Dylan Whelan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.84).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 8.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −79.82 to a £1 stake over 141 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well in Class 5 (14.7%, n=34) and off a 31-60-day break (13.9%, n=36). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.4% over 45 rides, 3.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.55 across 54 rides (5.6% strike, −37.27 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 173 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 173 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 May 2019 to 24 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Dylan Whelan's strike rate?
- Dylan Whelan has won 12 of 145 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Dylan Whelan's Fair A/E?
- 0.84, from 145 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.