What is P Chemin's strike rate?

P Chemin has won 34 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P Chemin do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 131 runners (9.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P Chemin?

Christophe Herpin, with 134 runners since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.7%).

What is P Chemin's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P Chemin

253 runners in the lifetime window · 63 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2017

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

34–253

Wins / Runs

13.4%

Strike rate

n=253

73 (29%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=185 · 1.11 incl. margin

+16.21

£1 level stake

n=207 at SP · +7.8%

£1.18m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, winning with 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Debutants are a strength: 20% on first career starts (55 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 253 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Christophe Herpin: 9.7% from 134

The read

Debutants strike at 20% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8.9% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.81). Christophe Herpin rode 53% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (9.7% vs 13.4%, A/E 0.66). The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (24.2%, n=33) and in Flat races (21.7%, n=60). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 6.8% over 59 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.63 across 72 runners (8.3% strike, −26.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grande Course de Haies de Primtemps at Auteuil (FR) (May 2008, £51,287). The stable star of the record was Nono Des Ongrais (FR) — 5 wins from 21 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.5%−2.9

n=95 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +3.40

New recruits · first run for the yard

33.3%+19.9

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Debutants · first career start

20%+6.6

n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +4.81

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10%−3.4

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

When favourite

58.8%

n=17 · A/E 0.48 · £1 +25.61

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

27.3%+13.9

n=11 · A/E 2.26 · £1 +13.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.9%−4.5

n=56 · A/E 0.81 · £1 +8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 24.2% vs 13.4% · n=33

In Flat races 21.7% vs 13.4% · n=60

Off a 15-30-day break 6.8% vs 13.4% · n=59

With debutants 20% vs 13.4% · n=55

In Hurdle races 8.3% vs 13.4% · n=72

Over 2m5f – 3m 8.6% vs 13.4% · n=81

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 121 15 12.4% +23.11

Hurdle 72 6 8.3% −26.80

Flat 60 13 21.7% +19.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 130 12 9.2% −56.50

Heavy 68 10 14.7% +62.10

Good 19 5 26.3% +4.81

Good to Soft 17 5 29.4% +1.20

Standard (AW) 14 1 7.1% −5.40

Firm 1 0 0% —

Good to Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 131 13 9.9% −3.50

Enghien (FR) 37 3 8.1% −0.70

Deauville (FR) 15 2 13.3% −5.40

Saint-Cloud (FR) 11 0 0% −8.00

Compiegne 7 0 0% −6.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 5 0 0% −4.00

Granville-St Pair Sur Mer 5 2 40% +2.01

Dieppe 4 0 0% −4.00

Longchamp (FR) 3 1 33.3% +7.60

Chantilly (FR) 3 0 0% −2.00

Saint-Brieuc 2 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers 2 1 50% +11.00

Argentan 2 2 100% +3.30

Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Durtal 2 1 50% +1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 56 5 8.9% +8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 10 58.8% 0.48 +25.61

2nd–3rd fav 38 5 13.2% 0.53 −3.70

4th–6th fav 62 4 6.5% 0.86 −14.80

7th+ in betting 90 4 4.4% 1.46 +9.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.2% completed · 193 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 121 75.2% 12 0 18 0 0

Hurdle 72 77.8% 1 0 12 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sable Des Ongrais (FR) 43 4 19 11 Jun 15

Tiot Cas (FR) 28 3 8 6 Oct 16

Nono Des Ongrais (FR) 15 5 6 29 Oct 11

Recital Valtat (FR) 12 1 5 9 Apr 14

Olifan De Sarti (FR) 10 0 0 4 Oct 12

Urka De Thaix (FR) 9 0 2 15 Oct 16

Quarte Du Chatelet (FR) 8 0 0 18 Sep 12

Villez De Conde (FR) 8 1 1 30 May 10

Alzarodesvillerets (FR)then P Chemin & C Herpin 7 1 1 11 Apr 17

Vaudou Des Ongrais (FR)then P Chemin & C Herpin 7 2 3 28 Dec 16

Gracieu Du Pin (FR) 7 3 3 14 Sep 11

Arc Du Chatelet (FR)then P Chemin & C Herpin 5 1 2 1 Mar 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 63 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 59 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for P Chemin & C Herpin (10) and Nicky Henderson (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

