.3%
£97,157
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
50%+36.1
n=2 · A/E 3.17 · £1 +7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−13.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−13.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=6 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +3.96
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.1%−2.8
n=9 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −6.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−13.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 21 4 19% −4.42
Hurdle 12 1 8.3% −9.62
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 15 5 33.3% +3.96
Good 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chepstow 5 0 0% −5.00
Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00
Hereford 3 1 33.3% +0.00
Auteuil (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Wincanton 3 0 0% −3.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontwell 2 1 50% +7.00
Exeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 2 1 50% +0.38
Ffos Las 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 1 100% +1.38
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 11 2 18.2% +1.00
Class 3 10 3 30% −3.04
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 4 57.1% 1.67 +2.96
2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
4th–6th fav 10 1 10% 0.96 −1.00
7th+ in betting 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.8% completed · 33 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 21 85.7% 1 1 1 0 0
Hurdle 12 83.3% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Moonlighter (GB)then Kim Bailey 6 0 0 18 Apr 22
Le Cameleon (GB)then Jane Williams 4 2 2 16 Apr 22
Galahad Quest (FR)then Jane Williams 4 0 2 26 Mar 22
Yggdrasil (FR)then Jane Williams 3 2 2 29 Mar 22
Favori De Sivola (FR)then Jane Williams 3 0 1 24 Mar 22
Keplerian (GB)then Fergal O'Brien 3 0 0 27 Feb 22
Lady Gwen (GB)then Jane Williams 2 0 1 14 Apr 22
Rose Of Montreux (IRE) 1 0 0 23 Jul 26
Le Prince Burgond (FR) 1 0 0 2 Apr 26
Miss Georges Allen (FR) 1 0 0 5 Nov 25
Just Do It Allen (FR) 1 0 0 24 Feb 24
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 16 had their first archived run here.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Jane Williams (9); 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
022330··0···0·
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
David Noonan 16 3 18.8% −8.42
Chester Williams 10 1 10% −7.62
David Bass 2 1 50% +7.00
Harry Cobden 2 0 0% −2.00
Tom Scudamore 1 0 0% −1.00
James Reveley 1 0 0% −1.00
David Breux 1 0 0% −1.00
Giovanni Boinard 1 0 0% −1.00
Sertash Nailov-Ferhanov 1 0 0% −1.00
Jack Wildman 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
289
Archived wins
27
Pattern / graded wins
£6.00m
Prize money
2017
Best season · 31 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Reve De Sivola (FR) — Grand Prix D'Automne (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2013 · Grade 1
£135,366
Diamond Harry (GB) — Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Newbury · Nov 2010 · Class 1
£99,768
Agrapart (FR) — Betfair Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap) Newbury · Feb 2016 · Grade 3
£88,273

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Midnight Legend (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Noroit (GER) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.5% of 623 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 122.
American Post (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Great Pretender (IRE) 50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 13% of 3,532 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Kapgarde (FR) 66.7% · 2–3
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,607 runs since 2008 (723 horses).
Telescope (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,891 runs since 2008 (295 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 104. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 279.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,983 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,983 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 23 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Rose Of Montreux (IRE)J: David Breux Prix De ChouvignyClass 3 · 14f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 80/1
25 Mar 22 Newton Abbot Le Cameleon (GB)J: David Noonan Racing Partnership Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 3 ran 1st 6/5F
24 Mar 22 Chepstow Favori De Sivola (FR)J: Jack Wildman Roofbase Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 30.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 6/1
27 Feb 22 Hereford Keplerian (GB)J: Chester Williams Cazoo Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 5/1
27 Feb 22 Hereford Yggdrasil (FR)J: David Noonan Manor Elite Horseboxes Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nick Williams's strike rate?
Nick Williams has won 5 of 36 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Nick Williams's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 36 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).