P Chemin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 30 runners a season, winning with 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Debutants are a strength: 20% on first career starts (55 runs).
Debutants strike at 20% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8.9% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.81). Christophe Herpin rode 53% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (9.7% vs 13.4%, A/E 0.66). The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (24.2%, n=33) and in Flat races (21.7%, n=60). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 6.8% over 59 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.63 across 72 runners (8.3% strike, −26.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grande Course de Haies de Primtemps at Auteuil (FR) (May 2008, £51,287). The stable star of the record was Nono Des Ongrais (FR) — 5 wins from 21 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 284 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 284 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2005 to 11 April 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is P Chemin's strike rate?
- P Chemin has won 34 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does P Chemin do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 131 runners (9.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for P Chemin?
- Christophe Herpin, with 134 runners since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.7%).
- What is P Chemin's Fair A/E?
- 0.83, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.