01415514843678111418

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderChristophe Herpin

53% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 0.66

RiderRWSR£1

Christophe Herpin 134 13 9.7% +3.81

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.42m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 8 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Nono Des Ongrais (FR) — Grande Course de Haies de Primtemps (Hurdle) (Handicap) Auteuil (FR) · May 2008 · Grade 3

£51,287

Sable Des Ongrais (FR) — Prix Prince d'Ecouen (Handicap Hurdle) () Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2009 · Listed

£43,689

Tiot Cas (FR) — Prix General Donnio (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2013 · Listed

£37,073

Notable horses

Nono Des Ongrais (FR) Sable Des Ongrais (FR) Tiot Cas (FR) Nava Des Ongrais (FR) Gracieu Du Pin (FR) Villez De Conde (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Marchand De Sable (USA) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,093 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.2% from 167. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 148.

Dark Moondancer (GB) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 7.5% of 455 runs since 2008 (56 horses).

Goldneyev (USA) 25% · 5–20

Progeny have won 14% of 767 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18% from 183. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 118.

Crillon (FR) 29.4% · 5–17

Progeny have won 14.2% of 981 runs since 2009 (97 horses).

Dom Alco (FR) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 17.1% of 1,831 runs since 2008 (159 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 21.5% from 326. Weakest on Good going: 14.1% from 389.

Voix Du Nord (FR) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 16.8% of 2,009 runs since 2010 (167 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.1% from 497. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 339.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 284 · newest first

The latest 50 of 284 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2005 to 11 April 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Apr 17 Saint-Cloud (FR) Line Des Ongrais (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix d'Enghien (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 84/10

11 Apr 17 Saint-Cloud (FR) Alzarodesvillerets (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix du Pont de Flandre (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Good · 16 ran 10th 63/1

21 Mar 17 Chantilly (FR) Line Des Ongrais (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix Buckskin (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 138/10

21 Mar 17 Chantilly (FR) Alzarodesvillerets (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix Sagaro (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 57/1

18 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Viking Des Ongrais (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Lilium (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 11th 20/1

18 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Cristaline Du Repa (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Samaritain (Hurdle) (AQPS Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran 7th 112/10

18 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Bob De La Cheneau (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Fernand Roy (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (6yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 10 ran 6th 73/10

28 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Vaudou Des Ongrais (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix de Marmouillet (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 40/1

19 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Baladala Reconce (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix de Bonnerie (Claimer) (4yo+) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 46/1

08 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Vaudou Des Ongrais (FR)J: Adrien Fouassier Prix de Beaufais (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)17f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 31/1

08 Dec 16 Deauville (FR) Line Des Ongrais (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix de Beaufais (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)17f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 76/10

30 Oct 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Line Des Ongrais (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix de Saint-Maclou (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Soft · 17 ran 3rd 56/10

30 Oct 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Alzarodesvillerets (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix de la Ligue Francaise pour la Protection du Cheval (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Soft · 18 ran 14th 36/1

15 Oct 16 Auteuil (FR) Urka De Thaix (FR)J: Mr Romain Lemiere Prix Duc d'Alburquerque (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Amateur Riders) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 6th 40/1

06 Oct 16 Enghien (FR) Tiot Cas (FR)J: Wilfrid Denuault Prix de Ranville (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 13/2

20 Sep 16 Auteuil (FR) Crak De La Cheneau (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Patrick Lec (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Non-Thoroughbred Colts & Geldings) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 13/2

09 Sep 16 Saint-Cloud (FR) Cristaline Du Repa (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Prix de Craon (Grand Prix des A.Q.P.S.) (4-5yo) (Turf)12.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 48/1

21 Aug 16 Deauville (FR) Vaudou Des Ongrais (FR)J: Alexandre Roussel Darley Grand Handicap de la Manche (3yo+) (Turf)16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 13/1

21 Aug 16 Deauville (FR) Alzarodesvillerets (FR)J: Morgan Delalande Darley Grand Handicap de la Manche (3yo+) (Turf)16f · Good · 15 ran 6th 10/1

13 Jul 16 Granville-St Pair Sur Mer (FR) Romeo Des Ongrais (FR)J: Jean-Stephane Lebrun Prix A.M.B. Bourguenolles (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Good · 10 ran PU —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Chemin's strike rate?: P Chemin has won 34 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Chemin do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 131 runners (9.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Chemin?: Christophe Herpin, with 134 runners since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.7%).
What is P Chemin's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.