What is Mrs Jane Williams's strike rate?

Mrs Jane Williams has won 85 of 628 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mrs Jane Williams do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 runners (22.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mrs Jane Williams?

David Noonan, with 302 runners since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (13.9%).

Is Mrs Jane Williams in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mrs Jane Williams's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 626 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mrs Jane Williams

628 runners in the last 5 seasons · 69 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

85–628

Wins / Runs

13.5%

Strike rate

n=628

209 (33%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=626 · 0.81 incl. margin

−171.14

£1 level stake

n=626 at SP · −27.3%

£1.40m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Debutants are a strength: 16% on first career starts (38 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 628 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb 30.3% when favourite David Noonan: 13.9% from 302 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Exeter (21.1%, n=76), Hereford (22.6%, n=31) and Warwick (22.2%, n=36) — all clear of the yard's 13.5% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.4% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.86). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 10.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −83.56 to a £1 stake over 155 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. David Noonan rides 48% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.9%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (25.5%, n=55). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 4% over 50 runners, 9.5pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Adonis Juvenile Hurdle at Kempton (Feb 2026, £45,774). The stable star of the record: Saint Segal (FR) — 8 wins from 32 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.3%−3.2

n=155 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −83.56

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%−6.4

n=14 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −9.67

Debutants · first career start

15.8%+2.3

n=38 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +14.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.1%−6.4

n=28 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −16.64

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14.3%+0.8

n=14 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −6.25

When favourite

30.3%

n=76 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −22.47

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.3%−1.2

n=73 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −35.65

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.4%−8.1

n=37 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −24.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Heavy going 25.5% vs 13.5% · n=55

In Class 1 4% vs 13.5% · n=50

At Exeter 21.1% vs 13.5% · n=76

At Hereford 22.6% vs 13.5% · n=31

At Warwick 22.2% vs 13.5% · n=36

In Group / Graded races 5.4% vs 13.5% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 342 48 14% −131.98

Chase 261 31 11.9% −68.16

NH Flat 25 6 24% +29.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 205 31 15.1% −48.98

Good 191 16 8.4% −107.82

Soft 167 22 13.2% −47.97

Heavy 55 14 25.5% +35.22

Good to Firm 10 2 20% −1.59

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 76 16 21.1% +44.00

Chepstow 59 12 20.3% −7.78

Wincanton 51 4 7.8% −33.34

Taunton 43 6 14% −16.24

Newton Abbot 37 3 8.1% −13.50

Warwick 36 8 22.2% −2.91

Ludlow 36 3 8.3% −11.80

Newbury 33 6 18.2% −9.82

Hereford 31 7 22.6% −5.04

Worcester 27 0 0% −27.00

Cheltenham 26 1 3.8% −21.50

Ffos Las 25 3 12% −12.25

Kempton 22 4 18.2% −6.44

Sandown 19 1 5.3% −17.09

Bangor-on-Dee 11 3 27.3% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 266 41 15.4% −80.42

Class 3 144 26 18.1% +18.68

Class 5 92 11 12% −17.55

Class 2 66 5 7.6% −46.85

Class 1 50 2 4% −37.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 86 25 29.1% 0.84 −23.97

2nd–3rd fav 198 36 18.2% 0.96 −37.17

4th–6th fav 225 20 8.9% 1.01 −56.00

7th+ in betting 117 4 3.4% 0.90 −54.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.9% completed · 603 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 261 82.8% 14 6 25 0 0

Hurdle 342 90.1% 4 3 24 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Saint Segal (FR) 30 7 16 14 Oct 26

Despereaux (FR) 28 5 10 6 May 26

Moorland Rambler (GB) 24 3 9 1 Mar 26

Pepe Le Moko (FR) 22 2 7 9 Oct 26

Fast Buck (FR)from Dan Skelton 22 2 3 10 Mar 25

Jaminska (FR) 21 3 11 9 Oct 26

Another Folly (FR) 19 1 6 17 Oct 26

Galice Macalo (FR) 17 2 4 7 Feb 24

In Rem (FR)from Gary Moore 16 2 5 29 Oct 24

Honneur D'ajonc (FR)then James Owen 16 3 5 6 May 24

Castelfort (FR) 15 3 6 18 Mar 26

Jupiter Allen (FR)then Chester Williams 15 4 6 11 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 69 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nick Williams (12); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Chester Williams (2) and Kim Bailey (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

2115121000001291519

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Noonan

48% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

David Noonan 302 42 13.9% −48.52

Ciaran Gethings 183 23 12.6% −82.12

Chester Williams 44 6 13.6% −22.28

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

127

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.04m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 22 wins

La Luna Artista (FR) — Ladbrokes Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Kempton · Feb 2026 · Grade 2

£45,774

Saint Segal (FR) — Richard Landale Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kelso · Dec 2025 · Class 2

£39,023

Fox Pro (FR) — Prix Durtain (Hurdle) () (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · May 2019 · Listed

£32,432

Notable horses

Saint Segal (FR) In Rem (FR) Erick Le Rouge (FR) Monsieur Lecoq (FR) Galice Macalo (FR) Despereaux (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saint Des Saints (FR) 14.1% · 9–64

Progeny have won 15.1% of 5,339 runs since 2008 (642 horses).

Castle Du Berlais (FR) 19.4% · 12–62

Progeny have won 13% of 509 runs since 2008 (105 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 163.

Manatee (GB) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 10.2% of 274 runs since 2008 (66 horses).

Great Pretender (IRE) 15.2% · 7–46

Progeny have won 13% of 3,532 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.

Diamond Boy (FR) 12.5% · 5–40

Progeny have won 12% of 2,270 runs since 2008 (284 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,607 runs since 2008 (723 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 889 · newest first

The latest 50 of 889 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2011 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Another Folly (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Bet With The On Course Bookies Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 6/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Mecene (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings British Stallion Studs Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/8

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Saint Segal (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Faucets Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 6/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Good For You (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Ethical Packaging Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 12/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Authoceltic (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 11/4

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Mwabani (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet / Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 2/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Roly Mo (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 8/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Pepe Le Moko (FR)J: Sean Houlihan LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 28/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Jaminska (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 4/1F

07 Oct 26 Worcester Yeld To Call (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings FBC Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 15/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Sainte Colombe (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Supporting Uk Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Le Soleil Reve (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 6th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Another Folly (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 5/1

28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Inside Man (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Shelley Coles - Setting The Pace At 60 Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 9/4

28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Matiwo (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Jodie Standing's Point-to-point Recruits Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 2/7F

25 Sep 26 Worcester Good For You (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 10/1

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Yeld To Call (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/1

07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Gilded Glance (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 22/1

06 May 26 Fontwell Stadmallen (IRE)J: James Best KSR Lighting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1

06 May 26 Newton Abbot Despereaux (FR)J: Tom Bellamy Sky Sports Racing Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Jane Williams's strike rate?: Mrs Jane Williams has won 85 of 628 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mrs Jane Williams do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 runners (22.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mrs Jane Williams?: David Noonan, with 302 runners since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (13.9%).
Is Mrs Jane Williams in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mrs Jane Williams's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 626 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.