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Trainer profile

Patrick John Kiely

30 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–30
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=30
5 (17%)
Placed
1.80
Fair A/E
n=30 · 1.46 incl. margin
+13.50
£1 level stake
n=30 at SP · +45.0%
£20,437
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
20%+13.3
n=5 · A/E 8.26 · £1 +29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%+1.3
n=25 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +18.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 23 2 8.7% +20.50
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 13 1 7.7% +21.00
Good 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% +3.50
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 7 2 28.6% +36.50
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 23 2 8.7% 3.71 +20.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.6% completed · 23 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 23 82.6% 0 0 3 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Miss Donna (IRE) 9 0 1 16 Jul 26
Dromana Mist (IRE) 4 2 2 25 Oct 26
Lion Of The Desert (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn · then Grace Harris 4 0 1 2 Oct 25
Tazman Dan (IRE)then Stuart Edmunds 3 0 0 5 Apr 26
Lest Ye Forget (IRE) 2 0 1 25 Oct 26
Tarquin The Proud (IRE) 2 0 0 23 Nov 25
Who's The Dancer (IRE) 2 0 0 6 Nov 25
Lyla Gift (IRE) 1 0 0 22 Oct 26
Free To Speak (IRE) 1 0 0 11 Oct 26
Ooksoo (IRE)from John E Kiely 1 0 0 8 Oct 26
Clais Mhor Capri (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Apr 26
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·002500001400
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Dylan Whelan 11 1 9.1% −1.50
Ms A Power 6 1 16.7% +28.00
Mr D Kiely 5 0 0% −5.00
Phillip Enright 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr M C O'Donovan 2 0 0% −2.00
Danny Mullins 1 0 0% −1.00
Liam Quinlan 1 0 0% −1.00
Niall Moore 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
2
Archived wins
£20,437
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
Dromana Mist (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Hurdle Wexford (IRE) · Oct 2026
£7,800
Dromana Mist (IRE) — Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle Wexford · May 2026
£7,068
Notable horses
Dromana Mist (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Vadamos (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,101 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 160.
Dansant (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.9% of 545 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.8% from 110.
Poet's Word (IRE) 50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 9.9% of 720 runs since 2008 (136 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14% from 107.
Valirann (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,444 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 343.
Shantaram (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.6% of 181 runs since 2008 (37 horses).
Time Test (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,134 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 331. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.5% from 317.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 30 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Patrick John Kiely's 30 archived runners, from 7 July 2025 to 25 October 2026, newest first — 2 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Lest Ye Forget (IRE)J: Ms A Power Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 18/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Dromana Mist (IRE)J: Ms A Power Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 33/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Lyla Gift (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran PU 200/1
11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Free To Speak (IRE)J: Ms A Power Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle17.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 50/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Ooksoo (IRE)J: Ms A Power www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 80/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 8/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Paul Kavanagh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 16/1
30 May 26 Tramore Miss Donna (IRE)J: Ms A Power Get A Free Month Trial Of Racing TV Now racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good · 15 ran 8th 16/1
16 May 26 Wexford Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Slaney River Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)17f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 14/1
16 May 26 Wexford Dromana Mist (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 1st 17/2
10 May 26 Cork Dromana Mist (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 150/1
24 Apr 26 Kilbeggan Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 20/1
19 Apr 26 Tramore Dromana Mist (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 12 ran REF 66/1
10 Apr 26 Wexford Miss Donna (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 40/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Clais Mhor Capri (IRE)J: Mr M C O'Donovan Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 4/1
05 Apr 26 Cork Tazman Dan (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Ampion Ltd. Electrical And Testing (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 12/1
17 Mar 26 Wexford Tazman Dan (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Wexfordraces.ie (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 40/1
03 Jan 26 Cork Lest Ye Forget (IRE)J: Ms A Power Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 5th 100/1
28 Dec 25 Limerick Tazman Dan (IRE)J: Mr M C O'Donovan Prestige Tarmacadam Flat Race18f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 6th 33/1
23 Nov 25 Cork Tarquin The Proud (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick John Kiely's strike rate?
Patrick John Kiely has won 2 of 30 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Patrick John Kiely in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick John Kiely's Fair A/E?
1.80, from 30 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).