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Trainer profile

Patrick John Kiely

27 runners in the last 5 seasons · 10 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–27
Wins / Runs
3.7%
Strike rate
n=27
3 (11%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=27 · 0.78 incl. margin
−17.50
£1 level stake
n=27 at SP · −64.8%
£11,237
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.7
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%+0.6
n=23 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −13.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 21 1 4.8% −11.50
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Good 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 5 1 20% +4.50
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 5 1 20% +4.50
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
7th+ in betting 21 1 4.8% 1.96 −11.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 21 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 21 85.7% 0 0 2 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Miss Donna (IRE) 9 0 1 16 Jul 26
Lion Of The Desert (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn · then Grace Harris 4 0 1 2 Oct 25
Dromana Mist (IRE) 3 1 1 16 May 26
Tazman Dan (IRE)then Stuart Edmunds 3 0 0 5 Apr 26
Tarquin The Proud (IRE) 2 0 0 23 Nov 25
Who's The Dancer (IRE) 2 0 0 6 Nov 25
Free To Speak (IRE) 1 0 0 11 Oct 26
Ooksoo (IRE)from John E Kiely 1 0 0 8 Oct 26
Clais Mhor Capri (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Apr 26
Lest Ye Forget (IRE) 1 0 0 3 Jan 26
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Dylan Whelan 11 1 9.1% −1.50
Mr D Kiely 5 0 0% −5.00
Ms A Power 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr M C O'Donovan 2 0 0% −2.00
Phillip Enright 2 0 0% −2.00
Danny Mullins 1 0 0% −1.00
Liam Quinlan 1 0 0% −1.00
Niall Moore 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
1
Archived wins
£11,237
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
Dromana Mist (IRE) — Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle Wexford · May 2026
£7,068
Notable horses
Dromana Mist (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Vadamos (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,082 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 155.
Dansant (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.9% of 541 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.9% from 109.
Valirann (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,437 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
Poet's Word (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 9.9% of 698 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.2% from 106.
Shantaram (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.7% of 179 runs since 2008 (36 horses).
Capri (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.8% of 120 runs since 2008 (33 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 27 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Patrick John Kiely's 27 archived runners, from 7 July 2025 to 11 October 2026, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Free To Speak (IRE)J: Ms A Power Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle17.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 50/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Ooksoo (IRE)J: Ms A Power www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 80/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 8/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Paul Kavanagh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 16/1
30 May 26 Tramore Miss Donna (IRE)J: Ms A Power Get A Free Month Trial Of Racing TV Now racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 16/1
16 May 26 Wexford Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Slaney River Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)17f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 14/1
16 May 26 Wexford Dromana Mist (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 1st 17/2
10 May 26 Cork Dromana Mist (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 150/1
24 Apr 26 Kilbeggan Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 20/1
19 Apr 26 Tramore Dromana Mist (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 12 ran REF 66/1
10 Apr 26 Wexford Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 40/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Clais Mhor Capri (IRE)J: Mr M C O'Donovan Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 4/1
05 Apr 26 Cork Tazman Dan (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Ampion Ltd. Electrical And Testing (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 12/1
17 Mar 26 Wexford Tazman Dan (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Wexfordraces.ie (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 40/1
03 Jan 26 Cork Lest Ye Forget (IRE)J: Ms A Power Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 5th 100/1
28 Dec 25 Limerick Tazman Dan (IRE)J: Mr M C O'Donovan Prestige Tarmacadam Flat Race18f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 6th 33/1
23 Nov 25 Cork Tarquin The Proud (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 150/1
13 Nov 25 Punchestown Tarquin The Proud (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Matchbook Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 21 ran 20th 100/1
06 Nov 25 Clonmel Who's The Dancer (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 150/1
09 Oct 25 Tramore Miss Donna (IRE)J: Mr D Kiely www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick John Kiely's strike rate?
Patrick John Kiely has won 1 of 27 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Is Patrick John Kiely in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).